- 2 days ago
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00:00Let's do the parlay.
00:04Okay.
00:09I think the Taco Bell ads are working.
00:12Are they? I don't know.
00:14Somebody thinks so.
00:15They're working on me.
00:16I have not ordered it in 20 years,
00:20but the ads make me consider it.
00:25Almost every time I see the ad and I think,
00:27you know, that's how we're different.
00:30Maybe next time.
00:31It happens a lot.
00:34So, I don't know.
00:35I think that might be effective.
00:36At least on 60-year-old purple man.
00:38Do you really have to pretend that it's highbrow?
00:45Though, let's do the parlay.
00:46Okay.
00:48All right.
00:49So, Sam knows we're doing this.
00:52Although, I told Sam we would be doing this 10 minutes ago.
00:55And listen, go back and listen to these last 10 minutes.
00:59We haven't gotten there yet.
01:01So, you know how this, you know, we want to have a little bit of fun here.
01:03We want to live a little bit with these picks.
01:06Not all favorites.
01:07Mm-hmm.
01:10What is your first thought?
01:14Who is the biggest?
01:15I'm on DraftKings.
01:16And maybe you're on FanDuel.
01:18So, we can compare prices.
01:20Yep.
01:21Who is the favorite of the eight NFL divisions with, like, the best odds?
01:27I mean, like, the best payout.
01:31Oh, the best payout.
01:33Okay.
01:33I guess I want to say, to make it maybe make sense, the biggest underdog of the eight favorites?
01:38Yep.
01:39Well, going through the AFC, that answer is the Kansas City Chiefs.
01:43Oh, hold on.
01:44Yeah.
01:44Kansas City Chiefs.
01:45They are plus 180 on FanDuel to win the AFC West.
01:49Okay.
01:49I have plus 160.
01:51And Houston is better than that.
01:53Baltimore is better than that.
01:54And Buffalo is better than that.
01:55I haven't gone to the NFC yet.
01:58Eagles are under that.
02:01Detroit is under that.
02:03Okay.
02:03On mine, it's Detroit.
02:05Okay.
02:05Plus 180 is Detroit.
02:06Wow.
02:07They're 145 on here.
02:09We don't want to parlay the Chiefs and Lions.
02:12Can we cross streams?
02:13We don't want to put them together, then.
02:15Yeah.
02:15Right.
02:16Here's Tampa on FanDuel, plus 190.
02:20That's the highest now so far over here.
02:22I have 160.
02:23I hate that bet.
02:27I am so not betting Tampa.
02:29Yeah.
02:30It's because of Cooper, I think.
02:32Who's this, by the way, this Broncos guy that got arrested?
02:35Jonathan Cooper.
02:39I suppose that's someone different.
02:41Yeah.
02:42No, I'm just kidding.
02:43About the Buccaneers, it has nothing to do with the Lightning.
02:47I just do not believe in that at all, Tampa Bay.
02:50I'm ready for them to sort of fall off.
02:54And then new coaching staff and kind of a reset.
02:57And here's, we actually, coincidentally, have this Mayfield story today where, like,
03:01they're not close on a deal.
03:03And if I'm the Bucs, I'm not worried about it.
03:05Just, okay.
03:07Oh, you're moving out?
03:08Okay, fine.
03:09Let me just, I don't think he's that, I don't think you need to pay crazy to need to keep
03:14Baker Mayfield.
03:16You feel differently.
03:18Um, I think.
03:19Let him walk.
03:20I, I, I, boy, that's really easy to say.
03:24Uh, yeah, he's not on the top tier, but I feel like he's on the, on the, right on the
03:33edge of the top tier.
03:34No.
03:34He's not top 10.
03:35He's not, he's not.
03:36Right.
03:37He's not top.
03:38Is he, he's not even Justin Herbert.
03:40He's definitely not Justin Herbert.
03:42So, and, and I don't think Herbert's on the top tier.
03:45So, yeah, I don't know.
03:47You might have a point.
03:48It's one of these, it's an Andy Dalton thing.
03:50Like he's this level of good.
03:52And if we divest ourselves of this and we get back in the line, we might be waiting as
03:57long as the Jets have been waiting.
03:59Does that ever work out?
04:00That could be bad.
