- 1 day ago
Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00Really, in order, they saved the best one for last is how they're listed.
00:03Three-sus.
00:05Three-sus.
00:06Oh, that's beautiful.
00:07Our own baby-faced assassin is on the Western Hotline.
00:10Three-sus.
00:11Sam Paniatovich, Fox 32 in Chicago.
00:14Sam, how's it going?
00:16Well, I'm sorry to inform you guys that Patrick Kane followed me back to Chicago, not to Buffalo.
00:22I am so happy about that.
00:24We're relatively satisfied.
00:25We're all together on this.
00:26I had no interest, 0%.
00:30I was worried that the Sabres were going to do that.
00:32I had a little in that I thought if they traded, they made a big trade for the goalie for
00:37Hellebuck,
00:37that that might open up a space for Kane, and I would have been okay with that.
00:41But as currently constructed, they had no place to put him, and it would have been insanity to sign him.
00:46No.
00:46Good for you.
00:47You couldn't find room for him on PP1, really?
00:51No.
00:52I mean, even last year he declined.
00:53I could find room for him on PP1.
00:55I just wouldn't be able to find room for him on a line.
00:59Yeah.
01:00You know what's funny, too?
01:01Like, everybody's all, you know, nostalgic and excited, and we've seen so much B-roll of Kane holding the cup.
01:07And then I look at their projected first line with Frank Naser, Conor Bedard, and Patrick Kane.
01:14That is the littlest first line in the history of hockey.
01:17They're all like 5'9".
01:18I think we're sure Bedard is good.
01:20I mean, he's not great yet.
01:22He's supposed to be great, but that hasn't really happened.
01:25Well, look at Sam starting with hockey on this beautiful July Friday.
01:29I mean, not LeBron, but, you know, of course, we get the, it's a Buffalo, you know.
01:35Yeah.
01:36Kane.
01:36He's playing the room.
01:37It could have happened.
01:38He's playing the room.
01:38It's nice to have all three of us here together.
01:41I feel like Sam has been on this show more regularly than the both of us on Fridays in the
01:45summer.
01:45It's what I sort of feel like.
01:47Credit to Sam for always showing up.
01:49Yeah.
01:50So, I know you were on this, of course.
01:54The effect LeBron James signing has had on the NBA markets.
01:58How dramatic?
02:00Well, they've definitely come down a ton.
02:02I saw the Sixers, you know, because everybody always texts me, what was the price before?
02:07So, I've answered this question 800 times today.
02:10The best number that we saw in the market on the finals price was 22 to 1.
02:16And most books are in that 8 to 9 range.
02:20There's a 10 at BetRivers.
02:21There's a 7 in Vegas because somebody clearly bet a couple thousand dollars and, you know,
02:27created more liability.
02:28It really depends on how much liability you have.
02:31That's how you dictate your price.
02:33But let's call the consensus price now 9 to 1, down from a consensus price of about 20.
02:38And they are now, let's see, I got the prop shop up right here.
02:42To win the East, they are as low as plus 340.
02:46Only teams with shorter odds to win the title are the San Antonio Spurs and the Oklahoma City Thunder.
02:52DraftKings has them both at 270 and then the Sixers at 9 to 1.
02:57As for the conference, Knicks won and the Sixers a very, very close second.
03:02Plus 330 on the Knicks, plus 350 on the Sixers.
03:05Is this one where, in fantasy, we call it closing line value, where you're drafting somebody on speculation
03:12that their situation is going to be a lot better later on and by the end of the draft season,
03:16they end up going way higher in drafts.
03:18Is this one, to your knowledge, Sam, where Jalen Brown, LeBron James,
03:23I mean, I heard somebody talk about the Sixers as a possibility for LeBron.
03:28I don't know about Jalen Brown and that trade.
03:30Is this one where, you know, were sharps on the Sixers even before the trade,
03:36where they were thinking, you know, this could be a situation where whatever it would have been,
03:4140 to 1 or some kind of number like that maybe, would have been a play?
03:45Well, I did get a text this morning after the news came out about LeBron.
03:50I have a friend who bet Philly to win the title before they got Jalen Brown.
03:56And I was flabbergasted by the price.
03:58Guess how high it was, his ticket?
04:00Before Jalen Brown?
