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Get the inside scoop on the latest in Ukraine—new Russian drones, empty shelves in Kyiv, and political chess moves across Europe! Our panel breaks down what’s really happening, what NATO might do, and why the stakes are higher than ever. Don’t miss these eye-opening insights! Subscribe for more updates, and let us know in the comments what shocked you most from this video. #Ukraine #Russia #NATO #War #Geopolitics
👉 This channel was created in collaboration with https://www.youtube.com/@xaviertytelman
0:00 - Recent Strikes and Drone Warfare in Ukraine
1:51 - Supply Chain Destruction and Civilian Impact
2:34 - Russian Offensive Threats and Ukrainian Response
3:15 - Russian Political Aims and Baltic States
6:29 - Drone Attacks, False Flags, and Western Responses
8:02 - European Military Production and Arms for Ukraine
9:33 - Baltic D-Day Scenario and NATO Response
12:46 - No-Fly Zone Debate and Western Credibility
We are now available on Spotify! Listen now https://open.spotify.com/show/6KW2Zo9GU39VZSvv2zIpxM
👉 This channel was created in collaboration with https://www.youtube.com/@xaviertytelman
0:00 - Recent Strikes and Drone Warfare in Ukraine
1:51 - Supply Chain Destruction and Civilian Impact
2:34 - Russian Offensive Threats and Ukrainian Response
3:15 - Russian Political Aims and Baltic States
6:29 - Drone Attacks, False Flags, and Western Responses
8:02 - European Military Production and Arms for Ukraine
9:33 - Baltic D-Day Scenario and NATO Response
12:46 - No-Fly Zone Debate and Western Credibility
We are now available on Spotify! Listen now https://open.spotify.com/show/6KW2Zo9GU39VZSvv2zIpxM
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NewsTranscript
00:00Bukha was hit yesterday and Bucha was hit again tonight. Look.
00:17It was mainly drones that hit this warehouse. Is Russia changing on that front end?
00:22They have a new generation of drones, the Giran. We often talk about the Shahed, but actually there are different
00:27generations of Shahed.
00:28There are the propeller Shahed drones, and basically they go at 220, 250 kilometers per hour.
00:34And those ones now have an interception rate of 96% because the Ukrainians have interceptors with a range of
00:39up to 30 kilometers and a huge interception rate.
00:42On the other hand, there's a new generation of these drones that are actually jet-powered and can go almost
00:47450, 500 kilometers per hour.
00:49And in this case, they don't have enough traditional interceptors.
00:51They're not fast enough. So you have to use fighter jets or intercept them with missiles.
00:56And in this case, we know there's a shortage in this area. And for now, the Ukrainians are helpless.
01:01So there's a new generation of interceptors being developed, but an interceptor needs to go at 600, 700 kilometers.
01:07There are two companies working in this field, including a French one called Alta Altaris, which is very well established
01:12in Ukraine and has good results.
01:14But in terms of volume, in terms of mass, the Russians have gained the slight advantage, even though, once again,
01:20they're firing less than before.
01:21But now their hit rate has gone from 10 to 20%.
01:25I came back from Ukraine four days ago. For the first time, I'm more worried about the civilians than the
01:29military.
01:30The military are holding the front, they're resisting, and they're even retaking more territory than they're losing in August.
01:35It's the first time in over three years that this has happened.
01:37But for the civilians, it's actually the first time I've seen supermarkets that were empty.
01:42Before, in Kramatorsk, when you were 30 kilometers from the Russians, you could choose between yellow Kiwis and green Kiwis.
01:47Now, in Kyiv, there are real shortages, and that's hard.
01:51And as for resources, I'm strong here because we understand, and rightly so, that it's been pointed out that the
01:55Ukrainians are managing to bomb Russian supply centers, yes.
01:58But at the same time, the Russians are able to do the same to Ukraine.
02:01So they started in 2022. There were 3.2 million square meters of warehouses before the war.
02:06In the first year alone, they destroyed 700,000 square meters.
02:10So it's a cumulative effect. Today, 90% of all modern Ukrainian warehouses have been destroyed.
02:1790% of the total. That means what we see now, which we didn't necessarily see a few months ago,
02:23is convoys of trucks, because there are no more warehouses.
