00:00Hello. Welcome to the 10-day trend.
00:02A look at the weather patterns as we go into next week.
00:06Now, think of autumn.
00:07I don't know about you, but I always
00:08think of two distinct types of weather,
00:11the cool, misty mornings followed by the blue skies,
00:14or there's the wet and windy type.
00:16And for the next week or so, well, it's
00:18definitely the wet and windy type
00:20that's going to be dominating.
00:21Low pressure will be controlling our weather.
00:24It means spells of rain followed by sunshine and showers.
00:27And often, it'll be pretty blustery as well.
00:30Signs of maybe something a little bit drier
00:33for a time early next week, but the basic trends
00:36through next week are for more periods of rain.
00:39Let's take a look at the rest of this week, really.
00:41And the pressure pattern shows the story.
00:43One area of low pressure that's been dominating this week
00:45clears away.
00:45Another one joins in.
00:47This wiggling, waving weather front
00:48will be the main feature through the course of the weekend.
00:52And that will bring, again, further spells of rain.
00:55And even into the early part of next week,
00:56we are surrounded by low pressure.
00:59So there's no sign of any big, fat high
01:01coming to settle the weather down.
01:03Why is it all about low pressure and unsettled weather?
01:06Well, it's because of the jet stream,
01:08that fast-moving ribbon of air high up in the atmosphere,
01:11just taking low-pressure systems across the UK.
01:14The jet stream sitting right slap-bang above us,
01:17really, for the next four or five days and probably beyond.
01:21And this little dip, this little trough in the jet stream,
01:24particularly this flank of it and how
01:26it interacts with this area of low pressure,
01:28will be something we'll be keeping
01:30a close eye on for Sunday.
01:32More on that in a moment, because we
01:33could see some further problems with wet weather on Friday.
01:37This wiggling weather front's likely to bring
01:40fairly persistent rain on Friday across the hills of Wales
01:43and northern England in particular,
01:46but not just over the hills, right across Wales,
01:48parts of northern England.
01:50Because the ground is saturated, this rain falling
01:53through much of the day could cause some issues.
01:56So we do have a yellow warning in force
01:58for Friday's wet weather.
02:01Once that's cleared away, well, then, as I say,
02:03through the weekends, we've still
02:05got this weather front nearby.
02:06And particularly looking at how it develops down
02:08to the southwest, you can almost see there
02:10the potential that could actually
02:12turn into an area of low pressure on its own.
02:14And, well, there is the possibility
02:16that that could happen, depending
02:18on exactly how it interacts with the jet stream,
02:20the position of the jet stream, how strong the jet stream could
02:23spin that little wave, we call it, on a weather front
02:26into possibly a deeper area of low pressure
02:29that could bring a windy spell, as well as likely
02:32to bring more wet weather.
02:34Either way, by the time we get to Sunday and into Monday,
02:38that's out of the way.
02:39And look at this chart for Monday.
02:41Not an isobar on it, not a weather front on it.
02:43So as I said, there is a hint of something a little bit drier,
02:48albeit not for very long, but for the early part
02:50of next week.
02:51Some drier weather, and without isobars on the chart,
02:54that means the winds will be light.
02:56But of course, at this time of year,
02:58that could then allow some pretty thick fog patches
03:01to form that may take quite a long time to clear away.
03:04That's going to be exacerbated because it has been very wet,
03:08of course, of the ground.
03:09It's saturated with a lot of moisture
03:10around to form that fog.
03:12So that could be a potential hazard, certainly
03:15on Monday morning.
03:17What about beyond the early part of next week?
03:19Well, we're then back almost to square one.
03:21It looks like low pressure will then dominate.
03:23Most of the computer models agreeing that low pressure
03:26will again dominate to the northwest of the UK.
03:29This is the European model chart for Tuesday.
03:31There's the UK.
03:32So perhaps largely dry at this stage, but these blue dots,
03:35that's a band of rain that may well
03:37come swinging in tied to this low pressure system.
03:40Fast forward to Thursday, and that low hasn't moved very far.
03:43It's still dictating the weather.
03:45A lot of isobars on the chart.
03:47Spell of rain moves through, and then we're
03:49left with showers, the little blue V's there.
03:51That's a suggestion we're going to see a lot of showers
03:53come the latter part of next week.
03:56So as I said, there's no real sign
03:57of the weather settling down.
03:58We'll probably get a spell of rain
04:00through the middle part of next week
04:02as that weather front swings in, and then it's
04:04back to sunshine and showers, where
04:06we have been for much of this week.
04:07And often, those winds will be playing a big part,
04:11often quite blustery and gusty.
04:13So that's the kind of fair we're expecting
04:15for the next 10 days or so.
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