00:00All right, you two, you both are indeed experts. You've dedicated so much of your time to the army serving
00:05our nation. General, sir, let's begin by asking you first. Do you believe or did you anticipate that Iran would
00:12be able to sustain this for such a long period? Or is everything currently unfolding according to Iran's strategic plans?
00:18How many missiles do you reckon Iran might still have remaining?
00:22What kind of missiles are they deploying? Because Iran had been stating initially that they were only utilizing their smaller
00:28missiles and drones. The more potent the real missiles, they are only now beginning to launch. And perhaps over the
00:34past day or two, they have indeed utilized their Quram Sharaf War and Fateh missiles and they have employed missiles
00:39equipped with multiple warheads.
00:41Yes, very horrific videos emerged from Tel Aviv. So strategically, whose missiles do you think might run out first? The
00:50U.S.'s Patriot Defense missiles or Iran's missiles which might run out first?
00:56Yes, General, sir. After that, we'll go back to Mr. Sirohi.
00:59Nagina, I've had numerous meetings with Iranian officers. When I was the defense attache in China and North Korea, I
01:07used to meet them quite frequently.
01:09So there's a clear understanding that they are capable of fighting. They are indeed fighters and they possess a strong
01:15sense of morale.
01:17Furthermore, they have their own sovereignty, their own pride and because of this, they will certainly fight.
01:23The second point is the sheer number of missiles. Initially, when I was in China, at that very time, their
01:28missile technology was transferred from North Korea.
01:30There was a Nodong missile with the name Fatidatakno and currently it is known as Fatidatakten.
01:37It is believed that they possess approximately 3,000 missiles in their arsenal. A portion of these, specifically 10%
01:43to 20% was also deployed last June.
01:48But China has largely maintained that deficiency.
01:51So now, when you observe missiles and how they are expended, how they are consumed, if we assume there are
01:57around 3,000 of them, it appears that 700 to 800 missiles have already been utilized.
02:03This means that they have already depleted approximately 25 to 30% of their stock.
02:08But the issue isn't about Nagin missiles. The actual issue is the launchers. If you possess launchers, then you are
02:14able to launch missiles.
02:15If there are no launchers, then the missiles will simply remain lying uselessly in their depots.
02:20Therefore, the main objective of both America and the Israelis regarding these launchers is to ensure that the maximum possible
02:25number of launchers are destroyed.
02:27And currently, it is being reported that approximately 300 launchers have already been eliminated.
02:32So, 300 have been destroyed. That's quite significant news you are reporting.
02:37Yes, regarding the launchers, because there were many reports indicating that Iran is utilizing underground launchers.
02:42The IRGC has also released numerous videos.
02:45Let me also tell you that the launchers you typically use are of two different types.
02:49One category consists of mobile launchers, and these mobile launchers are designed to fire.
02:53It's known as shoot and scoot. You fire your shot, then you move to a different location, then you move
02:58to a third one.
02:59So, one type is mobile launchers, and the really large heavy missiles, it's very difficult for you to move those.
03:05Small range missiles, however, you can easily move them. Launchers from one place to another.
03:10However, when you speak of what type of third, it can strike up to 3,000 kilometers. This is your
03:14latest missile.
03:16So, to move a missile like this so quickly is very difficult.
03:19In the current conflict, whether you consider Israel or America, for example,
03:25their objective is to disregard these mobile launchers and instead focus on their major basis,
03:30where their strongholds are located, where their depots are, and where all their manufacturing takes place.
03:36So, currently, more attention is being given to what is termed a strategic rupture.
03:41This means essentially to ignore their smaller, more practical launchers.
03:46Now, where their large missiles are located, pause, and their big depots, pause, where manufacturing takes place.
03:52Pause. They are now advancing towards those. Pause.
03:54That's why the battle is two-pronged. Pause. One tactical and one strategic.
03:57So, these things are happening on both sides. So, your point is absolutely right.
04:01It's very difficult to hit those mobile launchers from the air.
04:05But strategic missiles, you can also target them from the air.
04:09Yes, Mr. Sirohi, what is your reaction to this? When do you anticipate whose missiles will run out first?
04:15And as Sir mentioned, if Iran's large missile launchers are destroyed, a lot could come under control,
04:20or it would become easier for the US and Israel.
