The insane impact of Benford's pick

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Jeremy and Joe discuss the impact of Christian Benford's pivotal pick-6 against the Bengals on Sunday.

Transcript

00:00Bills and Bengals and a game that had the single biggest play to swing win probability

00:08that wasn't in the final two minutes in a decade.

00:13For the Bills or in the NFL?

00:14For the Bills.

00:15For the Bills.

00:16No, in the NFL.

00:17The Benford pick is the biggest win percentage swing.

00:20Wow.

00:20Not in the final two minutes in ten years.

00:24They're up a score at that point, and there's what, five minutes left on the clock?

00:30Give or take, around there.

00:32It's late in the fourth quarter.

00:35I mean, it was stunning when he caught the ball.

00:37Yep.

00:38And caught it clean, right?

00:39Like, I don't think he scores if he doesn't catch it clean.

00:43Because Burrow is there, and he does have to break a tackle.

00:46And even if Burrow doesn't make the tackle, but he wraps him a little bit more

00:50and gives Chase an extra second to get there.

00:54Like, not just getting the pick, but scoring that quickly was big.

00:58I mean, because there were a lot of points.

01:00Down the stretch.

01:01And you didn't know how much time the Bengals were going to need to go drive down

01:04and do another drive.

01:06So, I mean, him to catch it clean was maybe the most impressive part of that play.

01:12I couldn't believe he did that.

01:13I also couldn't believe he outran Chase.

01:14I thought for sure he was getting caught from behind.

01:17I just can't.

01:17I watched it a thousand times to try and figure out what Joe Burrow did with the football.

01:22He tried to loft it over.

01:24He tried to, but he slipped and he shot put at it.

01:27It definitely did not look like a clean spin from Burrow.

01:29Maybe he was trying to pull it back because he saw Benford there.

01:33Maybe.

01:33And by the time, like, it was too late.

01:35I don't know.

01:36How about Benford on the play said, the technique is to not jump.

01:41I'm not supposed to jump.

01:42Not supposed to jump.

01:42He said, I'm not supposed to jump.

01:44Probably because, what, then the quarterback can pump fake and run around you?

01:47Yes.

01:48You take yourself out of the play.

01:49Yes.

01:49Not supposed to jump.

01:51But I jumped.

01:51What about if it's Burrow with a foot injury?

01:53Right.

01:54Maybe then you jump.

01:55And he did jump.

01:56But, I mean, just absolute scenes at the stadium.

01:58And reminiscent of kind of like a Taron Johnson pick six vibe.

02:02The difference, of course, is for the Taron Johnson pick six, the Bills are already winning.

02:06And there's only 6,000 people there.

02:08Right.

02:08They're winning, and that pick kind of locks up the game, which is great, of course,

02:12because Baltimore is threatening.

02:13This is, they're going to lose if they don't get this play.

02:15I think they probably will, yeah.

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