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Terry McLaurin has been the heart and soul of the Washington Commanders for nearly a decade. Scary Terry battled some unfortunate injuries last season, but he didn’t look impressive in week one against Philly this past Sunday. Are you worried that Terry McLaurin has lost a step?
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00:00Marvin Eloquin, I'm not exactly sure who he is,
00:04but he works for some sort of fantasy football site, Dynasty Football.
00:10He had an analysis on wide receivers and their efficiency in week one,
00:17going by metric, expected points added, minimum three targets.
00:24And Antonio Williams came out numero uno in the NFL.
00:30I mean, nearly had two touchdowns in his rookie debut.
00:34He's tackled at the one.
00:35Bill got that touchdown.
00:37He got the touchdown that we saw, obviously, where he scooped it off the ground,
00:41kept it alive.
00:42I mean, he's just a guy that gets open.
00:47I mean, is he a poor man's Amon Ross St. Brown?
00:52Well, that's what Pete Davis said.
00:53I'm sure he's kind of copped to that.
00:55That's what Dave's suggested.
00:56Now, St. Brown as a rookie had 90 catches.
00:59I don't think anybody's going to forecast Antonio Williams to have 90 catches.
01:04No.
01:04But he served notice that he's going to be a big part of the offense in the first week.
01:08That's good.
01:09In limited snaps, by the way.
01:11Yeah.
01:11Right.
01:12Well, you're going to start, if you start putting numbers up like that,
01:14you're going to see him on the field.
01:15You're going to see Deami Brown's numbers go down and his go up.
01:19I don't know how they go down.
01:21I mean, as far as like his route participation amount of time on the field.
01:26Look, he gets open.
01:27That's his calling card.
01:28The guy, I think, is a pretty elite route runner.
01:31Can he be a future number one?
01:34I don't know.
01:34I mean, I think Adam Peters on draft day said he could play all the spots.
01:38Remember, that was kind of the idea.
01:40So, maybe they can groom him, potentially.
01:42Well, look.
01:43I don't know.
01:44Your number one and two are older guys.
01:46Right.
01:47Right?
01:47And then Antonio Williams is perfectly set up for him to be the number one.
01:50To grab a big role.
01:51Yeah, he could be a number one.
01:52In that catch that he brought down to the one,
01:55he completely put Dejean on roller skates.
01:57I mean, he might be the number two right now.
01:59He didn't have a prayer of keeping up with him.
02:02So, I mean, you have to be excited as a Commanders fan what you saw out of him.
02:07And now you know that his role has to expand.
02:11It's not just going to stay at whatever number.
02:12More targets.
02:13I think so.
02:14His role will expand, I think, starting this weekend.
02:18Commanders fans want to see the McLaurin targets go up
02:20and the Antonio Williams targets go up.
02:22That's fine.
02:23That'd be great.
02:24I think you're going to see that this week.
02:25We just need a higher completion percentage from Dejean.
02:27You do.
02:28And if Chig is banged up and can't go,
02:31like, they kind of work in the same area of the field.
02:33Yeah.
02:33I mean, he should get a lot more targets this weekend.
02:37I think that your higher completion percentage from Dejean is going to take a hit
02:40because he is making a concerted effort,
02:42and he prided himself on it,
02:43and he talked about it in a press conference about throwing the ball away
02:47instead of, you know, running out of bounds
02:49or just trying to get an extra yard or two with his legs.
02:52He made a concerted effort,
02:54and he said he was proud of it, of throwing the ball away.
02:56So, you know, if you're going to do that,
02:58your completion percentage is probably not going to be, like, 70%.
03:02It's going to take a hit.
03:04I get that.
03:05Yeah.
03:05I'm watching the game, and I don't have the plays charted.
03:08I charted it for Zach.
03:09But there were several times where it looked like he didn't pull the trigger.
03:12This is from Matt.
03:12He thought about making a pass, and he decided not to make the pass.
03:15Matt Harmon, who does work for Yahoo Sports Fantasy,
03:19and he specializes in breaking down wide receivers.
03:23Here's what he said about Williams.
03:25Thought his film was really impressive in week one.
03:27Good routes, explosive out of breaks, created some good separation.
03:31That offense needs more options,
03:34and he definitely commanded some opportunity with his play.
03:37Yeah.
03:37He's going to get more reps.
03:39So he's impressing throughout.
03:41He's impressing people that follow, like, the league closely.
03:46Remember the practice he had against the Ravens,
03:50where he really showed out there.
03:52I mean, he basically slowly progressed all throughout camp.
03:56I mean, they loved what they saw.
03:58So, you know, let's see.
03:59Remember, I'll even admit, when they drafted him,
04:02before I watched the highlights of him and saw the kind of player that he was,
04:05I wanted a bigger receiver.
04:06I think a lot of Skins fans wanted a bigger receiver.
