00:00I just want to ask you, I mean, the ceasefire is due to expire at the end of Tuesday.
00:05So we're sort of about 24 hours away from that happening.
00:09And if warfare does resume after what's been two weeks of respite,
00:14what difference do you think we might see from the first chapter of the war?
00:19I mean, do you see the Iranians and the Americans, for that matter,
00:23you know, employing different strategies, targeting different targets?
00:28What do you think would be different?
00:29Well, I don't. I think they'll dig in for more, if you like, more of the same.
00:35And in the case of the Americans, it's quite clear that tactically they may be successful,
00:41although they must be running out of military targets,
00:46hence this rather worrying talk about them attacking civilian infrastructure,
00:52which would lead to all sorts of consequences, which we can talk about,
00:57which are, you know, you don't have to be that imaginative to appreciate.
01:01And I think the Iranians will reinforce the strategic upper hand that they currently seem to be enjoying
01:10in terms of their ability to close the Straits of Hormuz with all the attendant destabilizing that this has on
01:20the world economy,
01:22which can't go on forever, which is why, of course, the Americans are also keen to do a deal.
01:29And the only other thing I would add is, of course, behind a lot of this,
01:34one has to wonder what Israel's stance is.
01:37They made it quite clear that in an ideal world, from their perspective,
01:41they'd like this war to continue.
01:43So I don't know what they might do yet to interfere with,
01:48I think a natural tendency on the part of both Americans and Iranians to find a solution.
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