00:00It's a top 20 matchup in the Big Ten between Michigan and Iowa.
00:04And I am dangerously excited for this football game,
00:11is probably the appropriate way to put it here.
00:18I understand who Iowa, I understand who they are, okay?
00:26I do not like this program.
00:29There are people who do, who think that they're, I don't know,
00:33a part of the heart of this sport.
00:35I don't like a team that enters every year, okay?
00:39Just capping their ceiling, offense isn't real,
00:42we'll find a safety somewhere.
00:45It's not for me, man.
00:47Every game's total is in the 30s.
00:50It's not for me.
00:52And yet, I love Iowa in this game.
00:58I feel like I'm going nuts.
01:02I feel like I'm going absolutely crazy.
01:07Michigan beat UTEP.
01:10They scored 52.
01:12Why?
01:13Their defense didn't show up.
01:15And now we're like, well, they scored 52 on UTEP.
01:18That's only impressive because we didn't think they could score the football.
01:21UTEP is not good.
01:22And it's like, they also scored 28 the second half.
01:26It was also in the second half.
01:28Right.
01:29And it's like, well, what about the Oklahoma win?
01:32Guys?
01:33I know we all watched that game.
01:34It was a big game.
01:35I know we all watched that game.
01:36Their offense is awful.
01:38Their, the, the Michigan offense is not good.
01:41Bryce Underwood threw for 111 yards.
01:45I was on his overpassing prop.
01:47I don't know if he threw for more than 10 yards in the second half of that football game.
01:52They were, they scored 10 and they were stuck in the mud until John Mateer threw an interception
01:59that left them six yards away from the end zone.
02:06So does anybody think Michigan are going to move the ball today?
02:10The answer to that is no, because everyone likes the under.
02:12So five and a half in a game that everybody thinks is going to have 30 points might as
02:18well be double digits.
02:20It might as well be.
02:21And, but here is the sneaky thing that even I, I don't want to say this, but these are
02:27just facts, right?
02:29Is the Michigan offense awful?
02:31100%?
02:32Yes.
02:33Is the Iowa offense?
02:34100% awful.
02:3798%?
02:38Yes.
02:38Guys, I will lead the country in yards per carry.
02:44That's not nothing.
02:47Like it, the second team is Georgia who every time David, I are like, let's get cute and fade
02:53them spoiler.
02:54Going to do it again.
02:55They just cover and score a thousand points.
02:57Okay.
02:59Michigan are going to have to actually stop an Iowa rush offense.
03:02That looks great.
03:03And maybe they will.
03:04It doesn't matter because Michigan can't score the football here.
03:06I think I will win this football game outright.
03:09I, I just, this was a team that caught five and a half at home from Oklahoma, Oklahoma,
03:1510 points better than Iowa.
03:17Where?
03:17In what world?
03:19Not in, not in 2026 people.
03:21Sorry.
03:22Sorry to break it to you.
03:23So I, as you can tell Dave, I'm excited for this one.
03:27I think the Hawkeyes get busy here in Ann Arbor.
03:31I mean, we're an hour and three minutes into this show and we're 1000% in agreement on
03:36this game.
03:37In fact, when our producer asked me what my best bet was going to be, I was going to say
03:41this one, but I couldn't steal your best bet.
03:44I it's on my card.
03:45You'll see.
03:45It's on my card, but I wasn't going to go all in and have my best bet and your best
03:49bet
03:50be the same one.
03:50So we'll tease it for later what it is, but I was on my card.
03:53It was the first bet I took this week for the same reasons you said.
03:56Michigan's offense is terrible.
03:58We've been saying it.
03:59We said it against Western Michigan.
04:01We said it against Oklahoma.
04:02When I took the team total under versus Oklahoma and won it, even with a six yard drive for
04:09a touchdown, I still won Michigan team total under when they won the game.
04:13They didn't look good against UTEP.
04:15It was all second half scoring.
04:17This offense is 90th in the nation in rushing.
04:21They've only run 59 plays per game.
04:25That is the third lowest in the country.
04:28We're talking about Michigan here.
04:30They go against an Iowa team that is number one in the country in defensive scoring and
04:36yards, 4.3 points per game, 176.7 yards per game.
04:42They've given up 13 points through three games.
04:45Iowa is that good.
04:47I know why people want to go low scoring.
04:50It is a low scoring atmosphere game.
04:51It's in the thirties.
04:52You know, I love taking unders.
04:53I grabbed Iowa plus five and a half.
04:56As soon as the line came out, I know they've played NIU and they played Northern Iowa.
05:02They also beat Iowa state.
05:04That's not easy to do.
05:05Michigan's offense is terrible.
05:08Bryce Underwood is still terrible.
05:10Kevin, 20 years from now, I'm going to remind you that you took a Bryce Underwood over versus
05:14Oklahoma.
05:15I'm going to remind you of that for the next 20 years.
05:17Cause I was, I was on the other side and I'm like, there's no way Bryce Underwood's thrown
05:22for 175 yards.
05:24And I'm probably going to play the under 100 in the first half.
05:27And, and, and Dave, and Dave won it sweat free.
05:31Sweat free.
05:32A hundred in the first half.
05:35I know they're undefeated.
05:37I know they're ranked.
05:39They're not a good football team.
05:41I have a lot of Michigan friends that keep talking about them being undefeated.
05:44They're not undefeated.
05:45They lost to Western and the committee knows that.
05:48I think Iowa goes in there and wins.
05:50I'm going to play this.
