Bengals vs. Bills Clash: Tom Vecchio's Player Props

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00:00Let's take a look, Tom, at some weekend action.

00:02One of the fun games that we're probably going to take a look at is a 1 o'clock game from Orchard Park in Buffalo.

00:06That's the Bengals and the Bills.

00:08You got now Joe Barrow back at quarterback.

00:10The expectations are T. Higgins with a full practice yesterday, another stepping clear and concussion protocol,

00:15and Jamar Chase, and also a legitimate running game now.

00:19The Buffalo Bills without a couple defensive ends.

00:21This should be a fun game, Tom. How are you playing it?

00:24You know, honestly, I lean towards the under.

00:26I lean towards getting the points with the Bengals and towards the under.

00:30At least that I'm looking at, and granted, it's Friday morning.

00:32We're not on Sunday yet, but we're going to have some weather in this game.

00:35It's going to be snowing. It's going to be cold.

00:38There shouldn't be too much wind, but it's not going to be a pretty game.

00:40It's going to be ugly.

00:41So I like Chase Brown over 12 and a half rushing attempts.

00:45You know, he's been playing a solid role really throughout the entirety of the season.

00:48As of late, he's been super solid, 15, 19, 18 rushing attempts for recent games.

00:53The Bills run defense is absolutely atrocious this season.

00:57We know what they can do on the ground offensively, but defensively,

00:59they are so inept.

01:01And listen, the snow playing a factor and things,

01:03I don't know if we're going to be seeing Joe Burrow drop back,

01:06not because of the recent injury that he's come back from,

01:08just because I don't think that's the game plan for here.

01:10And, you know, frankly, five and a half points for the Bengals,

01:13I think is pretty good against this Bills team,

01:15which hasn't been the Bills team we've seen in years past.

01:19Yeah.

01:19What did we do with Kansas City at this point here, taking on Houston?

01:25Because they have owned Houston, like it or not.

01:29I mean, they've won the last five.

01:31So, and just when you think Houston has figured them out,

01:35they still figure out a way to win.

01:36So how do we approach this game?

01:38You know, we approach this game, I think, cautiously, you know,

01:41immediately coming off of what we saw last week.

01:44I'm like, all right, Richie Rice is going to be in for another huge game.

01:47But, you know, then I'm thinking, okay, Derek Stingley Jr.,

01:50the top corner for the Texans, is going to be covering him.

01:53He's obviously not just their top corner,

01:54one of the top corners in the entire league.

01:56I was looking at Xavier Worthy's number.

01:58It's got to be a Travis Kelsey game.

01:59And I know the recent string of games for him has been inconsistent,

02:03and Houston really hasn't faced the toughest stretch of teams

02:07when some of these games are playing the Jags, they're playing the Titans.

02:09It really hasn't been, you know, murderer's row.

02:12But this is, as I said, coming into last night's game,

02:15this is effectively a playoff game between Kansas City and Houston.

02:18The loser's not mathematically eliminated,

02:20but they're basically all said and done.

02:22So if Kelsey, in potentially his last season, can't get it done,

02:25it has to be, you know, then they're done as a team.

02:27So I like him over 49 and a half receiving yards.

02:29I don't expect Bryce to have a massive game with Stingley.

02:31I'm not sold on worthy.

02:32I think his number's fine, but it has to be a Kelsey game

02:35to step up in the biggest moments or it's curtains for them

02:37if they're going home.

02:39Tom, let's have some fun with this game here.

02:40It's Tennessee and Cleveland.

02:42Like, why the heck would you guys be talking about this game?

02:44I find it fascinating.

02:45It's a 33 and a half total, a little bit of wind in Cleveland,

02:48not as bad as we saw in the previous week against San Francisco.

02:51Yes, it's going to be colder conditions,

02:52but we like to look at, like, bet three, six, five numbers.

02:56Over one and a half touchdown passes in this game, Tom.

02:59I've never seen that before.

03:01Give me an outlook on the expectations for Cam Ward, Jador Sanders,

03:04and also a favorite Browns team at home.

03:07I got to tell you, Tom,

03:08I think I like the Browns this week and the cover.

03:10I think the best player on the field is Myles Garrett.

03:14And if I can get Myles Garrett potentially to impact the game,

03:17I would take the three and a half, or lay the three and a half,

03:20I should say, with the Browns.

03:22Here's what I said to Kev earlier in the week about Sanders.

03:24You know, he could have the same exact stat line,

03:26essentially, as he did last week,

03:28but have, take one fewer sack,

03:29take one, you know, one fewer incompletion.

03:31All those little things would put them in a spot to win.

03:34If he can't get it done versus the Titans,

03:36who are absolutely terrible on defense,

03:38that is more concerning.

03:40So, improve the little things.

03:41He doesn't need to throw for 300 yards,

03:43but improve the little things,

03:44and I think the Browns can be in a spot to cover.

03:47Tom, Sunday night football quick.

03:48Houston Texans, Kansas City Chiefs.

03:50Is this lights out for the Chiefs,

03:52or do they rise up at home?

03:55I can't lay three and a half for the Chiefs,

03:57especially with the defense on the other side.

03:58The game stays under, and the Texans cover.

04:01It's going to be exactly like the Kansas City indie game

04:03from a couple weeks ago,

04:04where the Chiefs win, but they don't cover,

04:06and they keep their hopes alive for one more week.

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