00:00The danger here in the Middle East, there's always miscalculations, especially when you're
00:04dealing with, you know, messianic actors whose sense of calculation is not the same as of
00:12rational actors such as in Israel or, you know, other parts of the Middle East. Iran's calculations
00:18are not the same as Israel's. For the meantime, though, this seems to have played out its course,
00:23and it looks like, again, it looks like both Tehran and Jerusalem here are very happy to have
00:29exchange, that limited exchange of fire in a very symbolic way, and to go back to the tense
00:37ceasefire that was in place just two days ago. No talks at the moment of anyone returning to
00:42the table for any sort of a peace negotiation right now. Do you think that might be paused
00:46until we know exactly what happens in the next 24, 48 hours on this, Dan? Well, my sense is that
00:50this plays into President Trump's strategy of using Israel to pressure Iran while having some
00:58sort of deniability that it's Israel and not the U.S. conducting these strikes. And so I think this
01:03is part of his efforts these last weeks. If you look at President Trump's public statements, you know,
01:10they're all, Iran is close to the table. As we've learned from his negotiating style, you know, there's
01:14a sort of a public messaging, kind of a strategic messaging campaign on the one hand, and then the use
01:23of
01:23of military force buildup or even limited strikes. And so in this case, it's possible that Israel's
01:31retaliation against Iran's strikes actually play into his strategy of building up pressure,
01:37carrots and sticks and trying to get the Iranians back to the table.
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