00:01Former Israeli spy Jonathan Pollard is back.
00:05And this time, nobody can lock him up for what he's saying.
00:09Let's go back to the beginning.
00:11In 1987, Jonathan Pollard, a U.S. Navy intelligence analyst,
00:17was convicted of passing classified documents to Israel.
00:21Not a handful of files. Not a USB drive.
00:25Over 800 highly classified documents.
00:28Materials so vast, analysts said it could fill an entire room.
00:34What was in those documents?
00:36Arab military capabilities.
00:38U.S. signals intelligence.
00:40Soviet tracking data.
00:42Among the most sensitive secrets America possessed.
00:45He was sentenced to life in prison.
00:48Paroled in 2015.
00:50And in 2020, he moved to Israel.
00:53But it is not his politics that have grabbed the world's attention this week.
00:57It is his warning.
00:59In a recent interview, Pollard said, and we quote,
01:03We have to be prepared for the next war, which will probably be against Turkey and Egypt.
01:09The storm is coming.
01:10He also suggested Israel should consider nuclear options against Iran.
01:16Let that sink in.
01:17A man with deep intelligence connections, now a public political figure in Israel,
01:23is openly naming Turkey and Egypt as Israel's next wars and pointing at a nuclear solution for Iran.
01:31Now, are these the ravings of a fringe voice?
01:35Look at what is actually happening on the ground.
01:38On Egypt, the 1979 Camp David peace treaty still holds, but it is holding by a thread.
01:45Since October 7th, 2023, Egypt has deployed tens of thousands of troops into the Sinai.
01:53Tanks, air defenses, including advanced HQ-9B systems, extended runways, new military facilities,
02:01all in areas restricted under the peace treaty.
02:04Israel has publicly flagged this buildup as a long-term threat.
02:09Netanyahu himself raised it in 2025 and 2026.
02:14Egypt says it is for counter-terrorism and Gaza border security.
02:19Israel is watching, and it is worried.
02:21On Turkey, the situation is even more explosive in tone.
02:26President Erdogan has spent years positioning himself as the Muslim world's loudest voice against Israel.
02:39And just days ago, during Eid al-Adda prayers, Erdogan said publicly, and we quote,
02:46God willing, this tyrant called Netanyahu will receive the lesson he deserves from the Muslims of the world.
02:52That is a head of state speaking at a religious ceremony to millions of followers calling for a lesson to
03:00be delivered to another country's leader.
03:02Israel and its allies called it inflammatory, threatening, dangerous.
03:08And Erdogan is not just talking.
03:10Turkey has been expanding influence in Syria, competing with Israel in the eastern Mediterranean over energy, building relationships with Palestinian
03:19factions.
03:19Some analysts now openly describe Turkey as Israel's next strategic challenger after Iran.
03:26But here's where Pollard's warning enters truly dangerous territory.
03:31Turkey is a NATO member.
03:33If Israel were ever to strike Turkey, Article 5 of the NATO treaty kicks in.
03:39Every NATO ally, including the United States, would face pressure to respond in Turkey's defense.
03:45Think about that.
03:47The U.S., Israel's closest ally, legally obligated to defend a country Israel just attacked.
03:54The diplomatic and military consequences would be unlike anything the post-war world has seen.
04:00Washington would almost certainly move to prevent that scenario.
04:04But in a region where miscalculations happen daily, the risk of a spiral is real.
04:10So, is Jonathan Pollard right?
04:13Not necessarily in terms of imminent war.
04:16Direct conflict between Israel and either Egypt or Turkey remains low probability.
04:22The treaties, the alliances, the mutual costs all act as breaks.
04:27But the breaks are getting weaker.
04:29The rhetoric is hotter than it has been in decades.
04:32The military build-ups are real.
04:34The diplomatic channels are fraying.
04:37And a man who once risked everything to give Israel an edge is now standing in the public square saying,
04:43the storm is coming.
04:45Whether you trust Pollard or not, you cannot ignore the clouds gathering behind him.
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