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President Donald Trump has issued a dramatic warning, declaring Venezuelan airspace “closed in its entirety” and privately telling President Nicolás Maduro that the U.S. may consider military force if he refuses to step down.

This video breaks down the escalating tensions, what Trump aims to achieve, why Washington and Caracas are locked in a bitter standoff, what options Maduro realistically has, and how the world could be impacted if conflict erupts.

A sharp, 400-word editorial analysis on whether this is a genuine prelude to war — or another high-stakes geopolitical gamble. Pankaj Mishra explains in The Writing On The Wall.

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#Venezuela
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Transcript
00:00Hello and welcome. You're watching One India's The Writing on the Wall. My name is Pankaj Mishra.
00:05We take you to Venezuela. The global lens also has now swung back to the country Venezuela
00:12and this time the tremors are louder than they have been in years. President Donald Trump has
00:18posted a blunt warning on Truth Social, declaring that the airspace above and surrounding Venezuela
00:24should be considered closed in its entirety. This isn't diplomatic language. It's a pre-strike
00:30signal, a message meant to rattle, caracas and alert US allies that something significant is moving
00:37behind the scenes. What's more alarming is what we now know from the private phone call Trump had
00:44with President Nicolai Maduro last week. Trump reportedly delivered an ultimatum. Step down
00:51voluntarily or military force will be on the table. That is as clear as red line as Washington can
00:59draw. So what exactly does Trump want? As its score, this is not new. The US has opposed Maduro since
01:08the days of economic collapse. Remember the currency issue, mass human rights concerns and disputed
01:14elections. Washington never accepted Maduro's legitimacy and for years it has tried unsuccessfully
01:21though to push him out through sanctions, pressure and support for the opposition. Trump appears to be
01:29reviving a hardline strategy. Remove Maduro, reassert US influence in the western hemisphere and send a
01:36global signal that authoritarian regimes in America's neighbourhood will not be tolerated. But the question
01:43is, is there actually an imminent US attack? The signs are mixed. The airspace warning is unusual. The
01:50rhetoric is heavy. And intelligence chatter suggests that Pentagon is repositioning assets in the region.
01:58Yet Washington knows Venezuela is not Iraq or Libya. It is high-risk military theater with deep Russian,
02:06Chinese, Chinese, Cuban and Iranian involvement. Any conflict would ripple across global oil markets, disrupt supply
02:13lines and inject fresh volatility into an already fragile world economy. For Maduro though, the options are
02:22brutally narrow. He can defy Trump, dig in and bank on support from the allies who do not want another US
02:30engineered regime change. Or he can negotiate a face saving exit, though history shows strongmen rarely
02:37volunteer to leave. If he miscalculates, conflict becomes a real possibility. And let's be clear, Maduro cannot
02:46come out unscathed in a direct confrontation with the United States. So is Trump preparing for war or simply using
02:54the threat of force to bend a weakened regime. Right now, it could be either. But one thing is certain.
03:02If Maduro refuses to step down, the hemisphere is inching towards a dangerous crossroads. And Trump's warning
03:09is not the roar of a distant storm. It's the sound of something approaching fast, very fast.
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