04:01Yeah, I'm going to say 50 to 1.
04:04100 to 1.
04:06Okay.
04:07Double.
04:07So he's sitting on that right now.
04:09And obviously, he did his job.
04:11The team has to do its job.
04:12But you put yourself in a spot where you could, like, potentially sell that.
04:16You could hedge that.
04:17You could prop swap it where you could, you know, sell that ticket legally and somebody could purchase it.
04:23You're in a great spot.
04:24I don't, you know, I haven't really done the calculus on it because I'm actually off today, at least in
04:29my real job.
04:30I would never call off this show, of course.
04:32Oh, thank you.
04:33Yeah, never.
04:34I actually, I'm like a Ripken streak on this show.
04:36I know you mean.
04:37I already gave you.
04:38I already lost you on that.
04:40Yeah.
04:40The only time I don't come on is when Bulldog's like, yeah, we don't need you today.
04:43We got a press conference or something.
04:45But, yeah, I don't know.
04:47Like, if you had 100 to 1 on Philly, what do you do?
04:49Do you then, you just bet up a couple other teams maybe to win the championship?
04:54You know, the market is still saying, though, it's either San Antonio or Oklahoma City.
04:57Like, they respect the Sixers, but not like those two top teams.
05:00No, but you can ride that to the finals, at least, if you're lucky enough to get, you know, through
05:05the East.
05:06Yeah, I guess you could also drop a bomb on somebody to win the East, maybe, like, Boston or Detroit.
05:12And then you just kind of, like, you're keying out the Knicks.
05:17As we know, I think the last eight years, there's been a different champion in the NBA.
05:22I think that's accurate.
05:23Either seven or eight years.
05:24So, odds are against the Knicks going back and winning it.
05:27So, you want to, like, kind of key the Knicks out.
05:30Maybe you bet, you know, a little bit on the Celtics to win the East and then a little on
05:34the Pistons to win the East.
05:35And then you got the Sixers to win the title.
05:37And then you lose all those bets, of course, when the Thunder win it.
05:39But I'm just, I'm thinking, like, what would I do if I had 100-1 on Philly?
05:42I don't even know.
05:43Yeah.
05:44How, just a little bit outside of, like, the odds, Sam.
05:47But, like, obviously, he's one of the most famous athletes who's ever lived.
05:52How warranted is all this?
05:54Like, how, like, what did Philadelphia actually get?
05:57What did they buy today?
06:00Well, they bought one of the best distributors in the history of the league.
06:02And, obviously, you know, we could have that debate, is he, you know, a top-three player?
06:06Is he a top-five player?
06:07I don't, I mean, whatever.
06:09I mean, they got a winner.
06:12Despite, you know, a lot of people not liking him or can't stand him, the guy wins.
06:17I mean, he's won a championship in three different locations now.
06:20He won in Cleveland.
06:21He won in Los Angeles.
06:22And, of course, he went down to Miami and won a couple there with the Heedles.
06:27I've never personally been a fan because he's a front-runner, and I feel fully okay saying that.
06:32I mean, if this isn't the definition of front-running, what is?
06:34You just joined a team with Joel Embiid, Jalen Brown, and, you know, Tyrese Maxey.
06:38They liked their second-year guy, Edgecombe.
06:41The kid who played at Baylor.
06:43LeBron is going to have weapons everywhere he looks.
06:45And that's always sort of been, you know, the fatal flaw.
06:48LeBron needs talent to win.
06:50But so did Michael.
06:51So did Kobe.
06:52So they all needed good players to win.
06:54But I think the reason he picked Philly is because he's got shooting.
06:58You know, there was a lot of smoke about him going to Miami.
07:01And they're like, well, you can put LeBron with Giannis, and bam.
07:03And I'm like, who's shooting on that team?
07:06You know, you're going to build a brick factory with all the misses on that team.
07:10So I think they really like that he's going to come in there.
07:13He doesn't have to be the lead guy.
07:15He could be the third or fourth option.
07:17But then in the playoffs, he knows what to do.
07:19He knows how to space.
07:20He knows how to defend.
07:22He's still very, very good at his age.
07:24And, you know, I said off the top, I think he's one of the best.
07:27I think Magic is number one.
07:29LeBron is number two.
07:30He's going to get guys the ball in positions to succeed.
