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Recent observations from the ATLAS survey revealed something unsettling: small space objects don’t always behave the way our models predict. Unusual motion and acceleration patterns from object 3I/ATLAS challenged the standard explanations of sunlight pressure and outgassing, exposing how thin our margin for surprise really is.

Now attention shifts to Apophis. On April 13, 2029, the asteroid will pass just 32,000 km from Earth — closer than many satellites. Space agencies say the flyby is safe, but safety depends on predictability, and predictability is exactly what new data has put under scrutiny.

That’s why scientists are preparing spacecraft and high-resolution instruments to monitor Apophis in real time, tracking even the smallest shifts in its spin, surface, and trajectory. Because in planetary defense, seeing a change early makes all the difference.

Subscribe for more updates on space threats, asteroid science, and the missions protecting Earth. Animation is created by Bright Side.
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Transcript
00:002 billion people will be able to watch an asteroid the size of a skyscraper slide past Earth closer than
00:07many satellites.
00:08It's scheduled to happen in April 2029.
00:11Now, an asteroid of this size comes this close to our planet just once in 7,500 years.
00:18And it has to do with a strange interstellar visitor called 3i Atlas that recently shook scientific certainty.
00:25Here's how.
00:26The Atlas Survey System, a nickname for Asteroid Terrestrial Impact Last Alert System, that's a mouthful.
00:34Well, it scans the sky every night looking for objects that might threaten Earth.
00:38When it first flagged 3i Atlas in 2025, it appeared as a faint smudge in telescope data.
00:45The kind of thing astronomers almost ignore because the sky is full of harmless junk.
00:50Then, scientists calculated its speed and direction and realized something was off.
00:56It wasn't bound to the sun like most comets and asteroids.
01:00Space objects usually follow clean curves dictated by gravity and sunlight.
01:05Sunlight heats a comet.
01:07Ice turns to gas.
01:08Gas escapes.
01:10Hey, I know all about that.
01:11And that tiny push slightly alters its path, like a slow leak nudging a balloon.
01:173i Atlas didn't just nudge, it lurched.
01:20It accelerated in ways that didn't line up neatly with heating models.
01:24It was moving too fast, on a path that screamed interstellar origin.
01:29Which means it came from another star system entirely.
01:33It shifted direction slightly but persistently.
01:36That kind of motion means our models weren't telling the full story.
01:41Researchers figured out the object's structure must be unusual, like a fragile pile of rubble venting gas from unexpected pockets.
01:49It was also possible that its surface chemistry reacted differently to sunlight than anything we've seen before.
01:56And, maybe, it meant that tiny forces scientists usually ignored actually matter more than they thought.
02:03NASA and the ESA both emphasized that this thing, I'll just call it 3i, wasn't an extraterrestrial spacecraft, unlike what
02:12the internet crowd supposed.
02:14It sent no signals.
02:15There was no propulsion or artificial materials involved.
02:19Just ice and dust.
02:20Nobody feared 3i would hit Earth.
02:23That part was clear.
02:24But they worried they wouldn't be able to predict its behavior.
02:27Space safety depends on knowing where things will be tomorrow, next year, and decades from now.
02:343i showed that even small bodies can act like trick coins instead of clean equations.
02:40And this knowledge is important to predict the behavior of our today's featured thingamabob, the asteroid Apophis.
02:48Goddess nickname after the Egyptian deity of chaos, which is a bit worrying already.
02:53This bad boy will pass less than 20,000 miles away from Earth.
02:58Sounds like it's no biggie, but that is closer to our planet than the satellites that handle weather forecasting and
03:04global communications.
03:06Around 2 billion people living all over Africa and in Western Europe will be able to see it with their
03:12unaided eyes.
03:13Earth's gravity at that distance won't just wave hello.
03:16It will grab Apophis hard enough to potentially change its spin, crack its surface, or shift its internal structure.
03:24Scientists call these tidal forces.
03:27Think of it like squeezing a stress ball.
03:29You don't break it, but you don't leave it unchanged either.
03:33Now, before scientists studied 3i Atlas in detail, Apophis felt manageable, and its orbit looked pretty stable.
03:41Its flyby was supposed to be a controlled event.
03:43But when they learned more about 3i Atlas, scientists started framing 2029 differently.
03:50Not as danger, but as a stress test.
03:53If Earth's gravity nudges Apophis even slightly, models need to capture that in real time.
03:59That's why the European and Japanese space agencies developed the Ramses mission.
04:04It's a spacecraft packed with instruments and a Swiss-built high-resolution camera that will observe Apophis up close during
04:12the encounter.