02:26And they have partly taken over, so they are mobile, directly from Lviv or from Poland.
02:30They deliver to supermarkets and make round trips that last a day in this way.
02:34According to Politico, Moscow is even preparing an attack on Kyiv. The plans are ready.
02:40Let's look at this map. It would mainly involve attacking Chernihiv and Kyiv, Xavier Stelman.
02:46Once again, this is a threat that comes up very regularly.
02:49But it's also meant to force the Ukrainians to withdraw some of the troops that are holding off Russia on
02:54the front line.
02:55The Russians want to give the impression that there will be an offensive elsewhere,
02:58so that the Ukrainians are forced to withdraw some of their forces and firepower,
03:02which are concentrated in the Donbass, where the main Russian attack is taking place.
03:05So, you don't believe it?
03:07In any case, the Ukrainians, whether it's true or not, will have to take measures and deploy troops in the
03:11area,
03:11which will inevitably reduce their ability to hold out in the Donbass.
03:15Yet, Vladimir Putin is quite clear. He doesn't intend to stop there.
03:18He says it openly, propaganda or not.
03:21It's been said, and it's been heard even in European governments. Listen.
03:29In the north, orcas live near bears, and they eat them.
03:36How? They attack in packs. They destroy them.
03:41All of this is very interesting. It's the food chain.
03:46And that's what we should teach children, so they understand the world we live in
03:50and why we are conducting a special military operation.
03:58The reality, though, is that Russian society is built differently. He says it. We should teach that in school.
04:04Vladimir Putin, yes, that the big ones eat the small ones.
04:07But what else does he say, Putin, in 2020?
04:10He says that at the end of the USSR, a number of historically Russian territories were torn away from Russia
04:15and that they should return to the Russian fold.
04:17So you think we haven't heard that enough?
04:19Putin has been repeating it for quite a long time now.
04:22And the direct threats from Petrushev, who is Putin's chief advisor, against the Baltic states.
04:26The proposal to revoke recognition of the independence of Ukraine and the Baltic states
04:30by the United Russia Party in the Duma in February 2022.
04:34All of that, it's not just talk.
04:36So there is an alignment between the policy.
04:38There is an alignment between the military preparation with the construction of infrastructure
04:42that we see everywhere, which would allow for a surprise attack.
04:45On Ukraine, we saw it building up.
04:47We saw it starting from April 2021.
04:49We could see them.
04:50Here, the point is that they are building infrastructure and hours drive from the front,
04:53they attack.
04:54And we don't have time to scramble fighter jets before we're already at war instantly.
04:58There's no buildup, etc.
04:59So when you pursue a policy that is openly aggressive,
05:03preparing with attacks on our soil, which fortunately mostly fail, but still actually happen,
05:09with infrastructures being targeted and so on.
05:12And at the same time, we have an open military preparation.
05:15Obviously, we should be concerned.
05:16And the fact that they attack all sorts of things, some of which are almost funny when
05:20you take a step back and look at politics and so on.
05:23Still, all of this is a coordination of attacks that are in the physical, material, political
05:27and informational domains.
05:29And obviously, we have to be very firm in the face of all this.
05:33And some people think that he could, in a certain way, target Moldova, neither NATO nor the
05:39European Union, so that could possibly be a scenario that's being considered.
05:43So Georgia and Moldova are possibilities, once again, because Patrushev also reminded
05:47us that Moldova's destiny was to return to the Russian sphere.
05:52They have started to increase the distribution of passports, just as they did in South Ossetia
05:57and Abkhazia.
05:59So, they are resuming this policy of widespread passport distribution in Moldova.
06:04Now, there will certainly not be any military action by force.
06:07There will be the intention to recognize that Transnistria is part of Russian territory, etc.
06:12Those are possible scenarios.
06:15It will be political.
06:16It will be diplomatic pressure.
06:17But it won't be a military action, maybe with the little green men like we saw in Crimea.
06:21But it will stop there.
06:24We can't imagine today that Russia has the military resources to organize a landing in
06:28Transnistria.
06:29But there's also talk of the possibility of capturing Ukrainian drones to carry out false
06:34flag attacks.
06:35Do you think that's a real possibility?
