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In this exclusive interview, foreign policy expert Dr. Harsh Pant breaks down why India’s energy decisions are driven primarily by its unique political economy. From balancing economic growth and inflation concerns to navigating global pressures, India’s approach to energy security is a careful, long-term recalibration.

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Transcript
00:00Between June and September this year, there was a drop of 45% of Russian oil imports by India's state-owned refineries.
00:09But what do you anticipate about the private sector?
00:12Do you think that private sector will also try to look at these geopolitical realities?
00:17See, I think some amount of recalibration from Russia was of course expected,
00:24given that the upsurge in India's buying of Russian oil had a lot to do with the kind of discounts that Russia at one point was offering India.
00:35So once those discounts ended and once the volatility in the global energy market also subsided to a certain extent,
00:45it was very clear that India would revert back and recalibrate its supplies.
00:52And any sensible buyer would diversify in this day and age.
00:58So, and India has always done that.
01:00So I think it was, it has been, I don't think the decline has as much to do with the US, partly to do with the US.
01:08But I don't think it is driven largely by what Mr. Trump is saying.
01:12And in any case, Mr. Trump was saying, his statement was about here and now.
01:18He seemed to be suggesting that he just had a call with Mr. Modi recently and Mr. Modi has said that he would be,
01:24you know, stopping oil from Russia, which I think India has made it clear that that is not the case.
01:31And oil's energy supplies in India will be determined largely by India's own political economy
01:38because it's a very important ingredient in our economic growth and any inflationary pressure on energy prices
01:46would have a devastating impact for a large part of our population.
01:50So any government in India cannot afford to, you know, change the dynamic of the energy market and make it more volatile.
01:58So I think largely what we are witnessing is that there has been relative decline from Russia, which was to be expected.
02:05But we still have to wait and watch and see how it stabilizes because energy markets are still in flux.
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