00:00The way Arthur and Bertha developed may have given us a preview of the rest of hurricane season.
00:04So far, it's been one of the slowest starts to an Atlantic hurricane season in at least the last decade,
00:08thanks in part to a strengthening El Nino.
00:10But Arthur and Bertha both developed close to the U.S. coastline and even fought through strong wind shear,
00:16which usually keeps tropical systems from organizing.
00:18That's why our hurricane experts are still watching every tropical wave.
00:22Some may struggle while crossing the Atlantic, then quickly organize once they reach the exceptionally warm waters of the Western
00:27Caribbean or Gulf.
00:28AccuWeather is forecasting 8 to 14 named storms this season, including 4 to 7 hurricanes and 2 to 4 major
00:35hurricanes.
00:35We also expect 3 to 5 direct U.S. impacts, and we've already had two with Arthur and Bertha.
00:40There's now a more than 90% chance El Nino becomes a super El Nino by the end of hurricane
00:45season,
00:45which could help limit tropical activity late in the season.
00:48But a quieter season doesn't mean a harmless one.
00:51Storms already have and can still develop close to home, leaving coastal communities with less time to prepare.
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