06:37Xavier Sturman, that wouldn't be surprising because there are still a significant number
06:40of Ukrainian drones that are shot down on Russian territory.
06:43They can repair them.
06:44They can put small engines on them.
06:45They can launch them from the other side.
06:47That would allow them to carry out attacks while claiming that they weren't the ones who
06:50did it.
06:50Or that it was just Ukrainian drones that got lost.
06:53Now, indeed, we have a number of cases where there have been attempted attacks in supermarkets,
06:57including in France, just before the Olympic Games, in Vilnius, and also in Warsaw, in
07:01attacks that actually took place.
07:03There were even planes that almost exploded DHL planes with Ubitrap packages.
07:07Fortunately, the plane was delayed and the package exploded, caught fire, in the truck
07:11on the ground.
07:11Whereas normally, it should have destroyed the plane because it had gotten through all the
07:15security checks.
07:15So with the Russians, we can systematically trace it back to them.
07:19The drones here, we now have genetic traces on some of the drones that actually link them
07:24to the attacks in the Baltic countries because they didn't explode.
07:27So the traces remained, whereas they obviously thought it would be destroyed.
07:30So we know for sure.
07:31And the problem precisely is our lack of response.
07:34Yes, we are becoming aware.
07:35But if there were an operational response, if the Germans suffered an attack on their soil,
07:40well, the Germans would give 50 Taurus missiles to Ukraine.
07:44There's an explosion in a munitions depot in Bulgaria.
07:46Well, we give 10,000 rounds of ammunition to Ukraine.
07:50There.
07:50There would be a systematic response.
07:52And that would help reduce the tension from Russia, which today allows itself to do whatever
07:56it wants, flying drones, violating our airspace, and for which there are no consequences.
08:02But honestly, when we look at Europe's stockpiles, we wonder if there isn't a way to send all
08:07that to Ukraine.
08:08Why did we invest in drones, which cost less and can still cause considerable damage?
08:14I have a very concrete example.
08:16It's anti-tank missiles.
08:18I know a former French soldier who was a specialist in anti-tank missiles who arrived
08:22in Ukraine.
08:23And he said, using anti-tank missiles is suicidal.
08:25Creating a heat signature just to be able to shoot from only three kilometers away is suicidal.
08:29For the price of one anti-tank missile, which is 200,000 euros, you can get 500 kamikaze
08:34drones that will obviously do much more work.
08:37Simply, we don't have the production lines to make drones, and we have production lines
08:41to make missiles that are very expensive, and we're very good for war until 2021.
08:46And so we speed up.
08:47We put money into buying systems that are no longer suited to today's warfare.
08:51But not suited to today's warfare.
08:53But if we look a few years ahead, it's very clear that Ukraine has the possibility to produce
08:59for other countries.
09:00But that's why it's also useful to make exchanges to do each other favors.
09:04There are a number of technologies that we have.
09:06For example, you know that the Americans were supposed to allow Russia to start producing
09:10Patriot air defense systems locally.
09:12The Americans refused.
09:13The American companies refused, mainly because they were afraid that the Ukrainians would improve
09:17them and make them cheaper.
09:18In other words, it was purely industrial concerns.
09:21Well, we should also allow the Ukrainians to produce a number of systems under license.
09:25That's what we did with the SCALP missiles and the Aster-30 missiles.
09:28And in this case, it should also be beneficial for us, because we would be able to have more
09:32of them for less money.
09:33What is the D-Day scenario?
09:35Look, it's billed, and it's the Telegraph that reported what would be the scenario for
09:39this D-Day.
09:42With a Russia that would attempt an operation on one of the Baltic countries, for example,
09:46Latvia, settling in.
09:47Latvia, there you go.
09:48Latvia, which obviously has a very, very different strategic depth.
09:53Putin's little green men could attack NATO from the inside.
09:57That would be Act 1.
09:59Act 2 would be the threat made to the West.
10:02We have nuclear weapons, so let's start talking.
10:04But we, the Russians, are in a position of strength, and we are the ones who will set
10:09the pace.
10:09The alliance, as Bill explains, is working on a response plan with strikes that could reach
10:15deep into Russian territory.
10:16Listen to what General Yakovlev said on our channel.
