00:00I trust Aaron Rodgers in this environment. It feels like you're going to watch this game play out two ways.
00:05Hey, yeah, Houston was the better team. They won easily going away by seven plus points.
00:08Or there's no in-between like, hey, this is a 17-14 game in the fourth quarter and C.J. Stroud can steal it.
00:14I feel more likely that we're going to watch this game like, yep, that's the Houston offense we saw all year.
00:18Outside of Nico Collins, they have nothing. They couldn't move the football and that's why they lost.
00:22Yeah, I would say the same thing. It's like the Steelers can win this game multiple ways.
00:26I don't know if the same thing can be said about Houston.
00:28I can expect Rodgers to put up 13 points and that may be good enough just because we can't trust C.J. Stroud.
00:36You know, when it comes to the offense, I have a lot of, you know, trepidation trusting anyone outside of Nico Collins.
00:41You know, if we want to turn to some props that I like, let's get to Woody Marks, their rookie running back, under 15 and a half rush attempts.
00:48You know, we look back at what we've seen from him and it's, you know, he's been good this season, but they're also mixing in Nick Chubb.
00:55They're also mixing in George Jordan.
00:56So when we've seen Woody Marks and his snap count never be higher than, let's call it, 80%, I have a tough time trusting that the Texans will give a rookie running back 16 or 17 rush attempts on the road, knowing in a must-win game.
01:10So I don't like, I like Woody Marks overall.
01:13I just expect him to have like 13 or 14 carries and then Nick Chubb to be there, George Jordan to be there, and they're going to mix everyone across the board.
01:19Metcalf to me is the X factor for Pittsburgh, right?
01:24Because not having him the last couple of games, they can't, they have to respect his downfield and his speed and his ability.
01:32They can't just keep cheating up to the line and trying to take away the short stuff here.
01:37So does he have a big game?
01:39How do you approach Metcalf and Aaron Rodgers here tonight?
01:43So I'm not sure if he has a big game.
01:45He's probably going to see a lot of Derek Stingley Jr., the top corner for the Texans, who's one of the top corners in the entire league when it's all said and done.
01:51But, you know, I like Metcalf specifically to catch a pass on the first drive.
01:55You know, it's a little bit of a specific market.
01:57Some people might call it a bit of a sicko market.
01:59You know, you're getting plus 160 at it.
02:01But to your point, because they haven't had him, like TK Metcalf was the most relieved guy in Pittsburgh after they came away with that win.
02:07Like they need to at least get him involved early, whether or not he has a massive game is yet to be seen.
02:12And I honestly don't expect him to go for 80, 90, 100 yards, but they need to at least have flow in the offense and knowing that he's a threat and and showing the Texans that they're willing to go to him
02:21and willing to challenge Stingley in that defense that Metcalf can be a threat for the Steelers, because if it's not going to be that, Donnie, to your point, it's going to be Gainwell coming out of the backfield.
02:30I was super high on Gainwell last week against the Ravens.
02:32So it's got to be Metcalf early. And then that's when once you have that respect, that's when the running game and the other options will open up.
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