00:00A couple of other games coming up, 640 starts here.
00:04This is interesting.
00:06Tampa at home taking on the Rangers here.
00:09Cal Quantrill going for Texas.
00:12Jax is going for Tampa.
00:15It's been Tampa all day long in the marketplace,
00:19but the line hasn't really moved a whole heck of a lot.
00:22I saw eight and a half this morning,
00:24then I see eights for a total in this one.
00:27Listen, Tampa has been phenomenal at home,
00:30but are we $1.60, $1.70?
00:34Is it that much of a given here with Jax on the mound?
00:39I don't like the price on the Rays' money line.
00:42I like to back the Rays in an alternate route,
00:45and that's going to go to Cal Quantrill hits allowed,
00:49over four and a half hits allowed at minus 140.
00:52I don't think Cal Quantrill is a good pitcher.
00:54It's really just that simple.
00:55And he started off the year in the bullpen.
00:58He's in the starting rotation now.
00:59He comes in overall with 53 hits allowed in 53.1 innings.
01:04He's right at this mark.
01:05His strikeout rate is 13.9%.
01:08It is incredibly low.
01:09He's outperforming his career average in terms of average allowed,
01:13in terms of average Babbitt,
01:15and he's also outperforming the league average.
01:17The Rays are an offense at home that can get that ball rolling
01:21in terms of him having a regression to the mean because he's not good.
01:24So, I'd like the Rays to win tonight.
01:27I'm not backing them at minus 178 or whatever that price is.
01:29I'll take Cal Quantrill over four and a half hits allowed at minus 140.
01:32They just do their thing at home and the Rays,
01:35and we're getting a better price on it.
01:37Yeah, and, well, let's – Rays got to keep winning some games here, right?
01:42Yankees won again in Chicago last night, got it done.
01:46But, you know, Tampa is just, what, a couple of games ahead of the Yankees here
01:51in this spot.
01:52And Jax is another one of these examples, Tom, of Tampa.
01:57I don't know what they do.
01:58They get these guys from the bullpen.
02:00They turn them – they turn them into starters.
02:03He has been, I mean, a pleasant surprise for a Tampa Bay team that you weren't
02:10really sure, you know, what you were going to get from the starting pitching
02:14staff here, but he's a legit, what, number three, number four starter on this
02:19team, maybe even be better on other teams.
02:23But this is a pretty good luxury to have here.
02:26It really is.
02:27And, you know, Tampa – Tampa first five lay the half a run minus 128.
02:34That's a –
02:35I don't mind it.
02:36Yeah, listen, we're getting the Rays at a good price to do their thing.
02:40Again, I think the Rangers are a solid enough team.
02:42You know, they vaulted ahead of the Mariners to take control of the AL West,
02:46which is, you know, wild at this point.
02:48But I still think the Rays are a better team in backing them in an alternate
02:51route at home minus 128.
02:53Sign me up.
02:55I saw Cal Cuatro, you mentioned hits.
02:58I see two and a half strikeouts.
03:00Is that what – does he – I don't think he strikes out three guys.
03:02Do you?
03:04I would say no, but two and a half is – I don't like to mess with numbers
03:08that low.
03:09If it was three and a half, I would go under three and a half if you can find it.
