00:02It's never a good sign when a party dumps its leader months out from an election, then
00:07kicks them on the way out.
00:08I am not Daniel Andrews.
00:11I am not Jacinta Allen.
00:14There aren't many who believe Ben Carroll can lead Labor to a fourth term.
00:18Apart from the it's time factor, Labor has been battered by corruption scandals, budget
00:24blowouts and crumbling highways.
00:26Ben Carroll has acted quickly to call a Royal Commission, cut back major projects, fix
00:31potholes and is promising a big spending free dental scheme.
00:36But he's still polling in the low 20s, just behind One Nation and well behind the Coalition
00:42under their young new leader Jess Wilson, who's in just her first term of Parliament.
00:48There are at least 35 to 40 electorates that are genuine three way contests, but based
00:54on the current polling where the Coalition is actually performing better than the other
00:58two, it will start winning those three way contests.
01:01After cycling through leader after leader in the political wilderness, the Liberals have
01:06finally united behind Jess Wilson.
01:09I want to bring hope back to Victoria.
01:11She's campaigning on tax cuts, law and order and a rethink of the multi-billion dollar suburban
01:18rail loop.
01:19One Nation is also running on law and order, a strong anti-renewables campaign and simply
01:25not being a major party, despite hoping this election will open the door to genuine political
01:31power.
01:32Nobody need fear of One Nation government.
01:34Early on, One Nation had high hopes for this election back when it was polling roughly
01:38level with the major parties, looking at holding the balance of power or even being part of
01:43a minority government.
01:44There is only one coalition in Victoria, that is the Liberals and the Nationals, and that
01:49is not changing.
01:50A month out, the Coalition has pulled well ahead of Labor and One Nation in the polls.
01:56One Nation voters, for example, some of them are moving over to the Coalition because
02:00they suddenly have come to the realisation that the Coalition is probably the best place
02:03to remove the government.
02:05Labor has made some stunning electoral comebacks in Victoria before.
02:09This would be its biggest yet.
