Russia Is LOSING 19x Faster Than Ever Before

The Military Show

Ukraine claims it has turned the Black Sea into a Russian liability, forcing Moscow’s once-powerful Black Sea Fleet into retreat through drones, missiles, and innovative tactics. This video explores how control of the sea could reshape the war, weaken Russia’s grip on Crimea, and impact military logistics, trade, and future operations. We also examine the evidence behind these claims and what they could mean for the next phase of the conflict.  ⏱️ CHAPTERS: 00:00 - Russia Fails June 2026 Offensive With 39,490 Casualties 02:46 - Putin Delays Donetsk War Deadline For 15th Time 04:43 - Ukraine Launches 303 Long-Range Strikes Inside Russia 06:15 - Russian Army Suffers 1.4 Million Total Casualties 09:45 - Ukraine AI Drones Trigger 28 Billion Budget Deficit 12:20 - Will Putin Escalate the Ukraine War Into NATO?  Support us directly as we bring you independent, up-to-date reporting on military news and global conflicts by clicking here: https://www.youtube.com/@TheMilitaryShow/join  #militarystrategy #militarydevelopments #militaryanalysis #themilitaryshow  SOURCES: https://pastebin.com/GwBNsscD

Transcript

00:00It's starting to feel good to watch Russia lose so badly. In 2026, we've seen a complete momentum

00:05shift. Sure, Russia is still trying to push. Trying, but failing. What we're seeing now is

00:11Russia losing faster than it ever has before. A staggering 16 times faster, as the grand spring

00:17and summer offensive has sputtered to a near halt and Ukraine just keeps on flicking losses.

00:22Putin can't afford to carry this on for much longer. Russia is already at its breaking point,

00:28but the big question still remains, why is Putin sacrificing so many soldiers for so little?

00:34You'll find out soon. First, some numbers. In its July 1st Russian Offensive Campaign Analysis,

00:40the Institute for the Study of War, or ISW, revealed that Russia had so completely failed to achieve

00:46any operationally significant goals in its June offensive that it only managed to capture 30.43

00:51square kilometers of Ukraine. On the one hand, this is good news for Putin. Russia is in the black again.

00:57That result comes on the back of two months where Russia experienced net territory losses,

01:02as a rampaging Ukrainian counteroffensive liberated territory in several key regions.

01:07But on the other hand, it's 30 square kilometers. And when compared to what Russia achieved in June

01:122025, that is a pitiful amount. Even Russia's gains of 481 square kilometers a year ago were pretty sad.

01:20That's practically nothing in return for the massive offensive that was happening at the time.

01:24But what we've seen in June 2026 is so much worse. 16 times worse, in fact. That's how much less

01:32territory Russia has managed to gain in June 2026 compared to the same month last year. And it's

01:38indicative of a failing Russian offensive that was stopped before it ever got off the ground by

01:42Ukraine. But it gets worse. So much worse. We told you that Russia is losing its offensive momentum

01:4716 times faster than last year. What do we mean by that? The answer is found in a brutal mix

01:53of

01:53grinding delays and skyrocketing casualty rates. According to data from the Institute for the Study

01:59of War, Russia's territorial advance has slowed down by a staggering 16 times. But here's the real

02:05kicker. While their progress has crawled to a halt, it's costing them 16 times more blood for every

02:11kilometer they managed to take. Back in June 2025, Russia lost an average of 68 soldiers for every

02:17square kilometer it captured. But in June 2026, despite suffering a staggering 39,490 casualties,

02:26they gained almost no ground, meaning they are now losing a record-breaking 1,298 soldiers per square

02:34kilometer. Putin is still trying to trade blood for land, but Ukraine has forced the price up 19-fold,

02:41on an offensive that is running 16 times slower. This is insanity. It's certainly unsustainable,

02:47and it's not like Russia has sacrificed all of these soldiers to edge its way toward a breakthrough.

02:52The ISW points out that the majority of Russia's advances in 2026 so far have occurred in Konstantinivka,

03:00which is the southern anchor of the formidable Donetsk Fortress Belt. Gains in that city accounted for

03:0577 percent of everything that Russia managed to take in its pathetic June campaign. And when counting

03:11infiltrators, Russia has boots on the ground in 37 percent of the city. The percentage is much lower

03:17when we take infiltrators out of the equation and only account for parts of the city that Russia

03:21outright holds. Bear in mind that Russia first entered Konstantinivka in October 2025. About three

03:28quarters of a year of fighting has yielded about a third of the city, if we're being generous.

03:33But what all of this means is that Russia is essentially stuck in a stalemate at the southern

03:37tip of the fortress belt, and it's paid a massive price in blood just to get to that position. Putin

03:44will be livid. He'd set a deadline of September 2026 for the collapse of the entire fortress belt,

03:49yet his soldiers are still toiling away in one of the four cities that make up this belt,

03:54and they're barely advancing in that city. Putin thinks he has a solution for all of this.

