00:00Now I want to pivot to Eduardo Rodriguez with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
00:03Eduardo Rodriguez is one of those guys that seemed like a sunk cost for Arizona last year.
00:08And then he wins a WBC title, and he has been absolutely nails since that start against the United States.
00:15Just turned 33 years old.
00:16Eduardo Rodriguez, after shoving against the United States 18 innings of two-run baseball, just one earned, 11 punchouts, five
00:25walks, but a 0.50 ERA through his first three starts.
00:29And when you include the WBC final, 22 and a third innings of one run ball. Crazy.
00:36It's absurd. It's absurd.
00:39You want to set this line or you want me to set this line?
00:42Because I think it's got to still be a pretty high ERA here.
00:46I'll set this line for us.
00:48And Peyton, you just put it up here.
00:50The opponents are Team USA, the Dodgers, the Braves, and the Mets.
00:55Because I know the Mets offense is struggling right now, but you could argue those are four of the most
01:01star-powered offenses that we have seen in recent memory.
01:07I'm going to set it at 335.
01:09Oh, that's so low. I'm taking me over on that.
01:12I'm taking me over.
01:12I'm going to set it at 36.
01:13Over.
01:15I'm going to set it at 39.
01:18That's where it gets interesting.
01:19I was going to set it at four.
01:21So one tangible shift.
01:24ERA cut his four-seam usage from 47% to 33% in the early going this year.
01:31And he's throwing his changeup way more.
01:34Up the changeup usage from 21% to 34%.
01:39Throwing the cutter a little bit more.
01:40And he's throwing this curveball that he introduced last year twice as much, especially to righties.
01:47I think he – I love seeing pitch mix shifts to back this.
01:52But he's also throwing his fastball 7 miles an hour slower than he was – or sorry, 0.7 miles
01:56per hour, geez.
01:570.7 miles per hour slower than he was last year.
01:59I was going to say, he's in 84 now?
02:00What's it do?
02:02I'm going to buy – I think he is his best – and this is a guy that's thrown the
02:07ball well in the past.
02:08Like, he's not just like a complete random – out of nowhere, nobody.
02:12He said a lot – a couple years at a 3.8.
02:14I think he gives us a 3.9 to 4 this year.
02:18So I'll take over 3.9, but I'm going to go under 4.
02:22Peyton made this point in our private chat.
02:24Who would have thought that coming away from two head-to-head matchups against Nolan McClain,
02:28we'd be saying Eduardo Rodriguez has won both those matchups.
02:31It's just insane.
02:32Getting a ton of ground balls now with that changeup.
02:35It makes a difference.
02:36It's cool, man.
02:37Speaking of ground ball guy, Mitch Keller is a guy that has quickly fallen down the ladder
02:43with the Pittsburgh Pirates, right?
02:44Because we talk about Skeens, we talk about Bubba, we talk about Jared Jones,
02:48who's set to come back very, very soon.
02:51Mitch Keller has looked the part in his age 30 season.
02:55Three starts for Keller, 18 innings of two-run ball, 12 hits against him.
03:00He's punched out 11 and walked five.
03:02Keller, over the last couple of years, again, ground ball machine,
03:05this year, not so much.
03:07It's been interesting to see that ground ball rate get back under 40%.
03:11What do you make of Keller's start?
03:14This is another one, like, dial up the splits.
03:17Let's see what the career first half, second half is.
03:21I think Keller, I think we just know who he is at this point.
03:23I don't know if I'm going to buy that anything is remarkably different.
03:28I know he's throwing the cutter.
03:30He cut the fastball usage down a little bit,
03:31and he's throwing the sweeper a little bit more and the sinker a little bit more.
03:36So maybe he's trying to be a little bit more of a ground ball artist.
03:38This is a guy in his career that has a four ERA in the first half
03:41and a five ERA in the second half.
03:44I'm selling that Keller is anything different.
03:47But he's solid.
03:48He's solid.
03:50Solid innings eater for them.
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