00:00The last 24 hours in the Middle East have been too convulsionated and we need a pause
00:04to understand what is happening at the same time and the consequences that could be happening
00:09in the region. We are talking about the war that is going on in Gaza as a ground ground.
00:13Let's go in order. The Sunday morning, on Iran, the helicopter that took his president,
00:18Ebrahim Raisi, without leaving anyone alive.
00:21It was almost 24 hours in which the Islamic Republic was very careful with the information
00:25that they managed because, before anything else, they wanted to avoid any symptoms of instability.
00:30Raisi was the president, but the constitution of Iran has a very hybrid state of government
00:35in which the maximum authority is Ali Khamenei, considered the supreme leader.
00:39Además of being the person who determines the majority of the decisions that took Iran as
00:43state, he is also the most high figure in terms of the religious hierarchy.
00:47That's why we are talking about the Islamic Republic.
00:49The first message that Khamenei gave was that Iran was not going to be affected by the then
00:53accident of Raisi. They still haven't confirmed that he had died.
00:57No more than 12 hours after the death of Raisi when they had named a new president
01:01encargado, the vice president Mohammad Mokber. It is to say, it was a natural success.
01:05While Raisi was the visible face of all the important moments of the last years in Iran,
01:10like the strong protests for the death of the police police officer of Maqsa Amini,
01:14the activist who had been arrested for neging to cover with the Yihaf.
01:17The dead president also was the face of the Persian country in the opposition to Israel
01:21for the offensive that they had in Gaza against Hamas after the attacks of the 7th of October.
01:26However, the nuclear plans of Iran or the foreign policy will change with the death of Raisi.
01:31All that ultimately ends up deciding Khamenei.
01:34This means that the plans of expanding their Islamic revolution will continue
01:37and the support of groups like Hezbollah or the Houthis of Yemen can continue.
01:41Therefore, it is not going to feel this death in the war that is happening in Gaza.
01:45And to keep talking about this war, the fact that the Fiscalía of the Penal International
01:50has given orders of capture against Benjamin Netanyahu, the Prime Minister of Israel,
01:55and the Prime Minister of Defense of the same country, Joab Gayant,
01:58and against the maximum leaders of Hamas, the counterpart in this conflict,
02:02it is going to be a symbolical precedent for the investigation
02:04by crimes of lesa humanidades and crimes of war in the enclave.
02:08In the practice, it is very difficult to measure the impact that can have these orders,
02:12starting with that Israel is a country that does not recognize the jurisdiction of the CPI,
02:15created in 1998 with base in the Statutes of Rome.
02:18The court is the tribunal that has the jurisdiction on the crimes of war,
02:22movements, forced and genocide.
02:24It is open the path to the possibility that in the report of the Gaza war
02:28se includes the description of a genocide against the Gazatíes.
02:31But there is nothing to do for all this, and really the court cannot enter Israel
02:35and detain Netanyahu, so that in this moment we can measure its impact
02:38as a more advance in the internationalization of Israel in its offensive against Gaza.
02:42The request of the fiscal Karim Khan can also limit the outside exit of Netanyahu,
02:47because they could capture it in a country that does not recognize the CPI,
02:51but that is not true in this moment.
02:53For the show is that Vladimir Putin, the president of Russia,
02:56also has a similar order of capture, but it has not had a practical effect in the war
03:01that is taking place in Ucrania.
03:03Khan said about his competition that, with all that Israel does not recognize the court,
03:07they are competing because they are happening in Palestinian territories,
03:10which are under the jurisdiction of the Statute of Roma.
03:13Netanyahu, of course, can negate it, but the court can investigate
03:16if they are passing crimes or not in the offensive of Israel in Gaza.
03:20If you want to know more about this issue,
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