00:00All right, Joe, Super Bowl odds following the Miles Garrett trade.
00:05It's not over, but this team's moving,
00:11and it's moving even more than we can really keep up with, Joe.
00:16We're seeing a plus 550 on the L.A. Rams now.
00:20Next number is 10 to 1.
00:22Your initial reaction to seeing that gap?
00:25Deserving.
00:26We talked about they're built for win now.
00:30But they can only go higher from here.
00:32I mean, that's the problem, right?
00:34So if you're going to jump in on the momentum and say,
00:37hey, you know, plus 550 is still plus money, and I'm willing to take a shot,
00:42well, you're one injury away from that going plus 550
00:45to all of a sudden back to 10, 11 to 1,
00:48especially when we're talking about Matt Stafford
00:50and his issues over the past few seasons.
00:54So, yes, deserving of the 550, you missed the best number,
00:58but I'm not willing to pull the trigger right now in the offseason.
01:02I would much rather look at some of the other teams like your Philadelphia Eagles
01:07at 19 to 1, like the Bears with Caleb Williams,
01:11and some of the other contenders potentially on the AFC side like Josh Allen
01:18and the Bills that just now have plus money.
01:21You know, because of this move, you're getting an overextension in the market.
01:26But again, it's deserving, but it's not worth chasing at this point in the offseason, Kevin.
01:31But here's what I think the Rams are.
01:37A incredible, incredible sports and sports betting mind that Joe knows very, very well
01:44coined the phrase, put it with the golf.
01:50And I remember the first time I saw it, man, it's genius.
01:54Look at these tickets.
01:56And you can do it as well with home runs.
01:59And that is, of course, a shout-out to Mike Carver.
02:03I think that's what the Rams are now, Joe.
02:06I think you take the Rams, maybe 10 different guys to home or on a slate,
02:12see what you're left with in terms of outstanding wagers.
02:17You know, maybe you find that Scotty Scheffler tournament,
02:19although if I had to guess, you'd probably, you know, hold on, let me scroll, you know,
02:27see if the gala and the Rams maybe seems a little bit more your speed, you know, 65 to 1.
02:37Maybe the Rams with a college football future you feel fantastic about, like,
02:43oh, I don't know, Notre Dame, 51 to 1.
02:47That's what I think the Rams are now, Joe.
02:49I think they're a parlay piece.
02:51I'm not sitting here right now telling you that I think they're going to win the Super Bowl,
02:55that I think they're a lock, but I am not straight up playing 55 to 1.
03:01I need to find a way to get me what I perceive to be better value.
03:06Absolutely, and that's why I say who's coming out of the AFC, right?
03:12Is it going to be New England again?
03:14I don't personally think so, okay?
03:16So is there more value on the Chiefs and Pat Mahomes now at 10 to 1?
03:21Do you want to take a shot on Jim Harbaugh on the Chargers at 14 to 1?
03:27That's where the value is.
03:29And again, I still go back to the NFC, and if you don't believe Seattle is, you know,
03:35going to go back to back, then you take a shot potentially on another contender.
03:39But I would much rather take that value in the over-assessment of the market
03:45and that momentum that has completely shifted now all in L.A.'s favor.
03:52And I'm not praying.
03:54I don't wish this, but if Miles Garrett goes down in week one from an injury,
03:59you think the Rams are going to be plus 550?
04:02Or if Stafford has an elbow injury again or a neck injury,
04:06all of a sudden that plus 550 will be 20 to 1 after the month of September.
04:11Oh, well, if Stafford goes down, nothing to worry about.
04:15Well, I'm just saying.
04:15But that's my point, though, Kevin.
04:17That's my point.
04:19Not yet, Kevin.
04:20But my point is you can only go higher from here, right?
04:25Meaning, you know, whatever momentum we're going to have over the next week or so
04:30is going to be settled in the market, and then now you look for value in other areas
04:36or you wait until the month of September plays out
04:39and see if you can pick off value in that aspect.
04:43Yeah, you know, maybe the other way to play this, Joe, is Rams minus three week one in Australia
04:48against the Niners.
04:50It doesn't feel like the Rams are going to be only minus three in that game.
04:53I got to be honest with you, Joe.
04:54Am I crazy?
04:56Honestly, I think they might be five and a half, six.
04:59I think that number climbs.
05:01The neutral field, though.
05:02Neutral field.
05:03Yeah.
05:06Make them 10-point favorites.
05:08You know, 14, double digits.
05:11Never.
05:11All right.
05:13For 100, you like the total in that game, 49 and a half?
05:17No, under.
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