04:10They went in their own direction, and I think, ultimately,
04:13I think it's going to be one of AP's better picks.
04:16Because, you know, now, especially with the way Sanistro,
04:22Mikey struggled, that 24 draft after Jaden,
04:26I mean, I think Brandon Coleman's been a solid pick.
04:28But Johnny Newton's been disappointing.
04:30Mikey's been, you know, on the whole, I'd say,
04:32Dennis disappointing.
04:33Sinnott hasn't really had a massive impact.
04:36McCaffrey's had a marginal impact.
04:39I think, didn't they let go of Dominique Hampton?
04:43Javante Jean-Baptiste, he's had very marginal impact.
04:47Jordan McGee, marginal, a lot of potential, but marginal.
04:50Yeah, he was on the roster.
04:51So, I think, and then last year, you had Conor Lane, I think he's been solid.
04:56Amos is still a question mark.
04:57Lane's been, I'd say, pretty good value for a fourth rounder.
05:01Medrano, very little special teams.
05:04And Bill's been a good pick.
05:05That's a good pick.
05:06This is kind of surprising.
05:08Jaden Daniels' passing yard prop is only 2-0, 2-1⁄2.
05:13Yeah, until proven otherwise.
05:15I mean, I think it's, I think it probably will be around 200 every week, actually.
05:19I think he's got to be, he's got to throw for more than 2-0, too.
05:22To beat the Cowboys?
05:23I think he, I think he will.
05:24I think I would bet on that.
05:25I think I would bet on the over.
05:27I think I would bet on the over.
05:28I don't know what goes into this scoring system,
05:31but this is from Ryan Fowler, who works for, let's see,
05:35NFL and NFL draft for NBC Sports Philadelphia.
05:38He has a listing of separation score among rookie wideouts for week one.
05:43And I'll start from five and go up to one.
05:45Makai Lemon, his score was .03.
05:48Caleb Douglas from the Dolphins was .1.
05:51Denzel Boston from the Browns, .1.
05:54Casey Concepcion, also from the Browns, his was .18.
05:59Antonio Williams' separation score, .818.
06:03That's different.
06:04Considerably better than all the guys.
06:06I mean, that's just.
06:06Yeah, he killed all those guys.
06:07Ridiculous.
06:08Like, I've been screaming.
06:09It's a quantum leap.
06:10When you watch those highlights from him in college, you see,
06:13oh my God, this guy is an elite route runner.
06:15Yeah.
06:16It's different than the other guys.
06:17He was always considered one of the best receivers in the ACC.
06:20He just had injuries.
06:22He had some injuries.
06:22Hamstrings, right?
06:23Yeah, I think he had multiple injuries.
06:25Yeah.
06:25But he did.
06:26And he's not the biggest guy like that.
06:27You could see that happening.
06:28But when he was healthy in his freshman year and his junior year,
06:32he put up numbers.
06:33But the years, he was banged up.
06:35And he had issues at quarterback because club nick wasn't great.
06:37But, yeah, I mean, they might have stolen him.
06:41I think they might have stolen him.
06:42From one week, it's looking that way.
06:44Yeah.
06:45I mean, Fowler tweeted this back in April about Antonio Williams.
06:50Separation, separation, separation.
06:51It's all over his tape.
06:53Inside-out versatile and a glider in the open field.
06:56Hands improved in 25 is a dynamic threat after the catch.
07:00He's going to be a target hog in David Blau's offense.
07:04Excellent compliment to McLaurin.
07:06Yeah.
07:06That was back in April.
07:07By the way, the prop on McLaurin catches is three and a half.
07:13I think I would go over this week.
07:15I think you've got to smash the over button.
07:17I think I would go over this week.
07:18I mean, it's a pretty big number if you want to bet the over three and a half.
07:21It's minus 170.
07:22Okay.
07:23So they are expecting him.
07:25What is it for four and a half?
07:28Alt receptions?
07:29Yeah.
07:31Let's see.
07:32What would be the next number?
07:32Alt receptions for four and a half.
07:34Yeah.
07:34All right.
07:35For four plus, it's plus 130.
07:39Okay.
07:39So you can get plus one in that.
07:40I think it's reasonable.
07:43They don't have Williams on here for some reason.
07:46His first pass of the game was a little low, but it was dropped by Terry.
07:50We all thought it was a catch.
07:51It wasn't until replay they took it back.
07:54Terry kind of played it off, and it was second and 10.
08:00McLaurin's going to have over three and a half catches.
08:02I feel very confident about that.
08:04I feel like they're going to try to get to him the first pass of the game or the second
08:08pass of the game.
08:09Well, they did last week.
08:10To get him in the mix.
08:11They did last week.
08:11Yeah.
08:12And then he was also targeted the next time was his seventh pass, and that's when he fell
08:17down.
08:20I can't remember.
