00:00What risks would another confrontation with Iran carry?
00:03Because I must remember the last time we saw the confrontation with Iran,
00:07they were in the middle of negotiations then.
00:10We're in a similar position, and if history repeats itself,
00:14we don't know what could happen.
00:16I think Jono's right. Trump has done this big show of force.
00:19Why would he back down from here?
00:22So, yeah, what you'd see is military escalation,
00:25which we've already seen. We're kind of in the middle of.
00:27Iran could respond with airstrikes and drones,
00:32but their capability obviously cannot match those of the US,
00:35so I wonder what they would actually be firing back at,
00:38because that could escalate massively if they hit a warship or something like that,
00:43though I doubt that they would get that far.
00:45You've got then the broader regional aspects here.
00:49It could embolden splinter groups, because you've got chaos in the region.
00:54It could embolden further terrorist organizations.
00:59Greater warfare.
01:01Importantly as well, the disruption of oil through the Straits of Hormuz,
01:06which 20% of the world's crude oil passes through.
01:09That is probably on a lot of minds here with regards to that.
01:14And then, obviously, humanitarian consequences.
01:17So many different factors at play.
01:20The
01:21You
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