07:33And that's why he's there, because it's the team with the most talent
07:36and the team with the most versatility.
07:38You know who else needed, as great as he is, surrounding talent to win?
07:43Threeses.
07:44Patrick Kane?
07:45Oh.
07:46Patrick Kane.
07:47Threeses.
07:47And Threeses.
07:49Threeses.
07:49Yeah.
07:50No, it's funny.
07:50One more thing on Kane.
07:52I have one guy in the media who's not a Kane guy.
07:54He goes, yeah, Kane was great, but he didn't do anything.
07:56Like, everybody else did all the hard work, and he just did all the pretty stuff.
07:59And I'm like, wow, you're such a hater.
08:00But he's not wrong.
08:02No, he's never been a 200-foot player.
08:04I mean, he's not killing penalties for you.
08:07Like, this is not happening.
08:09No, I have no stones to throw at his career at all.
08:13He's been an all-time great.
08:13I just didn't want him on the Sabres.
08:14I mean, just for a variety of reasons.
08:17Sam Panijatovic here on the Western Hotline.
08:20Mike Schoep and the Bulldog WGR.
08:22You've got Super Bowl odds handy, Sam.
08:25Is that something we can just put you on the spot with here?
08:27Yeah, go for it.
08:29I was thinking about, I was going to bring this up earlier, but we ended up talking about
08:33hats.
08:35I was wondering, like, which team...
08:36So disparaging.
08:37Which team has, like, so the fans of a team would have, like, maybe the biggest gripe with
08:45their Super Bowl odds.
08:46Basically, you know, some form of disrespect in how they come off.
08:51Like, the Rams are plus 550 at DraftKings and Seattle is double that.
08:57So, you know, you're Seattle, you're like, wow, what just happened?
09:00What did I miss?
09:01Did they not watch football last year?
09:03Something like that.
09:04And you've got Buffalo and Baltimore, for another example, at the top of the AFC list,
09:09where you have New England and Denver, and maybe other teams, too, which might think,
09:13like, well, again, maybe we deserve better here.
09:16Is there a team that...
09:17Maybe this would be a team that would also equate to, like, a good value play.
09:22Is there somebody on that list that you think maybe should feel slighted?
09:28I love that you gave me enough time.
09:30You vamped there to give me enough time to think about this.
09:32Thank you, Mike.
09:33I appreciate that.
09:33You're a true pro.
09:35I got two answers for you.
09:36Let me give you a mid-tier and then a high-tier.
09:40This team is seventh on the board right now.
09:43And in the last six years, I think they've never been lower than third.
09:46That's the Kansas City Chiefs.
09:48When you have Patrick Mahomes, a guy who's won three Super Bowls, and a head coach, Andy Reid,
09:52who consistently gets the team to a level that it's supposed to reach or further, I see them, you know,
09:5916-1.
10:00That just doesn't even make sense.
10:02Like, it doesn't even compute in my brain that they're that high to win the Super Bowl
10:05because they're routinely in that 6, 7, 8-1 range.
10:10So this is double up, right?
10:12They're 16-1.
10:13The lowest number I see is 15.
10:15That's an insanely high price given where they've been priced in the past.
10:19But in terms of disrespect, we talked about this, Mike, last week when Bulldog was off.
10:26The Washington Commanders at 70-1 is so high.
10:29I mean, you see that as a Commanders fan and you're like, what did we do wrong?
10:33You know, I see like 66, 65, 60, 55, but the high is 70.
10:39And this was a team last year that was probably the 7th or 8th team to win the Super Bowl.
10:45And Jaden Daniels was the fifth player on the MVP board.
10:49You know, it was like Allen, Burrow, Mahomes, and Lamar, and then Jaden Daniels.
10:53And his odds, as we talked about, Mike, have gone way up to win the MVP.
10:57And they're like, they're bottom 10, bottom 12 to win the Super Bowl.
11:04Like, that's a slap in the face to a team that was really respected last summer.
11:08Bulldog's going to like Cincinnati here.
11:10Baltimore at 10-1, Cincinnati at 30 for a team favored in 15 games.
11:15I'd love to see 30. I've got 20 at FanDuel.
11:18You've got to shop around, right, Sam?
11:19Yeah, of course.
11:20You've got to go shopping.