08:21I remember he fell.
08:22He fell down on the route.
08:23I don't know how he tripped up.
08:24I didn't examine it that closely, but he was pretty far away from the throw.
08:29Now, they do have Diggs total receptions higher than McLaurin.
08:33They've got him at four and a half.
08:34I think Diggs is going to be ... I'm telling you, I just have a feeling that there's going
08:39to be a love affair.
08:43It's going to be like when Greg Norman and Chris Everett were married for one year.
08:48It's going to be hot and sexy.
08:51We're going to have an affair with Diggs this year that's going to be ...
08:55I hope you're right.
08:56It's going to be passionate.
08:58Now, it may only be a brief affair.
09:01It might be a brief marriage.
09:03I'm not saying an affair like cheating on Terry, but I'm just saying it's going to be ... I
09:07think the fan base is going to be just head over heels for him.
09:10He signed a one-year deal.
09:12If he's really good, if it's that hot and steamy ...
09:15I think it's going to be hot and steamy.
09:16I'd bring him back for ... I'd consider bringing him back for another year.
09:19I mean, in his first week ... In my opinion, they pulled him for a good chunk there after
09:24the second drop.
09:25He still was targeted nine times.
09:28He's proven he can get open.
09:29He could get open.
09:31I'd be surprised if either of those prop numbers were under the ... I mean, I would expect McLaurin
09:36to be over three and a half and Diggs to be over four and a half.
09:39Yeah.
09:40I would think they'd both be in that five to seven range, if not higher.
09:47Right?
09:48That makes sense.
09:49I mean, this is the Dallas defense you're facing, not Philly.
09:51Yeah.
09:52I know online, I saw a clip where the Giants ran the same play four straight times.
09:56Yeah, I talked about it yesterday.
09:58Because the Dallas Cowboys couldn't respond to it.
10:00They kept running Tevin Singletary to the left.
10:02It was three passes to him, one run, all the exact same formation, exact same looking
10:07play, and Dallas just couldn't stop it or was unable to stop it.
10:12On one of those likely touchdowns, he just kind of cut to the right.
10:17And I don't know what the linebacker or the safety in the corner were thinking, but they
10:21just let Likely go.
10:22Well, that's a hot and steamy affair between Jackson Dart and Isaiah Likely.
10:26Like, they were linking up in the preseason.
10:28Yeah, but that could be a long-term relationship.
10:30That's the difference.
10:31That could be a long-term relationship.
10:33Likely's young.
10:34This one is going to be just like hot, crazy sex for one year and then divorce.
10:39That's probably ...
10:40You never know, man.
10:41You could extend it past a year.
10:43I don't know why I equate that to Greg Norman and Chris Everett, but I just know they had
10:47like a steamy ...
10:48They had like a steamy relationship, got married real quick, and then got divorced real quick.
10:54Both of them had divorced multiple times.
10:56Multiple times.
10:57Multiple times.
10:58They're both on their third or fourth marriage.
10:59But I just feel like they had crazy sex for like one year, and then it was ...
11:03No idea.
11:05You're just assuming.
11:07I am assuming.
11:08All right, let's go to Joe in Manassas.
11:11Joe, what's up?
11:12We're all with the junks.
11:14What's up?
11:14What's up, junks?
11:15Love to show us always.
11:17What's up, guys?
11:18What's up?
11:18Hey, so you know when you think this, you know, it's over.
11:21It's got to be over, over, over.
11:23Yeah.
11:23Thanks.
11:24What's it going to be?
11:25You think it's going to be over what?
11:27Under.
11:27It's going to be under everything, man.
11:29Why?
11:30It's going to be a gun.
11:31Just because we don't know?
11:32Like we ...
11:33Yeah, just like we said.
11:34Every time you zig, it's a zag.
11:36You know what I'm saying?
11:37Like, it's just the way it's going to be, man.
11:40You don't think that you have maybe two mediocre secondaries that could get taken advantage of?
11:46I agree with that.
11:48After the first game, we saw two mediocre secondaries.
11:51But you know the NFL, man, from week to week, you can't bank on anything.
11:55That's true.
11:55There is some truth to that.
11:56I'm going to press the under on this, baby, hard.
11:58Watch.
11:59I mean, three and a half catches for McLaurin?
12:01I mean, come on.
12:02I mean, Ray Charles would be betting the over, man.
12:04Let's go.
12:05Come on.
12:05I hope you're wrong, Joe.
12:06All right, so hold on.
12:07But you're going over on McLaurin.
12:09No, he's under.
12:11He's an under guy.
12:11Hold on, you're under on McLaurin?
12:13Oh, he hung on.
12:13He's under on all of them.
12:14I think he's on ...
12:15Yeah, he was definitely under on the total points.
12:18I thought it sounded like he was under on the total points, but he's definitely over
12:21on the McLaurin.
