Phillies vs. Tigers: Aaron Nola Set to Make Start in Detroit

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Transcript

00:00Phil's on the road in the Motor City. Minus 178. Aaron Nola gets the start today for the fight.

00:06Is the Tigers throughout Casey Mize on the other side? Should Philly be that strong of a favorite

00:11DRS in Detroit? Yeah, I mean, they they should win the baseball game, right? So he's saying,

00:16well, I'm going to say when the juice doesn't matter. Well, of course it does. And that's

00:19what you want to pick out and bet early in the day. It's like, you know what? Keep that minus

00:22150 or less. It's a little bit harder to deal with that juice over minus 150. But the Phillies

00:27are a better ballclub overall than Detroit. Having said that, though, you take a look at Aaron Nola.

00:31He's had some issues with some of the starts last one come up. I think it was absolutely

00:34filthy on this last start. But outside of that, he does have some games that creep up with you.

00:39But Mize on the mound here for Detroit, he's an OK pitcher at this point. Take a look at

00:43his last 30 days. Now, here's the issue. Weighted on base percentage to lefties

00:47is quite high. Fifty seven at bats. That's a four oh six weighted on base percentage.

00:52We know of two lefties in that lineup that are probably going to do some damage. That's

00:55Kyle Schwarber and it's Bryce Harper. The Phillies should be able to win this game,

00:59but I don't love the total in this one. I probably look more towards the under. It's

01:0280 degrees in Detroit, which is fine. That is a pitcher's ballpark. But the wind is blowing

01:07slightly in. So if I'm looking at these two matchups, I think I'm going to go under the

01:10total in this game, much like we saw yesterday in Philadelphia between them and the Diamondbacks.