00:00So what options do Israel and President Donald Trump have?
00:04Is it military escalation?
00:06Because Israel Katz yesterday said Israel's just waiting for the green light from the US to start attacking Iran again.
00:14Leanne, it all depends how you frame the picture you see in front of you.
00:18When you say Iran's controlling the Strait of Hormuz, really?
00:23Islamic Republic is controlling the Strait of Hormuz.
00:26Well, we've seen them attack five ships.
00:28We've seen shipping choked through the whole key waterway and mines laid in the waterway at the moment.
00:37So we aren't seeing traffic.
00:39Five tankers went through the Strait of Hormuz today.
00:44The US General Dan Kane was in that press conference with Pete Hegseth earlier and said Iran had attacked five
00:52vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
00:54So right now, there is a deadlock in the Strait of Hormuz and tankers do not have the confidence to
01:00go through.
01:00Yes, let me unpack this.
01:02Let me unpack this.
01:03There is what they call a mutual pain, economic exercise of inflicting mutual pain.
01:10Now, let's unpack it.
01:12Look, if I have a weapon, you know, resting on my shoulder and I shoot that rifle, there's going to
01:20be a kick to my shoulder.
01:21But the business end of that weapon is going to produce something that's going to put a $400 million hole
01:29in Islamic Republic's heart, in their wallet, in their pocketbook every day.
01:35Yes, there is mutual pain, but effectively, Islamic Republic has placed its own neck in a noose because, look, when
01:44the ships leave Khark Island, they need to go past the Strait of Hormuz into the sea to be able
01:53to get to the Indian Ocean.
01:54Well, we're standing there closing the door.
01:57Who's closing the door?
01:58It doesn't matter.
01:59It's the Iranian oil not being able to leave.
02:03So, this is like suicide by other means.
02:06This is what you call a strength and control.
02:09The skies are not in the control of Islamic Republic.
02:12The waters are not in the control of Islamic Republic.
02:15The grandstanding continues 47 years.
02:18That's been going on.
02:20The reality on the ground is that we could take more pain.
02:24We could take more pressure and the Islamic Republic can't.
02:27So, I don't know what you're being hopeful about in Islamabad.
02:30Islamabad is enrichment.
02:33Enrichment is happening.
02:35And that's precisely why the blockade continues.
02:39Because Islamic Republic is running out of missiles.
02:4390% reduction.
02:45And to look at this situation and try and make Islamic Republic a winner with an empty hand, it's impossible.
02:52You're sitting at a poker table.
02:54Islamic Republic doesn't have a good hand.
02:57There is no way to make it up and say, let's see what Islamic Republic can do with no winning
03:04cards in their hands.
03:06So, yeah, we could, you know, draw a picture that puts all of the narrative that's spewed out by the
03:14Islamic Republic as winning points for them.
03:17But it won't hold.
03:18It wouldn't hold because reality is on the ground.
03:21Facts don't support projections like that.
03:25Islamic Republic's wise deal would be to say, I can never make up with my people.
03:30It's better to turn this over.
03:31It's better to assign a date for a free and fair election.
03:36That's, you know, that's something they need to do.
03:39And that's the lowest cost for the people of Iran, for the Islamic Republic, and for the world to bring
03:46back peace to the Middle East.
03:47And that's the lowest cost for the world to bring back peace to the Middle East.
