00:00He could stop the war and he could protract the war.
00:04This is not up to Israel, but it is partly up to Iran
00:08because President Trump is sending mixed messages.
00:13As far as Israel is concerned, if the war ends now,
00:17there is little, perhaps even zero, strategic accomplishments to brag about.
00:25You know, Becky, there are two, I mean, I'm going 40,000 feet for a broader perspective here.
00:32There are two scenarios that can transpire with equal likelihood.
00:36One is that the regime has been so degraded militarily and so diminished politically
00:41that it is, in fact, on the verge of the regime in Iran, that is.
00:45It is, in fact, on the verge of collapse.
00:47It might take six months, it might take 12 months, but that's the end.
00:51Okay, that's one version of reality, one that Mr. Netanyahu, the Prime Minister of Israel,
00:56would like everyone to think.
00:58The second scenario is much more ominous.
01:01...issued, has received a report of an attack on a commercial vessel
01:05located about 15 nautical miles north off the coast of United Arab Emirates.
01:10The British Maritime Monitor said that a projectile caused the explosion,
01:13adding that no injuries have been reported.
01:17A British nuclear-powered submarine has reportedly taken position in the Arabian Sea
01:22to launch long-range strikes if regional conflict escalates.
01:28And according to reports, the submarine HMS Anson is armed with tomahawk missiles
01:32and spearfish torpedoes, left Perth earlier in the month
01:37and travelled more than 5,000 miles to this region.
01:46Israeli health authorities claimed that 75 people have been injured
01:51in the southern city of Dimona following multiple Iranian missile strikes.
01:55The southern city is home to a nuclear facility.
01:58The Israeli army said that the missile's mutual trust and confidence are more important.
02:03The statement follows President Trump's threat to attack Iran's power plants
02:07if Tehran doesn't reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours.
02:11In a social media post, he wrote,
02:13they, meaning Iran, want to make a deal.
02:16I don't.
02:17He added, if Iran doesn't fully open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours,
02:21the United States will hit and obliterate their various power plants,
02:26starting with the biggest one first.
02:29Well, the threat comes less than a day after Mr Trump talked about winding down the war.
02:34Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz,
02:37through which a large proportion of the world's oil and gas is transported,
02:40has sent fuel prices soaring on world markets.
02:43About 3,000 ships usually sail through the Strait each month,
02:47but this has dramatically decreased.
02:50Well, our World News correspondent Joe Inwood has all the latest developments.
02:59We've already saw high prices.
03:01They blamed Biden.
03:02They blamed the Democrats.
03:03And that was a major, you know, major driver in 2024.
03:07We still have a long way to go for the midterms, right?
03:09But the stake of Congress is up.
03:11And if people are already basically saying,
03:13look, the economy isn't where it needs to be.
03:15You know, prices are still too high.
03:17Those kinds of impressions might already be forming.
03:19And he'll have a hard time sort of changing them before Election Day.
03:22That's not going to stop him from certainly trying.
03:24You know, this is a law enforcement event,
03:26but we're definitely going to hear about the economy when it goes to Memphis.
03:29One other thing just quick to mention is that, you know,
03:32the war in Ukraine is another thing that we're going to be watching.
03:35You know, Zelensky has basically talked about Ukraine wanting to get involved again
03:39in negotiations with the U.S. and potentially with Russia
03:42to try and bring that conflict to a close as well.
03:47You know, that's not clear that that will happen.
03:49The discussions sort of have been ongoing off and on for several weeks.
03:53They will continue to be ongoing,
03:54but whether or not we'll see any sort of major breakthroughs is not at all clear.
03:58And the one other thing that we should really be keeping an eye on is that,
04:12Bahrain is reporting sirens.
04:14That's a pretty regular thing.
04:16This happens multiple times a day in my experience.
04:19So I assume there's some sort of Iranian missile or drone attack going on there.
04:25I'll let you know what we hear.
04:27So they just said that right now.
04:56Ariello Seren said,
04:59Airstrikes are about 13 minutes ago.
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