10:19He says, if the Russians do that, we will have to respond just as harshly.
10:23The solution is a show of force in Kaliningrad.
10:27The destruction of all their air defense systems, because they are within artillery range from
10:33Poland or Lithuania.
10:35And then we tell Putin we're even reset.
10:37It's not about stupidly waiting for them to seize 15 square kilometers next to Narva and
10:44preparing for a big counteroffensive there.
10:47If we ever destroy the air defense of Kaliningrad, we look at the Russians and say, are you going
10:53nuclear now?
10:54It's up to him to ask himself that question, not us.
10:57It's very difficult to predict what NATO would do, but still scenario, textbook case.
11:01If the Russians attack, or in any case, occupy part of Latvia, does NATO, as General Kovalev
11:09says, bomb Kaliningrad?
11:12So NATO bombs Kaliningrad, then I would like to say one thing.
11:16If we're talking about a ground offensive, which seems rather doubtful to me, let me remind
11:20you that a ground offensive is visible.
11:22There are still preparations.
11:24Even if you're hidden, there are hideouts, etc.
11:26If it's really something big, it will be seen, and they can't do it secretly.
11:31If it's the little green men, that's something else.
11:33Those are maneuvers that are much more covert involving infiltration, etc.
11:38Personally, I think it's much more likely they'll test Western defenses first to see how
11:42we react, just like they do with planes, just like they do with drones, more and more regularly
11:47to see what the defenses are and how we react.
11:50So a real test.
11:52So now, if you tell me if they're attacking, what does NATO do?
11:55I'm telling you, I'm telling you, that within 10 minutes, well, the first planes that are
12:00stationed, by the way, in the Baltic countries, you know, Baltic air policing, etc.
12:04Well, they will intervene.
12:06And even without a NATO decision, it could be a decision by France, etc.
12:10on the territory of the European Union, under Article 42.7, which is a binding clause.
12:16Enemy troops invading a friendly ally to country, etc.
12:21It's absolutely unthinkable.
12:24I think they will take action.
12:27As for the invading troops, I believe there will be retaliatory batteries.
12:31Then regarding Kaliningrad, that already seems a little bit more, and we can discuss it.
12:36Because there, indeed, to bomb Kaliningrad, there would really need to be a NATO decision
12:42and unanimity among NATO countries.
12:45There was a scene earlier on this set, quite striking.
12:48General Yakovlev was saying, yes, let's go.
12:50We'll bomb Kaliningrad right away if they dare to touch, even to send a commando to Estonia.
12:55And General Yakovlev, Gombard, seemed to have both feet on the brake.
12:59Both feet on the brake?
13:01You hear?
13:02Wait, no.
13:03But that's right, Yakovlev, who's in charge, he's the one who is higher up in the hierarchy.
13:06I'm with Yakovlev.
13:07No, but just to remind you that the Westerners didn't even dare to send planes into the skies
13:11over Ukraine, which is, after all, a sovereign state.
13:12It's self-defense.
13:14Request.
13:14Bomb Kaliningrad.
13:16It seems difficult, but that's nevertheless what will have to make people believe,
13:19or at least make Putin fear, that this could be our reaction.
13:22From the moment they can afford to test things and we never react,
13:25whether it's attempting attacks, organizing explosions at ammunition depots, etc.,
13:29which are attributed to Russia,
13:30organizing train derailments with explosives attributed to Russia and Poland.
13:34There are still quite a few such incidents.
13:36What was our reaction besides saying,
13:38that's not very nice?
13:40Careful, we might talk about it at the UN.
13:42And then we're going to appeal to the Council.
13:44No, but there's nothing, there's no response.
13:46So if we tell them you put three little green men in Narva,
13:48we're going to kill your little green men and destroy your air defense.
13:50But for that, we also have to expose ourselves.
13:53We need certainty.
13:54And where I don't necessarily agree with what was said is that unanimity isn't necessary.
13:58Poland, as a sovereign nation, has the right to defend itself
14:01against a possible Russian presence by bombing directly.
14:04It doesn't need unanimity.
14:06Well, do it.
14:08Poland, yes, yes.
14:09I think the question, without a doubt, is how the West would react
14:12if, indeed, they try this all-out plan against the Baltic states' invasion of Kyiv from the south.