12:21I'll take that bet.
12:22If he wants to call back and Venmo me up front, I'll take that bet.
12:25You'll take the under on Terry?
12:27No, I'll take ...
12:27He's going the other way.
12:28He'll go the over.
12:29Yeah, I'll take his bet if he wants to go under three and a half.
12:31It sounded like he wants to go under on Terry.
12:34Sounds like it.
12:35Sounds like he just doesn't expect a lot of points.
12:37My head's exploding.
12:39Actually, I thought he said under on the total for the game, over though for Terry.
12:44Oh, okay.
12:44That's what I ...
12:45I missed that.
12:45I think he was just betting against Cakes and Cakes' general love of overs.
12:50I do love overs.
12:51They're much more fun.
12:52Well, I'll tell you what.
12:52This past week was an over, over, over, over week for most teams.
12:56Yes, it was.
12:58There were six games in the 60s.
13:01Yes, it was fun.
13:02Highest scoring week one in NFL history.
13:04Yep.
13:05Now, I know, just if JP wants to humor me, I did chart the first half, and that's where
13:11Jaden couldn't get going for whatever reason.
13:16And you tell me which play here you think he really hesitated.
13:20The first pass was the one he threw to Terry.
13:23I'm going to have to watch the video.
13:24You might remember.
13:25The second pass ...
13:26I can't remember off the top of my head.
13:28The second pass, he hit digs.
13:29That was the first down.
13:30Third pass was the busted flea flicker.
13:32Maybe you wanted to force it.
13:33That just looked like a busted play.
13:35He threw that away.
13:36Fourth pass, dropped by digs.
13:39Fifth pass was the deep out to Deami.
13:41Deami didn't get the separation, but he took a chance.
13:44So, he threw a Heineken ball to him.
13:46Didn't ...
13:47You know, third and ten grasper.
13:48Fine with that.
13:49The sixth, simple pass to John Bates, completed.
13:54Seventh pass was when Terry fell down.
13:56The eighth pass, he rolled out.
13:58This is the one that bugged me the most.
14:00He rolled out, avoided the rush, did a great job, kept his eyes downfield, and tried to
14:04hit digs on like, you know, just like they just scrambled type thing and just missed him.
14:10He missed him pretty badly.
14:12I thought that one was one he really probably wants back.
14:16The ninth pass, he was a little short to digs, remember?
14:19And Zach Bond had a great, like, tip.
14:21Just barely tipped it.
14:23Yep.
14:23Otherwise, I thought it would have been a great pass, but it was a little short, in fairness.
14:28He had the complete screen to Bill, where he just got stuffed for no gain.
14:33Didn't hesitate there.
14:35The 11th pass, he was under pressure.
14:37He bought time.
14:38Remember, he threw it on the sideline.
14:40Basically threw it out of bounds, where he was the only chick who could get it.
14:43And then the DB, actually, for the Eagles, caught it out of bounds, if you remember, on
14:47the right sideline.
14:47I think that was Bond.
14:49Maybe he hesitated there.
14:53I don't remember.
14:5412th pass, he was pressured.
14:55He threw it away.
14:56The hesitation might have been on his runs, where he pulled it down, where it looked like
15:02he was going to throw, and he pulled it down.
15:04To run.
15:05Yeah.
15:06Yeah.
15:0712th pass, he pressured to throw it away.
15:0913th pass, he threw it away in the red zone.
15:11And then the 14th pass was the completion to Antonio Williams, which was almost a touchdown.
15:15And then Bill rolled over his offensive lineman and got credit for the touchdown, if you remember.
15:19So that was the first half.
15:21And then he came to life in the fourth quarter.
15:24I wish we could have had more of that early on.
15:26He had a couple really nice runs, too, in the fourth quarter.
15:28Yeah.
15:28And the thing that I think we all liked is we could tell he made a concerted effort to get
15:32down.
15:33Yeah.
15:35So, I don't know.
15:37He had a pretty, you know, whatever.
15:39He had a solid QBR grade.
15:43It was definitely not a vintage Jaden performance.
15:46It probably, I would say, maybe on a whole below average.
15:49But that, I think, is because the standard's pretty high for him.
15:51I thought the offense overall was just uninspiring.
15:54I would agree with that.
15:55And Jaden was a big part of it.
15:55Until the fourth quarter.
15:56You're right.
15:57I think Jaden executed what was there.
16:00I think you're going to see a spark earlier in the game, in the first quarter.
16:03I think it was opponent dependent.
16:05I'm banking on it being opponent dependent.
16:06And look, if they struggle like that every week, well, then it's going to be a long season.
16:11We have big problems if they struggle like that every week.
16:13Coming up next, there's some controversy with Alex Ovechkin doing a commercial for Vladimir
16:20Putin.
16:21We'll talk to Barry Zverluga from The Athletic about that next.
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