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  • 5 weeks ago
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00:00Sports gambling is sort of evolving.
00:03Now you see Fanatics, you see Robinhood,
00:06you see all of these companies launching prediction markets,
00:09which in some ways are similar to sports gambling companies.
00:15And I'm curious to get your take,
00:17because I think this has become such a big market,
00:20and obviously Polymarket, Calci now have insane valuations.
00:23So they're becoming more and more ubiquitous.
00:26In the financial markets ecosystem, particularly for retail traders.
00:32But you can bet on anything.
00:33Right.
00:34You can bet on an Oscar-winning film.
00:35But what's interesting is...
00:37Or how much snow we're going to get.
00:38And it sort of is the gamification and gambling-ification.
00:43Well, markets have always been...
00:44Of all of life.
00:45Well, yeah, but markets in particular have always been gambling.
00:49But it is interesting...
00:51You have to know.
00:51I mean, if you buy an ETF in 10 years from now,
00:54it's probably going to be up.
00:55It's pretty safe.
00:56There's investors, but there's a lot of people that gamble.
00:58And the meme stock craze, you know, spoke directly to this.
01:01And I think that's what's happening here.
01:03It's completely, for the most part, unregulated right now.
01:06And this was kind of...
01:08The Polymarket is not allowed in the U.S., right?
01:09Polymarket's...
01:10Although people, I think, with VPNs can get around it.
01:12Calci is.
01:13But what's interesting is, you know, now people are calling it out.
01:15So Brian Armstrong, in an earnings call with Coinbase,
01:19basically gave a nod to the Polymarket Calci bets.
01:23And there were all these bets saying,
01:24is he going to say Ethereum or this word or that word?
01:27And he ended the call by saying all of these words.
01:30Think about if his secretary or assistant knew that he was going to do that
01:34and placed a bet, betting he was going to do that.
01:37I mean, there's so much possibility for insider trading.
01:39That is insider trading.
01:40Well, I wonder if that is insider trading.
01:41I don't...
01:42I mean, right now, I don't think it would be classified as such.
01:45Is that material, non-public information that is owned by the shareholders of Brian Armstrong?
01:51Or Coinbase, we're talking, right?
01:52Coinbase.
01:53Coinbase is a publicly traded company.
01:55What the CEO might say, you could reasonably argue, is material, is owned by the shareholders.
02:03Therefore, if his secretary knew what he was going to say,
02:09she would be misappropriating that it would be theft.
02:13It's misappropriation.
02:14And that's insider trading.
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