03:58That September deadline? Make it December 31st. That'll surely be enough, right Putin?

04:04An extra few months for an army that is making progress at a crawl so slow it would humiliate a

04:09sloth is going to somehow accelerate to the point where it collapses the entire fortress

04:13belt in the next six months. There's only one word for this. Foolish. Still, it's only the 15th

04:20postponement of the Donetsk deadline. Jesus Christ, Putin. You set five of these deadlines in 2022,

04:26two in 2023, two in 2024, and another three in 2025. Now you've added three in 2026,

04:34after you said March 31st and September 1st. Anybody else would have looked at that failure

04:39rate and seen that maybe, just maybe, Donetsk is a hard nut to crack and that Putin's deadlines mean

04:44absolutely nothing. As for Ukraine, it compounds every Russian failure that we're seeing with a

04:49strike campaign that adds to Moscow's misery. That campaign, which has seen Ukraine accelerate its

04:54deep strikes on Russian territory and introduced middle-range strikes into its arsenal in 2026,

04:59is doing enormous damage to the machinery that supports Russia's attempts to advance.

05:04Again, the numbers for June are huge. We saw Ukraine pull off 303 middle-range strikes against

05:09Russian targets in June, which is 93 more than the total in May. Russia lost 12,867 fuel vehicles and

05:18fuel tanks during the month, which is four times the number that it lost in June 2025,

05:23along with 2,053 artillery systems versus 1,243 in June 2025.

05:30All across the occupied territories, Russian logistics are being disrupted,

05:34which wears down frontline troops who are trying, and failing, to make meaningful advances.

05:39In Russia itself, June saw Ukraine hit oil infrastructure and military targets across

05:4341 different Russian federal territories, including in Moscow. Many of these territories now face fuel

05:50shortages, as does Crimea, which is being isolated from the Russian mainland and occupied Ukraine in a

05:56brutal campaign designed to kick the occupiers out of the illegally annexed peninsula forever.

06:01This is what 2026 really looks like for Putin and his invasion of Ukraine. A woeful rate of advance

06:07in Ukraine and a country that is on fire because Ukraine has developed a capability that Putin

06:12arrogantly assumed it would never have. Still, the only way from rock bottom is up, right?

06:17Oh, Putin, as if you thought you were at the bottom yet.

06:20Yes, somehow it gets even worse for Russia than it already looks from everything we've shared so far.

06:26In a July 1st report, the Center for Strategic and International Studies, or CSIS, revealed that

06:31the costs of Putin's war against Ukraine, both in manpower and money, are ballooning out of control.

06:37And all of this is happening as Russia's offensive devolves to the point

06:40where it's now one of the slowest ever in the last century of warfare.

06:44The CSIS says that Russia has suffered an estimated 1.4 million casualties in a campaign

06:49that has still only taken about 20% of Ukraine's territory.

06:54Most of these gains were made in the early months of the war, and the 20% figure also includes

06:59Crimea,

06:59which Russia stole in 2014. Of the 1.4 million casualties, up to 450,000 are estimated to be what

07:06the CSIS calls irreversible losses, which means they've been killed in action.

07:11Many of the wounded will never be able to return to battle, at least not in any meaningful capacity.

07:17According to CSIS, these types of figures are unprecedented in the modern era of war.

07:21We're going to explain why in a moment, but before we do, this is a quick reminder that you're watching

07:26the military show. There's a lot more where this comes from, so don't forget to subscribe if you're

07:30getting valuable insight from our channel. So, CSIS ran some comparisons between

07:36Russia's Ukraine invasion and the outcomes of other modern military endeavors. The results

07:41were not what Putin wants to hear. Russia's casualty rate in Ukraine alone means that it

07:46suffered four times as many losses as the US military has experienced in all the wars it's

07:51fought since World War II. That includes the brutal conflicts in Korea and Vietnam, which both took

07:57massive tolls on the US and, in the case of the latter, failed to achieve America's objectives.

08:02Russia in Ukraine is doing four times worse than over 80 years of American fighting.

08:07But what will really sting Putin is that the man who is so desperate to return Russia to what he

08:12sees

08:12as the glory years of the Soviet Union would be pilloried for his complete and utter failures

08:17by the very leaders whom he wishes to emulate. Russia's losses in Ukraine are nine times higher than

08:23the combined Soviet and Russian losses since World War II. We'll repeat that nine times higher.