04:23Let me add one more reaction from the IDF to this.
04:27The IDF has started that in the last two days, Iran has reduced the use of its missiles by at
04:32least 80%.
04:37Earlier, 100 missiles were falling, but now only 20 missiles are falling.
04:40The IDF said this, sir.
04:43Now, again, Raji, you have spoken absolutely correctly on this point.
04:46The IDF has indeed stated this, and there is no doubt that their missile supplies have significantly diminished.
04:50However, we must also understand that a decrease in Israel's missile inventory does not mean they are completely exhausted or
04:55will be in the near future.
04:56This is also a kind of strategy to keep your enemy engaged and then, after a while, assess your own
05:03situation.
05:04Because Iran, Iran knows this, and America also knows that the longer this conflict drags on,
05:09the more beneficial it will prove for Iran, and particularly for America, it will be quite detrimental.
05:16There is no doubt about this.
05:17So, Iran desires that the conflict continues for as many days as possible.
05:21In that scenario, if it wishes to prolong the fighting, then it will need to introduce some level of rationality
05:26into the missile attacks it is currently launching.
05:29Therefore, I believe that they have already commenced this process of rationalization.
05:33Firstly, this is an indication because these are referred to as battle indications.
05:37I believe the battle indication isn't that Iran is running out of missiles.
05:41Number one, and as the general mentioned, there were 3,000 missiles.
05:44They can be fired in two distinct ways.
05:46From static launchers, which are typically located underground and extend quite deep,
05:50these launchers only open up at the precise moment of firing, and then they close back down immediately afterwards.
05:57So, that's why it's quite difficult to cause them any kind of loss.
06:01When the second type is the mobile launcher, these are very large, as you might have seen on the roads.
06:06They are mounted on big 12 or 18-wheel trucks, and from that mounted position, they launch their missiles.
06:12After they fire, they immediately relocate from one position to another,
06:16and they are camouflaged so effectively that you would assume they are merely transporting supplies.
06:21However, what they actually carry inside are missiles, along with sophisticated deception messages.
06:26These can be completely hidden and concealed through clever camouflage techniques.
06:30Now, your third question was regarding whose missile inventory would be depleted first.
06:34Look, Israel has a limited stock because I don't think China will allow them to replenish during the fighting.
06:44Israel and Americans won't permit any Chinese or other aircraft or ships to enter.
06:50The airspace is completely dominated by Iran, Israel and America, so there will be no replenishment now.
06:58So, whatever they have is limited.
07:01Okay, then regarding America, Israel has its own, and America itself has a major problem.
07:10And we need to understand this, Nagendra Sahib, that one drone costs $20,000 to build,
07:17and one Patriot missile interceptor costs $4 billion.
07:21So, you see, if Iran is spending one rupee for a 1 to 200 ratio, then America is spending 200
07:29rupees.
07:30Then we also need to examine the data for that.
07:32At what specific rate?
07:33The second point is replenishment.
07:35At what rate are the Patriot missiles being replenished?
07:38Or the other THAAD missiles, or indeed the other Iron Dome interceptors?
07:43How quickly will these interceptors be replenished?
07:46Because when 2,000 drones attack, their interceptors engage them.
07:52So, Iran's strategy is to saturate their air defense system.
07:57Then how can they saturate them?
08:00By increasing the number of their own attacks and maintaining a high frequency.
08:06But whenever you attack, make sure their numbers are high,
08:10so that even if some are intercepted, a few can still get through and launch the attack.
08:15And that's exactly what's happening.
08:16You've seen in Tel Aviv, missiles are hitting their airport.
08:20So, I think it's difficult to say at this stage who will prevail.
08:26But I want to give you a figure.
08:29Americans have already spent $3.7 billion in the first 100 hours.
08:36Just imagine in the first 100 hours, if this conflict keeps going with the same intensity,
08:42then America's money is being spent.
08:44Israel's money is being spent.
08:46And Iran has something else to consider.
08:49For 15 years, Iran has known that at some point, in some stage,
08:53they would have to engage in conflict.
08:54So, their entire infrastructure has been designed and built in such a manner
08:57that you can inflict as much damage as you wish above the ground.
09:00But causing damage beneath the surface is considerably more challenging.
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