Discussing Early Odds for NFL Coach of the Year in 2025

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00:00All right, so let's talk about coach of the year, believe it or not.

00:03You're already laying the table out for the coach of the year.

00:07Nice.

00:08Yeah, so we've done just about every award, but we never did the AP NFL coach of the year out.

00:13So understand a couple things here, Scott.

00:15This is a regular season award.

00:17It typically goes to the head coach where the team is way better than you thought.

00:22It's rare that you get, like Andy Reid, by the way.

00:25Okay, Andy Reid, Scott, yeah, he's won it before.

00:28But he hasn't won it since 2002, and he was with the Eagles that early in his career with the Eagles.

00:34Because they're so good every year, how could he be better than the expectations?

00:38Whereas when you look at a guy like my favorite this year is Jim Harbaugh.

00:43They were better than expected last year.

00:45Yeah.

00:46It would not surprise me if they won the AFC West.

00:49I know the Chiefs for years have owned the Chargers.

00:51I get that.

00:52But that was not with Harbaugh.

00:53Harbaugh now, you get him in there for second season.

00:56By the way, he's plus 1,000.

00:59He's plus 1,000 to win this award.

01:01I love those odds.

01:02He won it, by the way, with the Niners in 2011.

01:05You know how they made that Super Bowl run under Kaepernick.

01:07The guy wins everywhere he's been, whether it's University of San Diego, Stanford, the Niners, Michigan.

01:14He's a turnaround program head coach.

01:17He's brilliant.

01:17I know some people think he's got a short shelf life because he drives people crazy.

01:21The guy's a brilliant head coach.

01:24That, to me, that plus 1,000 is a great one.

01:28Yeah.

01:28Ben Johnson, by the way, he's got the shortest odds of plus 650.

01:32Mike Vrabel.

01:32Now, this is interesting.

01:34Mike Vrabel's only plus 750.

01:36Well, look, the Patriots have been terrible for a number of years.

01:38So, you're looking at it.

01:41Now, he did win it just four years ago with the Titans in 2021.

01:46They're only plus 750 with the Patriots.

01:49Now, because the expectation is with Drake May and better coaching, they could be a seven or eight win team.

01:55They have a very favorable schedule, by the way.

01:57Sleeper.

01:58What's that?

02:00Sleeper.

02:01Yeah, he's a sleeper, but he's plus 750.

02:04Mike McDonald is my guy, plus 2,000.

02:06And, again, I'm going out on a limb there for them to win the NFC West.

02:10So, there are a lot of good ones, but it is really hard, Scott.

02:13If you go over a number of years, Dom Shula, all-time, one at the most.

02:18Three with the Colts, one with the Dolphins.

02:19Belichick, one at three times.

02:21Chuck Knox.

02:22You and I watched Chuck Knox.

02:23Ground Chuck.

02:24Yep.

02:25Rams, Bills, and people forget with that crew there with the Seahawks.

02:32Seahawks.

02:32And Kurt Warner, the running back.

02:34Go ahead.

02:34Yeah, I mean, obviously.

02:36Now, Sean Payton's at 1,500.

02:41Dan Campbell, 2,000.

02:44Your boy McDonald's right there.

02:46You've got him winning the NFC West.

02:48So, he's got a shot.

02:50If he gets them into the playoffs and they win that division, believe me,

02:54he'll be in the running.

02:56McVay is always considered, right, as one of the best coaches.

03:00Is he not still a genius?

03:02He is fantastic.

03:03Now, he came out of nowhere in 2017 in his second year.

03:07Remember, Jeff Fisher was fired.

03:09And actually, I think it might have been his first year because Fisher was there.

03:15Yeah, in fact, Fisher was there for Jared Goff.

03:17Then he was let go.

03:18So, yeah, Sean is phenomenal.

03:20And you know what's amazing about him?

03:21And he's been very public about it.

03:24And he almost quit coaching going to television to work for Amazon or any network would want him.

03:31I talked to coaches who talked to him who were with other teams who wanted to leave the teams they were with and coached for him.

03:36And he said, listen, I might leave, so you might as well get another job.

03:40And then he reconsidered and stayed.

03:42And the guy's incredible.

03:43There's no question about it.

03:45And also, you know, here's another thing.

03:47Dan Quinn and the Commanders, they're plus 2,200.

03:50I know there's some contractual issues with their players.

03:52Look, these always get worked out.

03:54I don't worry about that.

03:55Now, obviously, they're not sneaking up on anybody.

03:57He's plus 2,200.

03:59But he didn't win it last year.

04:00You probably could have said he should have won it.

04:03And then.

04:04What about O'Connell at 4,000?

04:07My God, if McCarthy works out.

04:09Weren't they great last year?

04:11And he didn't even play.

04:13I know.

04:14And by the way, I know Kevin O'Connell, by the way, won it last year in 2024.

04:18He's plus 4,000.

04:20And how about Kevin Stefanski?

04:23Most people don't know this.

04:24He's won it twice at 20 and 23.

04:26And plus 5,000.

04:27Now, listen, he's a miracle worker, but they're not getting there this year.

04:31There's just.

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