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  • 9 hours ago
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00:00Patch Giants, seven, seven and a half point number.
00:03Ten and two versus two and ten.
00:05Jackson darts back.
00:06He plays Drake May.
00:08What are you looking for this game here, Tom?
00:11What's catching your eye?
00:12You know, honestly, and this is something I don't always do,
00:15but I'm expecting some points.
00:16A lot of prime count games, I love taking unders,
00:18but the 46 and a half number is really good.
00:20You know, if this number was 48 and a half, 49 and a half,
00:22I would be hammering the under.
00:24But, you know, we get a 28, 21 final, you know, 27, 24,
00:28somewhere around there.
00:29I think we're in for, like, a modest amount of scoring tonight.
00:31I'm cautiously optimistic that we're going to see the Giants
00:34having scoring points with or without Jackson darts.
00:36They're going to get there.
00:37There may be some turnovers.
00:39We've talked about before that the Pats and their offense,
00:41they got a lot of options.
00:42They're scoring.
00:43So you give me the Pats to get to 28,
00:46I think we can see the Giants get to 20.
00:48I don't think this game is going to be in the upper 50s in terms of points,
00:51and I think it'll go over by a handful.
00:53I think we're in for a good game tonight.
00:54I love it.
00:55As someone who often, you know, has scoffed at by Lisey when I tell him
01:01if one team is favored by one and a half and the other team should be favored
01:05by one and a half, that really matters to me.
01:07When it's not, I love that 46 and a half can get you to the over,
01:11and if it was 48 and a half, could be a best bet under.
01:13I love that.
01:13I do.
01:14I mean that very sincerely.
01:15In the back, they were astonished.
01:17I heard the reaction, but I think it's a great breakdown.
01:21I will say, I look at this spot, and I think there's passing within the game,
01:29and I think that lends to an over as well.
01:31I think some of it is the Giants, there's reports already
01:36they're not going to run Jackson Dart as much,
01:38which is a decision like, of course not.
01:42There's no way.
01:43From a touchdown perspective, New England's given up,
01:45I believe, 20 passing touchdowns to four rushing touchdowns.
01:49So the touchdowns come through the air primarily.
01:52Drake May is coming off of consecutive games
01:55without multiple passing touchdowns.
01:57First time this season.
01:59So I was workshopping maybe May for two, Dart for one,
02:03probably land around even money.
02:05I was going to get, I know it's going to be a little gimmicky, Tom,
02:08over touchdown yardage.
02:10I think these teams are vulnerable to explosives a little bit.
02:14It's in the 70s.
02:15Again, it's a little, like, are you giving that as the best bet?
02:19I don't know.
02:19But I also don't think the Pats are going to run away from throwing the ball
02:25just because they have an injured offensive line.
02:27I think they're going to still look to lay on their franchise,
02:30you know, lean on the franchise quarterback here.
02:32Right.
02:33I was considering Jackson Dart under pass attempts just because, A,
02:36they don't want him dropping back just so he doesn't get hit,
02:38he doesn't have to scramble, just, you know, kind of keep him safe.
02:41But then I didn't get there.
02:42It was a 29, 30 and a half number.
02:43I like Theo Johnson tonight.
02:45I like Trevion Henderson tonight.
02:46I think they'll play both big roles.
02:49Jackson Dart right now, again, is in the mid-20s from a rushing yard perspective.
02:55Curious to see if he truly, like, they're not going to design runs.
03:00Are they going to stop him from scrambling, though?
03:02Is he going to stop himself from scrambling?
03:04I think it's a fascinating question in this game.
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