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College Hoops Insights: Wednesday Previews w/ Mike DeCourcy
SportsGrid
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22 hours ago
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00:00
Welcome back to Newswire here on Sports Grid. Great to catch up with Michael DeCourcy and
00:05
talking some college hoops with us here on the show. Mike, great to have you back. And now that
00:09
the college football season has come to an end in the NFL season as well, you and I can dive into
00:15
some hardcore college hoops. And I know that makes you happy here. We got March Madness just a couple
00:19
of months away. Although I would say, Mike, and I know you're following this, in my opinion,
00:24
doesn't the college football playoff feel a lot like the NCAA tournament? It's like expect the
00:28
unexpected with these games, right? Yeah, I think to an extent, I think we're still not to the level
00:34
of evolution where you can expect James Madison to go out to Oregon and win. But maybe that has
00:39
something to do with college football. And I believe this is the right approach, putting
00:43
their early round games on campus and not on neutral fields where things might be evened out
00:49
at least a little. But in terms of once you get into the heart of it, as we got into it with the
00:54
quarterfinals, we saw what would be considered upsets. We saw Ole Miss take out Georgia,
00:59
unexpected Miami take out Ohio State. I know that the teams that have had buys have not done well,
01:05
but I think it's more complicated than that. Last year, a lot of the buy records were because they
01:10
were seeding teams from lesser conferences. This time, they seeded it straight. They still had the
01:17
same issue. But again, I don't think the teams that were seeded were super accomplished. They might
01:21
have been very successful. Ohio State, for example, not a super accomplished team, beat
01:26
Michigan, beat Texas, not a whole lot else. So I think that had something to do with it. It's just
01:31
it's getting more balanced. And that's the whole idea behind expanding the playoff is to make it
01:37
a sport that doesn't just belong to Alabama, Oklahoma, Ohio State and Clemson and Georgia.
01:43
It belongs to everyone now. Mission accomplished, I would say in that realm, without a doubt. All right.
01:49
But college basketball has belonged to the Michigan Wolverines this season, Mike. I mean,
01:55
another win, this one over Penn State, 74 to 72. They're 14 and 0 on the season and huge favorites
02:03
now to win the Big Ten championship. Now, I know a lot of folks did like Michigan going into the season.
02:09
They did. But this is an unprecedented start for a program that's certainly rising right now.
02:14
Yeah. In terms of the volume of their victories, their efficiency margin at KenPalm.com and KenPalm is
02:23
kind of the gold standard of basketball statistics, college basketball statistics. Their efficiency
02:29
margin is unbelievable. It's five points greater than any other team in college basketball. And that's
02:37
a massive advantage. They have been phenomenal in that sense. But what we saw them last night struggle
02:43
down the stretch against Penn State, a really well-coached team that isn't super talented
02:49
or it's talented in certain places and very young. But Penn State came back, made it a game.
02:56
And we saw from Michigan things that, one of the reasons why I wasn't ready to hand the trophy to
03:01
Michigan, I still think they have a great chance to win it. But I'm willing to see the season play out.
03:06
One is past history. Kentucky, 10 years ago, 11 years ago, sent eight or nine pros onto the floor
03:14
at one time and still wound up not winning it. So it's possible from that sense. But also,
03:20
their execution, point guard play late. LJ Kaysen came in and bailed them out a little bit.
03:26
Elliott Cadeau was not elite against Penn State. And so he's got to prove that he is a championship
03:34
point guard, even though they were able to win a bunch of games against terrific opposition by
03:40
massive margins. What happens when it gets tight? Because it's going to get tight. The top of this
03:45
sport is phenomenal. My first three seed lines on the brackets I do for foxsports.com, they're so
03:53
rich. The 12 teams that are in that grouping all have the ability to win the national championship.
03:59
Yeah. Mike, you see that graphic right there that we just showed? Do you find it interesting that
04:03
the Wolverines are minus money to get to the final four? It seems a little premature on that one to
04:11
me. I don't see that that often. I understand four to one to win the championship. Minus 130 in the
04:15
final four? I mean, we're not even in February yet. Yeah, that's pretty amazing. And again,
04:21
they're an impressive team. I mean, their front court is phenomenal, and they've got great depth on the
04:26
wings. But that's a lot. Like I said, I just listed, I mean, I didn't list the names, but 12 teams that
04:32
are on my first three seed lines. You saw Houston last night. They were tremendous. BYU, if you haven't
04:37
seen them, you haven't seen A.J. DeBansa yet. DeBansa, excuse me. He's phenomenal. There are so
04:43
many good teams in that first 12. Iowa State went into Purdue and won by 30. Purdue's beaten a bunch
04:49
of teams. Even beyond that grouping, Alabama and a few others are threats. So yeah, those odds are a
04:55
little rich, but I do love this Wolverines team. Duke takes care of Louisville yesterday, 84 to 73.
05:03
Another monster game for Cam Boozer. 27 points. He is one of the favorites to win the Wooden Award.
05:09
Still been about plus 150, 140 right now, plus 165. So Duke picks up another win. They went,
05:16
you know, certainly leaned on Boozer again. They've been doing this most of the season. And as time goes
05:21
by, I think this number will come down. Certainly at this point, you have to figure that Duke will
05:26
probably win the ACC. Mike, they're minus 280 to win the conference. Yeah, I think that Duke's
05:32
issue and their high class problems, but they have to show that they can build an offense that goes
05:40
beyond giving the ball to Cam Boozer and letting him do his thing. They had nine assists on 29 field
05:47
goals against Louisville. They were a little bit lucky in the sense that Louisville didn't have
05:51
Mikel Brown, their tremendous freshman point guard. He's still bothered by a back injury.
05:56
And so they had that going for them. But on their end, they have to find a way to make their offense
06:02
function. Caden Boozer, Cam's twin brother, was not effective last night. And they were trying to
06:07
work him in as a starting point guard and move Caleb Foster more to the two so that he can be the
06:14
terrific player. He is. He was great last night, scored 20 points. But offensively, in terms of
06:19
moving the basketball, sharing it and making sure that everybody gets great possessions.
06:25
If you don't have a great point guard, eventually it's going to get you. And right now, Duke's not
06:30
in that position. Iowa State Baylor is probably the primary game on the slate tonight. Number three
06:36
team in the country. One of the biggest tests they'll have all season. They're four and a half
06:40
point favorites on the road. Total 155. How do you feel about their chances tonight?
06:45
Oh, I like their chances. They're going to have a difficult game because Baylor at home is a
06:50
challenge. And most anybody on the road in the Big 12, it's a terrific conference, is going to
06:55
give you a challenge. But I think that the interesting element of this is James Najee gets a big test.
07:02
This will be a second game. He's the player who caused so much controversy being signed to play at
07:08
Baylor, even though he'd already been drafted by an NBA team. A lot of college coaches were not happy
07:13
with that. But James was signed because Scott Drew needed front cart depth. He only had seven
07:21
healthy players and almost no big guys. So now he's got Najee. We'll see how it goes.
07:26
Mike, good luck with your Steelers Monday night. We'll talk next week.
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