11:21But I saw 30 at DraftKings, I think.
11:23All right.
11:24Things are looking good for the White Sox, Sam.
11:28They just keep winning series, man.
11:30Yep.
11:30That's another one.
11:31They took two out of three in Texas.
11:33They've just kept winning games.
11:35And I think it's insane to realize this stat.
11:41There's only one team in Major League Baseball this season that doesn't have a losing streak longer than three games.
11:48And that's the White Sox.
11:49Of all the teams.
11:50I know.
11:51Every other team has had a spell where you lose four, five, six, seven in a row.
11:55Not the White Sox.
11:56And with Murakami there, Jesse Rogers covers ESPN or covers baseball in Chicago for ESPN.
12:02And he said the thing that sets them apart from a lot of teams in the American League is they
12:09have insane lefty slug.
12:12With Murakami, who, if not hurt, might have 35 home runs right now.
12:16He's back in the lineup.
12:17He's healthy.
12:18They've got Colson Montgomery, who's going to probably hit 40 home runs this year.
12:22Those two guys give them a one-two combo power-wise from the left side that might only be eclipsed
12:29by Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber in Philly.
12:33Like, teams with lefty slug tend to have good runs in the postseason.
12:37I think they need another arm.
12:39So they'll definitely be active at the deadline and maybe get a two or a three in the rotation to
12:43kind of bump everybody down a bit.
12:44But they hit the snot out of the baseball.
12:47And, you know, last year they were bottom three in every category, basically.
12:50Home runs, runs, slugging, OPS, OBP, all that stuff.
12:54This year they're top three in every category.
12:57So from bottom three to top three in one year is unheard of.
13:00And it's mostly because of those guys, those big lefties, Murakami and Colson Montgomery, that are slugging the snot out
13:06of the baseball.
13:06I'm glad Mike thought to bring up the White Sox, Sam, because I think I saw this.
13:11It's also possible I dreamt it.
13:13But did you post something on Twitter about a sushi push-pop thing or something at White Sox games?
13:21Did that happen?
13:22Or am I high?
13:24Well, you might be.
13:25I don't know.
13:26If you want to pee in a cup for me, Bulldog, that'd be fine.
13:29Let's see.
13:30The Mooney sushi push-pop.
13:32The Mooney shot has been introduced.
13:35This was, what, two days ago.
13:37On the south side.
13:38They honestly, it was funny, two years ago they were the worst team in baseball ever, 41 and 121.
13:43But they were voted the best food in baseball at the ballpark.
13:48So the food's always been good there.
13:49Now they have a sushi push-pop.
13:51I don't, eh, I don't know.
13:54I don't know if I'd give it a shot.
13:55Yeah, that sounds sketchy.
13:58I was hoping they'd be home next weekend.
14:01But the Cubs are.
14:03That's right, you're coming to town, right?
14:05Planning on it.
14:06But Yankees-Cubs next weekend sounds pretty good.
14:08Planning on it.
14:09When are you going to decide?
14:11I like to take it to the last minute.
14:14I have the time off.
14:15I don't have a place.
14:17Friday show.
14:18I'll let you know.
14:19Right?
14:19Yeah.
14:20I've got lots of friends who are going for that thing, the National.
14:23And I'm like 80-20, yes.
14:25I even connected with Joe Ostrowski about meeting him next weekend if I were to go.
14:30So, yeah.
14:31That is the plan at this point.
14:33This is home for me.
14:35And if Owen Parker can attest, if I can take him around Boston and make him the king, imagine
14:40what I could do in Chicago.
14:41Yeah, wow.
14:41That is.
14:42I might want to come even though I'm not going to this card show.
14:45But somebody's got to stay here and do the show, I suppose.
14:47Owen is 24?
14:48Yeah.
14:48I'm not 24, Sam.
14:50Just heads up.
14:51Don't get any big ideas.
14:53All right.
14:54Thanks for your time today.
14:55Always appreciate it.
14:56I mean, especially when you're not even working today.
14:58So, really good.
14:59Enjoy your weekend.
15:00All right.
15:01See you, boys.
15:01Sam Paniatovich, Fox 32, Chicago, formerly Chicken Dinner, although that might get kicked
15:07back up.
15:08And also with Odyssey when we first met Sam.
15:12Sigmund Blum.
Comments