00:00let's take a look at the quarterbacks they're roughly even 228 and a half is a passing prop
00:04for Darnold let's call it 221 and a half for Drake May but let's call it 225 a piece here Joe
00:11in the marketplace I'm looking at Calci a 49% chance that May gets the 225 a 56% chance that
00:19Sam Darnold gets the 225 and a half yeah and listen it depends on the game script that you
00:25think is going to happen here right but there's a lot of ways to correlate how you're looking at
00:31these guys especially when it comes to the receiving props right if you think this is going
00:38to be a situation where both guys hey you know everyone thinks we're going to run we're going
00:43to throw more often then yes there is there's opportunities on this board in on both platforms
00:50to get really good prices and contracts to buy in here absolutely and if you're looking at those
00:55quarterbacks and let you say Joe they throw an average of 225 a piece that means receivers are
01:00going to have to get in the marketplace and be catching a lot of passes in the Super Bowl I'm
01:04looking at the Calci marketplace right now if you're looking at Stefan Diggs he's trading at around a
01:0840 to 50 number here but if you do take a look at the 40 number that means over 40 yards receiving
01:14you're going to pay a little bit of a premium but if you boost him up to 50 that now turns into a
01:19plus money contract the same thing with Jackson Smith and Jigba if you figure he's going to get
01:2393 and a half yards you bump it up to 100 Joe that puts you at a plus money contract here so if I'm
01:30looking from a position of let me just take Stefan Diggs at 50 yards and Jackson Smith and Jigba at 100
01:35yards if you go one and one in those contracts that's plus money already off the bat that's arbitrage at
01:42its finest Donnie that is what you're looking for right this smart advantage we call it the middle game
01:48right that's what you're looking at when it comes to these markets here find the middle where no matter
01:54what happens you are making a profit how about this one Joe rushing yards in the Super Bowl
01:59quarterbacks are going to be rushing running backs going to be rushing also do you want to invest in
02:04maybe a wide receiver or two getting a handoff but the lead dogs in this game Travion Henderson
02:09Ramondre Stevenson and then Drake May and of course Kenneth Walker the third
02:13you look at an option for yourself Joe which running back or quarterback might you be targeting
02:20for the big day on Sunday well I love it again the middle game the yardage arbitrage with Ramondre
02:26Stevenson I saw his number uh at 40 yards uh at 67 percent I saw it on poly market where they gave him
02:3456 and a half yards at 42 and a half percent to the over 61 percent to the under so that's a huge
02:43gap Donnie 16 and a half yardage gap here I can bet him on both I can bet him to go over on
02:49Calci and under on uh on poly market and same situation we go ahead in cash if he lands somewhere
02:56in the middle and those numbers I like my chances with a 16 and a half uh yardage middle there
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