How Tropical Storm Philippe will affect the Northeast and a risk for future tropical storms ...

AccuWeather

After Philippe drenches New England,  there's a chance we could see a new tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico.

Transcript

00:00 Here's a look at Philippe.

00:01 This is going to be adding to some of the tropical moisture we get right now.

00:04 Winds of 50 miles an hour near its center.

00:06 It's moving north at 14 miles an hour and as it makes its way into north northeastern

00:11 Maine as we head into the early in the middle of the weekend, it will bring impacts, especially

00:17 with heavy rain 2 to 4 inches in areas around Vermont and down into the Berkshires of Massachusetts.

00:23 That's where the worst of the flooding is expected.

00:25 OK, as we continue to track Philippe, October could still be a busy month for tropical development

00:31 as the Atlantic remains active.

00:32 Bernie Rayno takes a closer look at what we can expect and what we're keeping an eye on

00:37 for next week.

00:39 Well there's no question that we are well beyond the heart of the hurricane season,

00:43 which is mid to late September.

00:46 Take a look at the rest of the hurricane season during the month of October.

00:50 You will note though that there's a few bumps in activity early October and late October.

00:56 While we're already getting the early October storm with Philippe, we may be looking at

01:01 something mid to late October as well.

01:03 But again, October can be a very busy month for tropical activity, although it changes

01:08 a little bit.

01:09 It's different than September.

01:10 September, you have the entire Atlantic Basin open for business.

01:14 But once you get into October, you start shrinking the area that you look for development.

01:20 And we start talking once again about homegrown development here.

01:24 That's close development, close to the United States.

01:28 What are the main areas that we look for that in October?

01:31 Northwest Caribbean, mostly the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and the southwest Atlantic.

01:37 How does that happen?

01:38 When you get an interaction between the jet stream and the tropics, when the jet stream

01:42 comes southbound here.

01:43 Now the other thing to be a little concerned about is still how warm the waters are in

01:49 those development areas.

01:50 Not so much off the southeast coast of the United States, because don't forget we had

01:55 Ophelia, we also now have Philippe.

01:58 But the area that's really been untouched by tropical systems, northwest Caribbean and

02:03 parts of the Gulf of Mexico here, where waters are running well above normal.

02:07 So that's a concern.

02:09 Next week, we have a big dip in the jet stream.

02:11 We're going to get that interaction between the jet stream and the tropics because we

02:15 have a stalled front.

02:16 Also what's a little unique, we're going to have a big trough along the west coast of

02:20 the United States.

02:21 So these tropical systems in the east Pacific that usually move to the north and west are

02:29 coming east.

02:30 And some of that moisture interacting with this boundary, this is an area to keep an

02:34 eye on.

02:35 We already have a low possibility of tropical development as we get into the late week.

02:38 Let's watch that area.

02:39 [BLANK_AUDIO]

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