08:30If Putin wants his legacy to be restoring Russia to the days of the Soviet Union or any other of

08:35the supposed glorious periods in Russian history, then he's failing. And things simply won't get

08:40better for Russia. United24 media reports that Russia is losing between 30,000 and 34,000 soldiers

08:47per month in 2026. Throw June's figures into the mix and you get a casualty rate that is veering far

08:53too close to 40,000 for Russia's comfort. These losses aren't being replenished by new contract

08:58soldiers. Russia is recruiting volunteers at a rate of 27,000 per month, which means that Ukraine is

09:04whittling away at Russia's manpower advantage with every passing month. In some areas of the front lines,

09:09Russia is now losing eight soldiers for every one that Ukraine loses, the CSIS acts. And the rate of

09:15advance across key areas of the front is glacial. In Konstantinivka, which you may remember from

09:20earlier, Russia is pushing forward at a rate of 50 meters per day. Not kilometers, meters. Most people

09:27could run that distance in 10 seconds or less. In Pokrovsk, Russia moves forward at a rate of 70 meters

09:33per day. And its best performance is in the Slovyansk sector, with a rate of 90 meters per day. We

09:39haven't

09:39seen numbers like these since the Battle of the Somme in World War I. And that's not something Putin

09:44should take pride in. Ukraine's drone advantage is really starting to pay off here. CSIS says that

09:50Ukraine's use of AI-powered and autonomous systems is playing a huge role in the Russian failures that

09:55we're seeing all over the battlefield right now. It's an especially big reason why we see that 8 to

10:001 casualty stat mentioned. Putin is still trying to push his soldiers forward while Ukraine is

10:05mastering the use of AI drones and autonomous weapons that allow it to keep its soldiers away from

10:11the front while still inflicting massive casualties. Russia is trying to respond with an AI push of its

10:17own. According to a July 3rd Pravda report, Russia has begun the mass deployment of AI-equipped drones

10:22in Zaporizhia, which is an obvious concern, even if it has come months after Ukraine has amassed a

10:27massive stockpile of AI drones to batter Russia. But it's looking like too little, too late for Russia.

10:33Ukraine's drone advantage keeps on growing. On the front, Ukraine maintains a 1.5 to 1 numbers

10:39advantage when it comes to FPV drones. Ukraine is also capable of matching Russia drone for drone,

10:44and often exceeding Russia's numbers with its long-range attacks. And as Russia struggles to

10:49get to grips with AI and drones, Ukraine is developing drones that can be launched from

10:52practically anywhere. We see that in the Seabate, a maritime drone that was once and is still used for

10:59kamikaze attacks against Russian vessels, has also been transformed into a launch platform for FPV

11:04drones that can be used to strike targets in the Black Sea and Crimea.

11:08The cost of all of this to Russia is simply unsustainable. We see that already in the

11:13recruiting numbers. As an average of 27,000 volunteers signed up a month,

11:18Russia is over 12,000 short after its disastrous June. But we also see it financially. Russia's

11:24approach, which has seen it attempt to break Ukraine down through attrition, has fallen apart

11:28now that drones are responsible for up to 90% of battlefield casualties. Now, as the Independent reports,

11:34Russia is on course to run at least $28 billion over its projected annual budget due to spiraling

11:40war costs caused by its massive rate of losses. Russia's war spending reached a new record level

11:46during the first quarter of 2026, as it spent $83.2 billion on the invasion, which is roughly half

11:53of Russia's total budget. Back in April 2025, Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was

12:00already claiming that Russia had spent $1 trillion on the war. Add a little over a year's worth of

12:05spending to that figure, and Russia is likely closer to $1.5 trillion spent than it is to $1 trillion,

12:10based on these quarterly figures. Russia is losing badly. Though Putin's forces have managed to turn the

12:17tide to make the slightest gains in June, those gains are coming slower than ever and at far too

12:22great a cost. And that brings us back to the question we posed right at the beginning of the

12:26video. Why is Putin sacrificing so many of his soldiers in return for so little? Part of the answer

12:33comes down to the fact that what we're seeing in Ukraine is the traditional Russian way of war,

12:37albeit a warped version of it that includes the constant sacrifice, but isn't returning the sorts of

12:43gains that Putin would have expected. Mothers will produce more sons, is how Geneva Solutions puts

12:49Russia's approach to war and its right. For centuries, Russia has engaged in war by simply

12:54sending soldier after soldier into battle, knowing that the manpower advantage it brings to the field

12:59will eventually be enough to overwhelm the enemy. Almost all great Russian victories are tinged with

13:05hundreds of thousands, if not millions of casualties, as a culture of self-sacrifice for the greater good

13:11is taken advantage of by leaders like Putin. Russia's big problem in Ukraine is that it's no longer

13:16fighting a war where sending meat into the grinder until the grinder clogs up will work. Drones have