14:18That's the question of the no-fly zone.
14:20Let's look at this striking archive footage.
14:23That's what happened in 2022.
14:24In 2022, Zelensky, in March, I think it was early March, March 5th,
14:28as Clara, the chief editor, told me, March 5th, he was already saying,
14:32help me close the skies.
14:34Let your planes, the French Rafales, the German F-35s, and so on.
14:38Arrive in the skies over Ukraine and prevent Russia from attacking.
14:41First, listen to what Zelensky was saying.
14:45The people who die from now on will also die because of you.
14:49And your feebleness.
14:52And
14:52Because of your weakness, because of your disunity.
14:58All
14:58NATO intelligence services are well aware of the enemy's plans.
15:01They have also confirmed that Russia wants to continue the offensive.
15:04How is this possible?
15:05For nine days, we have been witnessing a fierce war.
15:08They are destroying cities.
15:10They are bombing our people, our children, residential neighborhoods, churches, schools.
15:16They are destroying everything that ensures a normal life, a human life.
15:19And they want to continue.
15:21Knowing that new strikes and new victims are inevitable,
15:24NATO deliberately decided not to close the skies over Ukraine.
15:28What is the sky in Ukraine?
15:31So, that was 2022 at the time.
15:34The Americans' answer was no, we can't go.
15:36That was Biden back then.
15:37Yes.
15:38Well, it was March, indeed.
15:40And when the Americans were kindly asking Volodymyr Zelensky if he wanted to leave the country.
15:45And in that case, they offered him exile, planes, and so on.
15:48And that's the beginning of Volodymyr Zelensky's heroic stature.
15:52I find it quite touching to see him again.
15:54Today, would Europeans be braver?
15:56They always say that we shouldn't be afraid of Russia.
15:58We shouldn't be afraid of nuclear weapons.
16:00Trump is bluffing.
16:02Putin is bluffing.
16:03This time, did they send the Rafales into the skies over Ukraine?
16:06Unfortunately, no.
16:07So, there are a number of politicians who say it clearly.
16:09There's Le Cornu who said he wasn't opposed to it back when he was a minister.
16:13You have the British who, for the first time, shot down Russian missiles over Ukrainian territory without crossing the border.
16:18They were in Romania.
16:19They shot it down from the other side.
16:21For the first time, we had exercises in which our Rafale jets interacted with Ukrainian air defense systems in Ukraine
16:26and the Swedish radar planes that were provided to Ukraine.
16:29So, technically, it's already been validated.
16:32What's missing is political courage.
16:34And apparently, politically speaking, there are certain countries, especially France, that are in favor, but they don't want to go
16:39alone.
16:39So, France is ready today to take the plunge.
16:42And me now, we should go for it.
16:43Come on, Xavier.
16:44That's a bit much.
16:45But she doesn't want to go alone.
16:46Yes.
16:47With whom?
16:47Who would be willing to fly into Ukrainian airspace with their planes?
16:49Yes.
16:49Well, actually, there are several countries that want to, but not under the same conditions.
16:53The Polish.
16:53The Polish.
16:54That's for sure.
16:55The Poles, Sikorsky, the minister of foreign affairs, has already said that he was in favor of these interventions in
17:00Ukrainian airspace.
17:01That means, excuse me, take a good look at the images from Kiev.
17:04You'll see what I mean to really understand what we're talking about, because from the Ukrainians' point of view, it's
17:07urgent.
17:08You know.
17:08So, for example, it's the image of this woman who is in a parking lot, which shows what daily life
17:13is like for Ukrainians.
17:14For 18 hours, the sirens have been sounding.
17:17You know, that means that for 18 uninterrupted hours, Ukrainians lived through this.
17:22It was really, look at this image.
17:24Tell me, this image of Tomusa.
17:25You showed one of the images that really struck.
17:27There are alerts every half hour, day and night.
17:29I've never had so many alerts as I do right now.
17:31And there's really the sound of, well, almost everything is intercepted.
17:34We hear the interceptions, but things are flying overhead.
17:36We go into shelters.
17:37It stops.
17:38There's a new alert that starts 15 minutes later.