04:02Uh, when you pay those guys, pay the average guy.
04:06Oh, does that ever work out when you, when you, they never, they never, they never win
04:12the Superbowl, that guy, although I don't know what a Sam Darnold, what, what was, what
04:18has Sam Darnold been?
04:19I mean, he had a good year in Minnesota, a great year in Minnesota that ended badly.
04:23Seattle grabbed him and they won the Superbowl.
04:26So I don't know, like is Darnold on the tier because he's won now?
04:31Like, I feel like he would have been on a tier with Mayfield in my head before he won.
04:37I can't say different.
04:37Now he's won.
04:38I can't say different.
04:40I wouldn't say it's because he won.
04:41I would say a year ago, I would have probably agreed with that.
04:45And Darnold had a great season on a team that nobody really was talking up.
04:52And Mayfield had a pretty bad season on a team that was favored to win.
04:58So it changed.
05:00The fact that Darnold won is a byproduct of that, not like more of the effect than the
05:06cause.
05:07I think he, I think, I think Sam Darnold has won the war at this point.
05:14Oh, sure.
05:15He was not just a side piece to that team.
05:20Like he, you can't almost be that as a quarterback, but he, he, he did great.
05:24He did do great.
05:25He did more than just steady Eddie with a great defense.
05:30Like he, he was, they, they needed plays, especially in the playoffs.
05:33And he made plays that he can walk through the fire.
05:36Everyone thought he was going to melt again.
05:39And he did the opposite.
05:40He elevated.
05:41So, but I think when he signs there, I feel like that's, to me, that's me.
05:46That's an example of it.
05:47It's close enough that like a guy that's not great.
05:50We signed him to like a, and I don't know if Mayfield is thinking he goes to the top of
05:56the charts or something, um, on a new contract.
05:59And that's what the problem is.
06:00Cause that's delusional.
06:01But you know, if, if the top tier is 50 million for the, the hotshot guys, then he's 40 or
06:1045
06:10even.
06:11I don't know.
06:12Um, I, I like him, I guess more than you, uh, in the end.
06:17I think they're in trouble because even if he's pretty good, when does that ever work?
06:25And, and they're going to say, well, what are, what's plan B?
06:29I have no idea.
06:30Right.
06:31I don't have that.
06:32Kyle Trask, their backup still.
06:33I don't even know what's going on.
06:35I don't have a plan B for them, but I just feel like that, that much we know.
06:40So even in a division where nobody's ever good, what have they really accomplished?
06:46They beat Darnold.
06:47They beat Philly in the wildcard that one time.
06:49Yeah.
06:50Darnold's in the hardest division.
06:52Guess he is.
06:53And won a championship from it.
06:54Yep.
06:55Mayfield's in the easiest and he had a losing record.
06:59Right.
06:59We're not getting very far.
07:00And the winner of the division ended up with a losing record.
07:02Did they not?
07:03Yes.
07:03Carolina was eight and nine.
07:04Eight and nine.
07:04Yeah.
07:05No, we're not.
07:05Yeah.
07:06We're not getting very far.
07:07Well, we're going to have trouble.
07:07Who do you like?
07:08We're going to have trouble syncing up these parlays because the odds are different.
07:12Okay.
07:13But whatever.
07:14We can, you know, make it work.
07:18Who's one team that you like?
07:19What's San Francisco at plus 300 or plus 305 to be exact on mine?
07:25Do they interest you?
07:27Yeah.
07:29We got to make some money.
07:30We got to lose this thing somehow, right?
07:32We got to take a couple of chances that will kill us.
07:34Right.
07:35Or else then we're not really doing our thing.
07:37All right.
07:38Let me go.
07:38I'm going to try San Francisco, New Orleans at the second choice in that division at plus
07:44265.
07:46I'll try that on.
07:50NFC North, you can do almost.
07:52NFC alone is good.
07:54Really, all four of these are really good.
07:56You know, like maybe AFC is the same thing.
07:59I'm not really there yet.
08:00But NFC, so many possibilities.
08:04Yeah.
08:04Yeah.
08:05Yeah.
08:05I'll go Bears.
08:08Aaron Schatz, though, on their defense.
08:10Well, remember, I just realized I don't care about defense.
08:14So Chicago, New Orleans, San Francisco.
