00:00let's go to the nfc south at the beginning of the year the tampa bay bucks were my pick i did not
00:04expect it to be this difficult but as of right now they sit at minus 158 to win their nfc south
00:09but here come the carolina panthers plus 134 joe is there anything here well besides my rage uh from
00:18last week i don't know there might be something here look the buccaneers got off to a great start
00:24we were talking about baker mayfield mvp the first six weeks of the season and he deserved it and he
00:29had a lot of injuries around him tristan wirfs to start the year was hurt then you lose bucky
00:33irvin you lost mike evans and then you get everybody back and they keep losing games and and this is
00:39what's perplexing to me and i know baker's playing hurt i give a lot of credit we know that shoulder
00:43is not a hundred percent right but the fact that they've lost these games to atlanta lost these
00:47games to carolina they just keep losing everywhere in a game last week they should have won yet again
00:53extremely frustrating if you're a bucks fan you're very frustrated and as a fantasy manager too
00:57you're a little frustrated too because everything that you saw that you hoped for is everybody
01:00getting healthy putting it all together just hasn't been there and now they're in a tough spot because
01:05the carolina panthers are starting to believe a little bit now the probability here of the panthers
01:09lose making the playoffs is 38 44 currently just as is and then 56 if they win if the buccaneers win
01:18today they have a 65 chance of making the playoffs because they play the carolina panthers next week and
01:25then it all comes down to the tiebreakers so they got to win this week they got to win next week
01:29the buccaneers control their own destiny i think it's really interesting that despite all the
01:34ineptitude of the buccaneers these last few weeks matt i mean since the buy they're one in six what are
01:39we doing here what are we doing here tampa bay so despite all that negativity vegas still sees them
01:46as the favorite which i think tells us something but matt i'm not sure if i feel comfortable with it at
01:51this juncture where are you at with this division yeah this is one of those things as a was once
01:57called a smart wager is this is a stay away this is no play here because if i lean the bucks here
02:02i still have to spend and if i don't truly believe in them why would i buy a product in which i think
02:07i'm going to return in this case there are no returns on the other side to lean on the panthers
02:12just just to get plus 134 at this point in the season if that's what i need to do i've made some
02:17grave errors leading up to this point and that's just an overall wagering philosophy now let's see
02:23if we can apply that to the nfc west because the seattle seahawks sit at minus 104 right strange
02:29number but most people understand niners at plus 215 i want you to talk about that and then the rams
02:35at plus 370 well the seahawks find themselves right now as the one seat now they've got a matchup
02:40against the carolina panthers today on the road so obviously we'll see how that shakes out
02:44seattle's favored in this game as they should be the defense has played great sam darnold's played
02:49very well i'm sure the mannesota vikings are looking and saying maybe we should have held on
02:53to sam darnold maybe we should have given another chance despite the uh epic fail at the end and so
02:58what's so interesting here is that seattle controls their own destiny right you went out tonight you're
03:03in a really good situation because then you play that last game against the 49ers who you see here are
03:07second so 49ers have to continue to win and they need seattle to lose this game today i don't think
03:13that's gonna happen i think seattle carries this here and of course you got the rams nipping at
03:18their heels as well i think the rams don't care about the seating i think all the rams are looking
03:22for right now is to get healthy so that's why i think you will see them waiting on davante adams
03:27you get like it's an older team right so you got to make sure you're getting these guys to the dance
03:31as long as they don't have to travel into like the snow where they did last year i think the rams feel
03:37pretty confident they can go to seattle they can go to san fran they can go anywhere basically to win
03:43except maybe a cold weather environment which is where it gets tricky potentially for them so
03:47we'll see how it all shakes out these next two weeks but right now seattle's in the driver's
03:51seat and i think the schedule favors them especially when you consider that 49er defense has taken so
03:55many hits matt i don't know how you see this division laying out there but we talked about this in the
04:00beginning of the year the win total was eight and a half for the seattle seahawks and we both thought
04:05that it was grossly underrepresenting how good this team could be
04:08so
04:10so
04:12so
04:14you
04:16you
04:18you
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