17:40The bridges close.
17:41The buses empty out.
17:42The supermarkets have to be closed.
17:44Nothing can function normally anymore.
17:45The administrations, they have to do.
17:48Go out.
17:49But how is that possible?
17:50You know, if I may say, even on this very set, I remember people saying, don't worry.
17:53The Americans are no longer providing their resources.
17:56Europe is taking over.
17:57Don't worry.
17:58And those who challenged that were told, oh, you're defeatists.
18:01So, well, now there's a problem.
18:02But the reality is that we are not providing the Ukrainians with enough missiles to defend themselves against ballistic missiles,
18:07simply because we are not producing them.
18:09If we had made the decision in 2022,
18:11We were told the opposite.
18:12We were told there's no problem.
18:13Europe is strong enough to take over from the Americans.
18:15That was a lie.
18:16I don't know who told you that, but they don't know what they're talking about.
18:18They're not up to date.
18:19When you are on the ground, you know exactly what the needs are.
18:22The vast majority of Ukrainian needs are met by the development of Ukrainian systems.
18:25There are only a few small technologies they lack, especially for ballistic missiles.
18:29And in that area, we haven't kept up with the Russian buildup.
18:32The Russians have produced four, five, even ten times more now.
18:35We're only doing two or three times as much.
18:36But it's very troubling.
18:37We're very proud to have doubled it.
18:39No, but wait, it's very troubling.
18:40We're talking about the European Union.
18:42It's one of the GDP of the European Union.
18:44How much is it?
18:45What order of magnitude are we talking about?
18:46It's more than 20 trillion.
18:48There you go.
18:48And the GDP of Russia.
18:50What is it, two?
18:53When the imbalance is that great and we can't send enough weapons to protect Ukraine's skies,
18:58it's because we don't want to.
18:59We just don't want to.
19:00Quite simply, because we don't want to.
19:02Well, obviously.
19:03Well, that's what Xavier and a lot of people regret.
19:06Xavier says we can't.
19:08Can't we or can we?
19:09No.
19:09But it's both.
19:10It's both.
19:11We can't and we also hesitate about what we say, about what's politically correct.
19:15That is, sometimes it's convenient for us to say we don't want to.
19:18Sometimes it's convenient for us to say we can't.
19:20But the truth is, in reality, we do nothing.
19:22We barely do anything.
19:23Xavier says it.
19:24We barely do anything.
19:25And indeed, today, more and more, we are going to be at the...
19:27Up against the wall.
19:29But in terms of credibility, yes, honestly, in terms of credibility, it's very serious.
19:32Because when the Americans stop their aid and we say, come on, come on, don't be afraid.
19:36We're here.
19:36And then afterwards, some unfortunate people get bombed.
19:39We lied to the Ukrainians.
19:40That's really not very nice.
19:42And the worst part is that when you talk with them, they don't want to hear us celebrate
19:45their resilience and resistance anymore.
19:47What they say to us is, thank you very much.
19:50That's how you avoid responsibility.
19:51By celebrating our ability to resist, that's it.
19:54In fact, it was a way of saying, you'll do just fine on your own, which isn't the case.
19:58And that's why earlier I winced when Xavier, rightly so, said that Vladimir Putin must pay
20:03a price, and when he sends drones, whether naval or aerial, over European territory.
20:08Well, we're going to give 50 missiles to Ukraine.
20:11Do we have the 50 missiles?
20:12Who has them?
20:13Who's going to give them?
20:15German Taurus missiles.
20:16We're still waiting for them.
20:18I heard Mr. Merz, the German Chancellor, say that.
20:23Well, we are ready to attribute, you know, the explosive drone incidents in Leipzig.
20:28What will be the decision?
20:30What price will he make Russia pay for this?
20:33So, indeed, I agree that from the point of view of credibility, remember that phrase
20:38that provoked the ire of Donald Trump and J.D.
20:42Vance at the White House when he told them, you will feel the effect of this war that we
20:49are experiencing with Russia.
20:50And Donald Trump told him, don't tell us what we are going to feel.
20:53I think he could have also addressed that message to us.
20:55And that's kind of the point.
20:57I'm exaggerating a bit of what he was saying in March in that excerpt we played earlier.
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