04:12They want to see ruptures forming, dust shifting, spin rates changing.
04:17It's basically the asteroid equivalent of a human heart monitor.
04:21Now, the good news is that Apophis won't hit Earth in 2029.
04:25And scientists say that clearly.
04:28But safety depends on predictability.
04:30And predictability took a hit when 3i Atlas misbehaved.
04:34So, the scientists are now watching Apophis closely to test their assumptions in the safest way possible,
04:40with a known object, a known time, and every telescope pointed straight at it.
04:46Of course, they didn't take their eyes off 3i Atlas either.
04:50One of NASA's newest spacecraft, Europa Clipper, is cruising toward Jupiter right now, with a long trip ahead of it.
04:57On the way, scientists realized they had a perfect chance to point their instruments at this interstellar comet.
05:04From about 102 million miles away, Europa Clipper turned its camera and watched 3i Atlas drift by.
05:11What it captured isn't something your eyes could ever see.
05:15The image came from an ultraviolet instrument designed to study Jupiter's icy moons, not comets.
05:21And it observed 3i Atlas for seven straight hours.
05:24Ultraviolet light reveals gases and elements that stay completely invisible in normal photos.
05:30It's a way for scientists to see the comet's chemistry in action, instead of just its shape.
05:35That glowing cloud around the comet, called the coma, tells us what's escaping from the ice as sunlight hits it.
05:43By studying how those gases spread and move, scientists can learn what 3i Atlas is made of and how active
05:50it really is.
05:51Now, so far, scientists have had a chance to find some pretty unusual things about its chemistry.
05:57Radio telescopes in the Atakama Desert locked onto the comet and picked up clear signals from methanol and hydrogen cyanide.
06:05These two molecules, that sound boring and somewhat deadly, until you realize they sit right at the entrance ramp to
06:12life chemistry.
06:13These weren't tiny traces, either.
06:163i Atlas pumped out methanol at levels that jumped sharply as it approached the Sun.
06:21They spiked right where water ice starts to vaporize.
06:25Compared to most comets humans have ever measured, this thing came loaded.
06:30Its methanol-to-hydrogen cyanide ratio landed among the most enriched values ever seen.
06:36This doesn't mean that 3i Atlas carries life, or bacteria, or anything even remotely alive.
06:42But these molecules matter, because chemistry doesn't jump straight from rock to organism.
06:48Life, at least the kind we understand, builds itself step by step.
06:53Hydrogen cyanide plays a key role in forming amino acids, the Lego bricks of proteins.
06:59Methanol acts like a chemical multi-tool that helps assemble more complex molecules, like sugars, and the precursors to DNA
07:08and RNA.
07:09On 3i Atlas, methanol made up about 8% of its vapor, and that's roughly 4 times what we usually
07:16see in solar system comets.
07:18Another cool part is where these ingredients for life came from.
07:223i Atlas formed around another star, inside another planetary system, under conditions we can only guess at.
07:30And yet, it shows up carrying the same basic toolkit that life on Earth relies on.
07:36That lines up with an old idea scientists have kicked around for decades.
07:41Comets and asteroids might act like delivery trucks, scattering water and organic molecules across young planets.
07:48Earth may not have invented its chemistry from scratch.
07:51It may have inherited it.
07:54Now, before 3i Atlas, we had only confirmed two interstellar visitors, Amuamua in 2017, and 2i Borisov in 2019.
08:04Amuamua freaked everyone out because it didn't look like a normal comet at all.
08:09It had no obvious tail, showed weird exhilaration, and was of a cigar-like shape.
08:15So the internet went wild with crazy extraterrestrial theories.
08:19Borisov felt like a relief by comparison.
08:22It behaved exactly how a comet should, growing a coma, releasing gas, and cruising through the solar system without drama.
08:30Some people feared Borisov could collide with Earth or disrupt planetary orbits.
08:35But it flew by smoothly, boring even, like a guest who followed every house rule.
08:41Borisov reassured scientists that interstellar objects could be predictable.
08:463i Atlas shattered that calm, and showed us they could quietly undermine confidence without causing harm.
08:54Apophis now stands as the ultimate test run.
08:57Scientists already know it won't hurt us, but then again, the examples of interstellar visitors show how little we actually
09:04know about them.
09:05It indicates that space has its own, mostly unknown rules, is highly hostile to human life, and it's not very
09:13polite either.
09:14It doesn't announce surprises in advance.
09:16And the better we know about it, the better we can be prepared for these surprises.
09:24That's it for today.
09:25So hey, if you pacified your curiosity, then give the video a like and share it with your friends.
09:30Or if you want more, just click on these videos and stay on the bright side.
09:34Let's continue.
09:34You
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