08:18I don't have a favorite yet.
08:21Dallas.
08:24All right.
08:25So listen.
08:2810 on 10 American dollars.
08:33Bulldogs over there.
08:34He's turned off the video stream.
08:36He's digging in.
08:37He's grinding.
08:38Yeah, I am.
08:38$10 on this parlay.
08:41Four teams.
08:43Dallas, Chicago, New Orleans, San Francisco.
08:47$10 pays $2,000.
08:51I might be all set.
08:52It's not so bad.
08:53I'm not sure I need the AFC.
08:54It's not so bad at all.
08:55Right?
08:56Yeah.
08:57Wow.
08:57That is no favorites.
08:59We did just have this in the AFC, although Houston might have been favored.
09:04But last year at this time, Buffalo, Baltimore, Kansas City.
09:08None of them won their divisions.
09:10And Houston did.
09:12No, Jacksonville did.
09:13Never mind.
09:13All four were, I assume Jacksonville would not have been the favorite.
09:19It might have been close.
09:21Might have been, but I would think Houston would have been the favorite.
09:23Me too.
09:23And Indianapolis, by midseason, was kind of a runaway favorite, and they just fell apart.
09:31This is living.
09:32This is living.
09:34Is Washington going to be any good?
09:35I don't know.
09:36I don't know what to make of them.
09:39Plus $4.50 on FanDuel.
09:41Double Dallas.
09:42I don't know.
09:43Yeah.
09:44That's a big gap.
09:46I'm just going to take the Eagles.
09:47I'm going to take the Eagles and the Bucs.
09:49That's boring.
09:50Yeah.
09:50I want to win.
09:52And I don't share your – the Mayfield contract thing bears watching, but I'm not sure.
09:59I think I like Tampa the best of all the teams in that division.
10:01I'm not ready to buy on the Saints.
10:04I am actually going to change that pick to Atlanta.
10:07Thought about that, but I've done that in the – Atlanta, it's not panned out.
10:12I mean, Penix isn't even ready to start the year.
10:15Tua's there.
10:17Lefty, lefty, which is interesting.
10:19That doesn't happen all the time.
10:21No, what was it?
10:22That Kevin Stefanski has coached all the lefty quarterbacks in the league?
10:25Okay.
10:26Dylan Gabriel, something like that.
10:28Okay, yeah.
10:29Anyway.
10:30With this.
10:30This – I've got – what do I got?
10:34Packers, Bucs, Niners, Eagles is almost 20-1.
10:42All right.
10:42I changed two of mine to Atlanta and Green Bay.
10:46I can get a boost here, too.
10:4720% boost.
10:48And this is 23-1.
10:50That's what this comes out to with a boost on it, which is cheating.
10:5523-1.
10:56Might as well do it.
10:57Yeah.
10:58But I'm going to go through and put the AFC in, too.
11:01Dallas, Green Bay.
11:03I'm not going to stop you.
11:04This isn't good enough for you.
11:05No.
11:05I want to –
11:0823-1 on four picks.
11:10I stupidly, for a fourth year in a row, want to be seduced by the giant number that pops
11:15up in the bottom of the screen when I get all eight of these in there.
11:18I want to say, wow, that's $26,000.
11:21Look at that.
11:23Let it sit there until Halloween.
11:25And, hey, well, that's not going to work.
11:27With nine weeks left in the season.
11:29Right.
11:29It's over.
11:30It's dead.
11:31Who was it last year?
11:32Minnesota?
11:32This is fun to me.
11:34It is fun.
11:35Plus, I haven't actually invested any money yet.
11:38Right.
11:38I haven't done anything yet.
11:39It's just not even a dollar and a dream.
11:41It's just a dream.
11:41Right.
11:43Oh, boy.
11:44I would love to have – are you prepared to shift over to the AFC, or do you –
11:48No, yeah.
11:49I was going to make this bet, but I don't need to right now.
11:52Well, I mean, yeah, you can save it and start over.
11:55Can you do that?
11:56They encourage you to do that.
11:58Yeah.
11:59All right.
11:59So, I'm a Jacksonville guy this year.
12:04Now we're into some teams.
12:05The Bills and the Ravens are minus money.
