00:00Hello, Miriam at the Bureau of Meteorology with a weather update ahead of wet, stormy weather that's
00:05going to be moving south and southeast across the country over the coming days, potentially leading
00:10to flooding risks across South Australia, New South Wales and even Victoria. We'll start by
00:16taking a look at our water vapour satellite imagery. Now, water vapour imagery shows us
00:20where moisture sits in the higher levels of the atmosphere and where it might be moving next.
00:25Looking at our imagery from today, we can see from the white and green colours that moisture
00:30is really focused through those northern parts of Australia as it often is. We've got the
00:35tropical low pressure system 21U sitting over the Kimberley, but we've also got moist infeeds
00:40coming off the Gulf of Carpentaria and off the Coral Sea. This is bringing moisture across
00:47central parts of the continent and over the coming days, we're going to see this pattern
00:51continuing with that moisture pushing further towards the southeast. This is going to act
00:56as fuel for showers and thunderstorms today, tomorrow and over the weekend. Let's take a look
01:03at that forecast now. Starting with today, we can see that showers and storms are most widespread
01:08in the north, but they are starting to push into northern parts of South Australia, parts of
01:12southwest Queensland and far northern New South Wales. As we continue moving through Friday, we'll see that
01:18pattern continuing with the rain starting to ramp up a little bit more through parts of central New
01:23South Wales as well as northern South Australia. Our thunderstorm forecast for the next couple of
01:29days shows the same pattern. For today, storms are possible across much of the north of the country and
01:36those central areas. Severe storms marked on this map in yellow are possible across some of those northern
01:41areas, but also across parts of Queensland, far northern New South Wales, South Australia and the far
01:48south eastern tip of the Northern Territory. Heavy rainfall that could lead to flash flooding is
01:54definitely the main risk with any severe storms that do develop. Moving into tomorrow, we see that
01:59severe storm area growing more extensive and pushing further south towards central parts of New South Wales.
02:06We also see another storm area developing along the east coast across parts of the Hunter and the Blue
02:11Mountains to the west of Sydney. In those areas, it's not just heavy rainfall that we're keeping an eye on,
02:16it's also the risk of damaging winds and large hail through the course of our Friday.
02:22Moving into the weekend, we're going to see that moisture continuing to flow in from the north,
02:27pulling across South Australia and into the southeastern states. Through Saturday and into
02:32Sunday, we'll see the rain ramping up across inland New South Wales and eventually pushing down into
02:37Victoria as well. Now remember that moisture in the upper levels of the atmosphere is acting as fuel,
02:43so any showers and storms that do develop can tap into that and bring that risk of moderate to
02:48locally heavy rainfall. Severe storms on Saturday are likely across those northern parts of South
02:57Australia, possibly as far south as Port Augusta or so, and we'll see them continuing a risk across
03:03western parts of New South Wales. Into Sunday though, that's when our severe storm risk becomes most
03:10widespread across much of northern and eastern South Australia, parts of southern New South Wales,
03:15and much of Victoria as well. Again, at this time, it'll be the heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding
03:21that will be our key concern. Now, it's a little too early to say exactly what rainfall totals we can
03:27expect today, tomorrow and across the weekend, especially as thunderstorms are going to be playing a
03:32large part in them through this period. But we do know that we are potentially going to see significant
03:38impacts for communities, particularly across those inland areas where the wet weather is a little bit more
03:43unusual. Some of the key impacts we need to keep an eye on over the coming days. Firstly, the locally heavy
03:50falls and the flash flooding. That could quickly lead to roads and access routes becoming muddy or impassable,
03:56potentially even being cut across this period. This may have impacts for more remote properties and
04:03communities, potentially leading to isolation, if we do get those higher end rainfall totals. Over the
04:10next few days, we'll continue to bring you more updates, but it will be worth keeping an eye on the
04:14Bureau's website and weather app for any thunderstorm warnings or other warnings we may need to issue at
04:19this time. As always, you can find that information via www.bom.gov.au on our app or via our social media.
04:29Have a great day. We'll catch you next time.
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