13:21changed all of that, especially now that Ukraine has autonomous drones that enable it to protect its

13:27soldiers while still inflicting massive casualties on Russia. Still, Putin is rigid. A Soviet-minded man

13:34out of place in the 21st century, still believing that the traditional Russian way of doing things

13:39will get the results that he wants. That's part of the reason why Putin isn't stopping his ill-fated

13:43invasion. But behind this fatalistic traditionalism lies a much bigger reason. Putin simply can't

13:50afford to lose in Ukraine, so he will fight on until he wins or he's gone. To understand why it

13:56looks

13:56like Putin has lost his mind to the point where he seems willing to sacrifice all of Russia to get

14:01his

14:01hands on Ukraine, we need to look at how Russia's leader views his great enemy. Putin is desperate to

14:07secure his legacy by, at the very least, planting the seeds for a new Russian empire. Ideally,

14:13that empire will be achieved while he still lives. Ukraine was supposed to be the starting point for

14:18all of it. One of Putin's warped justifications for his Ukraine invasions is that Ukraine is part

14:23of Russia's former empire, stretching back to the era of the Tsars such as Peter the Great and Catherine

14:28the Great. The words The Great have a nice ring to them for Putin, and there is something in his

14:33broken

14:33little mind that seems to make him believe that he might earn that moniker if he is able to subjugate

14:38Ukraine. In his essay, On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians, Putin made this case by

14:44arguing that Russians and Ukrainians are one people, rather than two separate nations that have distinct

14:49cultures and histories. Putin is wrong about so much of history. But that doesn't matter. He truly

14:55believes that he's doing what's right both for Russia and his legacy, and that makes Putin a very

15:00dangerous man. So dangerous that he will keep sending soldiers into Ukraine until they're

15:05on and left. It's win or bust for Russia in Putin's mind. But even behind the so-called historical

15:11justifications, Putin also realizes that it's win or bust for himself in Ukraine. Putin is trapped.

15:18He's coming to grips with the likelihood that Russia can't win in Ukraine, at least not during his

15:22lifetime. But he also knows that he has to put himself in a position where he can't afford to lose.

15:27For decades, Putin has done an excellent job of shielding himself from regime change,

15:32be it through taking control over Russia's oligarchs or restricting the information flow

15:37inside Russia so that Kremlin propaganda rules all. But now he's losing control. Over four years of

15:44fighting haven't yielded what Putin promised, and Ukraine only seems to be getting stronger.

15:48When Muscovites are watching as Ukraine's drones fly overhead, not even the strongest

15:53propaganda can hide the fact that Putin has brought war to his own territory. The only way out for

15:58Putin now is to win in Ukraine. A withdrawal opens up dissent. It opens up questions, anger,

16:04and opportunities for those who lurk in the shadows, sharpening their knives as they wait for their

16:09opportunity to oust Putin and seize power for themselves. Putin has become desperate, and that makes

16:15him dangerous, as much to his own people as to Ukraine and the rest of Europe. On July 3rd,

16:20Telegraph reported that US experts have warned Poland that Russia is planning a serious escalation

16:26on its territory. Tactically, this might make sense if Russia hadn't churned up so much of

16:30its military in Ukraine. Europe has become Ukraine's rear in the sense that it's through Europe that

16:36Western weapons flow, and thanks to Ukraine's partnerships, many of the weapons that Ukraine

16:40innovated are now produced. Poland bordering Ukraine makes it an obvious choice to serve as a

16:45through-line for all of these weapons, which would explain Putin's interest in an escalation.

16:50But this isn't really any sort of tactical masterstroke. Poland is a member of NATO. Putin

16:56knows that any escalation on its territory that veers too close to an outright attack will lead to the

17:01triggering of Article 5. But he's desperate. Ukraine has proven that Putin doesn't have what it takes

17:06to become the great in anything. So his last roll of the dice may be to start a war that

17:11will consume

17:12Europe, all to hide away from his own failure. If Putin follows through, the bloodshed will only get

17:18worse. An exhausted Russian army will be ruined. Ukraine will seem like a picnic in comparison. If

17:25Putin can't become the great, he will become the man who ruins Russia by starting a war that will rage

17:30beyond his lifetime. What we are seeing, in real time, is the death of Putin's empire. Piece by piece,

17:36that vision of empire slips away from Putin, and it's all Ukraine's doing. The pursuit of personal

17:42glory has already failed. Russia is not only weaker than ever under Putin on the battlefield,

17:47but its regional and global influence has collapsed. Find out more by watching our video.

17:52We dive into the legacy that Putin has really cemented for himself. And if you enjoyed this

17:57video, remember to subscribe to The Military Show to see more of our coverage of Russia's constant

18:02recent failures in Ukraine.

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