12:09This one, I think I would only want to put it with the NFC and pick a couple of favorites,
12:15like the Bills and the Ravens.
12:17And then maybe I would go L.A.
12:20I think I'm L.A.
12:21I'm doing that.
12:22Buffalo, Baltimore, Jacksonville, L.A.
12:24I also click the Chargers.
12:26Okay.
12:27These eight teams together?
12:28Oh, they – okay.
12:31Go ahead.
12:31Sorry.
12:32I just realized I had the Chargers in the original thing.
12:35My initial odds for the NFC were inexact because I had an extra pick in there.
12:41I have placed this bet.
12:44I can now find it under my bets.
12:46Wow.
12:48Buffalo, Baltimore.
12:50I know.
12:51I'm such a honk.
12:52L.A.
12:53Chargers, Jacksonville.
12:54I really do like those teams.
12:56Like, this is an honest group here.
13:00Dallas.
13:02When does that ever happen?
13:03Green Bay.
13:04Green Bay is good.
13:05Mm-hmm.
13:06San Francisco.
13:08San Francisco is good.
13:10Atlanta.
13:11$10 pays $79,000.
13:15Should I start spending it?
13:19This is the best, right?
13:20This is fun.
13:21How many teams does it again?
13:23Eight.
13:23It's all eight.
13:24Okay.
13:25If I want to cash out, I can do it for the same $10.
13:27I can bail.
13:28Yeah.
13:28I'm not inclined to do that.
13:31Yeah.
13:3210 to win $79,000.
13:35$79,000?
13:37Wow.
13:37I can show you.
13:39Buffalo, Baltimore.
13:41Jacksonville.
13:41Get in here.
13:42Sam's going to come on in 10 minutes and talk about how whatever he says on our show moves the
13:46line.
13:47So get in quickly here, folks.
13:49Buffalo, Baltimore.
13:51L.A.
13:52Jacksonville.
13:53Dallas.
13:53Green Bay.
13:54San Francisco.
13:55Atlanta.
13:55Atlanta's the biggest dog of the eight.
13:57Right.
13:57San Francisco is the second biggest.
13:59Yeah.
13:59There's nothing insane here.
14:01There's no Jets.
14:05Right?
14:06I mean, there's nothing insane.
14:08I think I like this.
14:11If it paid a lot less, I would still maybe do it.
14:15I think Atlanta is interesting with Stefanski and Tua.
14:19They have talent.
14:20I don't know how you are getting.
14:22Mine is not that far off of yours.
14:25I've got eight teams picked, including the Patriots instead of the Bills, at the Bengals instead of the Ravens, and
14:32the Jaguars, like you said, the Chargers, like you said.
14:35And then the Eagles, the Packers.
14:39Like I said.
14:40I switched to Atlanta.
14:41Like I said.
14:42And San Francisco.
14:43The only one different is Philadelphia.
14:45It's...
14:46I've got 10 to win $5,800.
14:48Are you sure you're not $7,900 and not $79,000?
14:51$79,141.32.
14:56New England, Cincinnati, and Philadelphia are the three differences.
14:59And your...
15:00Two of those are longer odds, and one is...
15:02Yeah.
15:03This does not make any sense.
15:06$10 bet.
15:08I'm going to take a screenshot of it, so...
15:10That's incredible.
15:11I can take it to court.
15:13Yeah.
15:14I can't...
15:15Other years when I've done this, the eight...
15:18It's always in...
15:19It's like...
15:19I said $25,000.
15:21Like, that's usually what it is.
15:23And I don't know...
15:25Oh.
15:26Is it...
15:27Is it...
15:27No?
15:28I don't know.
15:28This is very strange to me, that these numbers are so low.
15:32$10.
15:34I'm staring at the $10, because I want to make sure I didn't bet, like, $100.
15:37Right.
15:38Yeah.
15:38That's why I'm asking to make sure, because I can't believe the disparity in the odds
15:44from one book to the other.
15:46Crazy.
15:46On this parlay.
15:47Philadelphia versus Dallas, maybe.
15:49But Dallas is still only, like, plus $235.
15:51We'll see if Sam knows.
15:52He knows.
15:52He's smart about these things.
15:55Sam Paniatovich, Matt Vertaram as well today.
15:58Mike Schopen, the Bulldog here.
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