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Oil prices spiked on Sunday, with U.S. crude topping $114 a barrel, after President Donald Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran: reopen the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday, 8:00 PM ET, or face attacks on power plants and bridges. In a profanity-laced social media post, Trump warned Iran would be “living in Hell” if it refuses.

The Strait of Hormuz—a chokepoint for 20% of global oil supplies—has been effectively closed by Iranian tanker attacks, triggering the largest oil supply disruption in history. Crude, jet fuel, diesel, and gasoline prices have surged since the war began.

According to TD Securities, nearly 1 billion barrels of supply will be lost by the end of April. OPEC+ has agreed to raise output by 206,000 barrels per day in May, but it’s unclear how oil will reach markets with the strait closed. Meanwhile, Kuwait reported drone attacks on its facilities.

In this video, we break down:

Trump’s latest threat and timeline

Real-time oil price movements (WTI & Brent)

Supply loss forecasts from TD Securities and Rapidan Energy

OPEC+ response and logistical challenges

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Transcript
00:04Hello and welcome to Global Pulse News. Oil prices jumped on Sunday as President Trump
00:11issued an ultimatum to Iran over the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. crude briefly topped $114 a barrel
00:20after Trump demanded Iran reopen the strategic waterway by Tuesday or face military strikes on
00:27its power infrastructure. By 9.28 p.m. Eastern Time, May delivery contracts for U.S. West Texas
00:35intermediate crude paired earlier gains, trading up 0.5% at $112.08 per barrel. Meanwhile, Brent crude
00:47for June delivery, the international benchmark, also eased to a 1.3% increase, trading at $110.47
00:57per barrel. In a profanity-laced social media post on Sunday, Trump warned that Iran would be
01:04quote, living in hell if it refused to open the Strait. The President specifically threatened to
01:11bomb Iranian power plants and bridges. He then followed up with a cryptic message and we quote
01:18directly, Tuesday, 8 p.m. Eastern Time, offering no further details. Iran has effectively blocked the
01:27Strait of Hormuz through a series of attacks on oil tankers. This waterway is a critical maritime
01:33choke point connecting the Persian Gulf to global markets. Before the current conflict, approximately
01:4020% of the world's petroleum supplies passed through this route. The closure has triggered the largest
01:48oil supply disruption on record. Prices for crude, jet fuel, diesel, and gasoline have surged since
01:55hostilities began. In a national address last Wednesday, Trump said the war would continue for
02:02another two to three weeks. According to TD Securities, nearly 1 billion barrels of supply
02:10will be lost by the end of this month. That includes up to 600 million barrels of crude oil
02:16and roughly 350 million barrels of refined products. Senior commodity strategist Ryan McKay wrote in a note
02:25to clients on Thursday and we quote directly, with the conflict now expected to last at least into deep
02:32April, the barrel math becomes increasingly grim. Energy consulting firm Rapidan Energy projects a net loss
02:41of 630 million barrels of oil and refined products by the end of June, after accounting for redirected
02:48pipeline flows, emergency stockpile releases and inventory drawdowns. On Sunday, eight members of the OPEC
02:57alliance agreed to raise production by 206,000 barrels per day in May. However, it remains unclear how that
03:06additional oil would reach global markets while the strait remains closed. Also on Sunday, Kuwait Petroleum
03:13reported that several of its operational facilities had been hit by drone attacks, resulting in significant
03:21damage. OPEC warned that repairing energy infrastructure damaged by Iranian strikes, and we quote,
03:28is both costly and takes a long time, thereby affecting overall supply availability. The eight members of
03:37OPEC participating in the output increase are Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait,
03:45Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman. This is a developing story. We'll bring you updates as they come in.
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