00:00More cold weather and a 2-10 start here in the Midwest,
00:03or should we say maybe just a windy city here?
00:05Be Toronto taking on the Chicago White Sox.
00:07Lauer going up against Martin here.
00:09Overnight, the favorite, of course, is going to be Toronto.
00:11Round of minus 150.
00:12It's risen at a lot of outlets here, including DraftKings, I'm saying,
00:16at a minus 163 road price now as the favorite for Toronto.
00:20The total opened up at 8, still sits at 8, Craig here.
00:22Lauer versus Martin in the Windy City.
00:25Two teams looking for a victory today.
00:27Yeah, look, the White Sox are obviously not good.
00:30I saw them play here in South Florida last week, so I understand that.
00:35Or was it earlier this week?
00:36It was earlier this week.
00:37Wow, time flies.
00:38But I would also say that I have not loved what I've seen from Toronto this season.
00:42So this is, to me, as we'll talk about later in the show,
00:44one of those sneaky, maybe, a dog comes through today for the Blue Jays.
00:49Who's really doing it, Donny, on offense?
00:51Andres Jimenez, right?
00:52I think he's probably off to their best start.
00:54You would not expect that to be the name.
00:57And meanwhile, the White Sox are getting everything that they can from Murakami.
01:01He seems to be homering either every day or every other day.
01:05And, you know, I just think that the line is a little bit off here.
01:08I think it should be a little bit tighter.
01:09And the Blue Jays are going to get right, and they're going to get Bassett back,
01:13and they're going to get East Savage back, and they're going to get some – or not Bassett,
01:16and Bieber, and they're going to get their starting pitchers, and they'll get going.
01:19But for the time being, this could be a slog in the month of April for Toronto.
01:24So I think the White Sox have a shot here.
01:27By the way, Craig, on to something with Andres Jimenez,
01:29because it's one of the names I wrote down.
01:31You take a look at Davis Martin, right-handed pitcher here.
01:33He was very good last year against right-handed batters.
01:36294 he faced.
01:36Craig, a 159 ISO, which is above average for a pitcher,
01:39and a weighted on base percentage, 311, which, again, above average for a pitcher here,
01:43doing his job.
01:43Struggled a little bit, though, with lefties last year.
01:46306 lefties he faced, Craig.
01:48A 192 ISO, which is elevated, and a 339 weighted on base percentage,
01:51also a little bit elevated, and a low K rate of around 15%.
01:55So why would that be important?
01:56Well, it's sort of carried over this year already, Craig.
01:59And again, it's only 14 batters he faced as lefties.
02:01But look at the ISO against, 417.
02:04Weighted on base percentage against, 557.
02:07Walk percentage around 15%, which is too high,
02:09which then leads us to Jimenez,
02:11who actually has 20 at-bats against right-handed pitching on the season.
02:15421 ISO, 504 weighted on base percentage.
02:19So for me today, it's up to the lefties on Toronto to do some damage.
02:23That's your boy Jimenez out there, Craig.
02:25Yeah, Jimenez off to a good start.
02:26It seems to me, from what I'm watching in the early part of the season,
02:30is that until the other Blue Jays hitters start getting going,
02:34I don't think you're going to see Vladimir Guerrero Jr. get a lot of pitches to hit.
02:38He's already walked six times to start the season,
02:42and he's not a guy, usually, that is going to get walked.
02:45He wants to get his plate appearances.
02:47So Blue Jays probably, look, usually speaking, Donnie,
02:52the team that loses the World Series does not get off to a great start the next season.
02:56The Blue Jays are right there at 4-4.
02:58I'm not saying that they're a bad team.
03:00To me, they're still one of the best teams in the American League,
03:02but I feel like going through it here a little bit at the beginning of the year.
03:05So the White Sox are going to be that team I take a shot on today.
03:09Yeah, White Sox look like a hangover as well, Craig.
03:11Minus 27 in run differential to start the season already.
03:15Now, Eric Lauer, not a great pitcher.
03:16He's a crafty lefty as it goes.
03:18But if you look at the lineup for the White Sox today,
03:20and again, a lot of these teams haven't faced a lot of left-handed pitching.
03:23Austin Hayes is a right-handed batter, only four bats against lefties,
03:26a 250 ISO, and a 318 weighted-on-base percentage.
03:29If we just go back to the ISO power numbers with that White Sox lineup we anticipate today,
03:33outside of Austin Hayes, who has a 250, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, Craig, and 0 there.
03:41Let's get those power going.
03:43Where's the power at, White Sox?
03:45Just Murakami, I guess, Donnie, at this point.
03:48Look, I mean, Chicago's not—I saw Davis Martin pitch, by the way, in person.
03:52He created his own problems.
03:54I think he made a couple of errors or, you know—I mean, they could lay some bunts down on Martin.
03:59He seemed like he wasn't really with it here.
04:01But, I mean, maybe he'll be better today.
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