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  • 4 days ago
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00:00Russia is amassing troops close to the border of Ukraine.
00:04It's carrying out military exercises with Belarus.
00:07And President Biden has this message.
00:10If Russia makes a choice to further invade Ukraine,
00:14we are jointly ready and all of NATO is ready.
00:19NATO is a Western military alliance.
00:21The president says it's ready.
00:23And Russia is focused on it too.
00:24The NATO member countries continue to send a large amount of modern weapons to Ukraine
00:31to contribute to the modernisation of the Ukrainian military.
00:35NATO members are flying in what they call lethal aid to Ukraine.
00:39Across Eastern Europe, NATO is bolstering its defences.
00:42These are British forces on the Poland-Belarus border.
00:45And Russian concerns about NATO in Eastern Europe are not new.
00:48We will also have to look at those missile installations in Romania and Poland or anywhere.
00:57On NATO, Russia is looking to the future and the past.
01:00It wants NATO to promise that Ukraine will never join.
01:04And it wants NATO to withdraw its military deployments of recent years from Eastern Europe.
01:09There's no chance of either demand being met.
01:12And to understand why, we need to go back to the aftermath of the Second World War.
01:16NATO was set up in 1949 by 12 countries.
01:20Their mission was to secure peace in Europe, to promote cooperation among its members and to guard their freedom.
01:26In reality, this meant countering the growing power of the Soviet Union.
01:30And at the heart of NATO's strategy to do this was, and is, Article 5.
01:36It says an attack on one member is considered an attack on all of them.
01:40The idea is collective defence.
01:42And now, with 30 members, NATO continues to state its purpose.
01:47Together, we are 50% of the world's military might and economic might.
01:52So, as long as we stand together in NATO, North America and Europe, we are all safe.
01:56In recent years, though, NATO's purpose has been questioned.
02:00Donald Trump said the US might leave.
02:03Emmanuel Macron said NATO was brain dead.
02:06There are also questions of commitment.
02:08Some NATO members are behind on NATO's military spending targets.
02:12And then, there's Afghanistan.
02:14In response to the 9-11 attacks, NATO triggered its Article 5.
02:18NATO members supported America's attack on al-Qaeda and the Taliban.
02:2220 years later, the US chose to leave Afghanistan unilaterally, with NATO members left to follow suit.
02:28For this, and for other reasons too, as the BBC's Katja Adler notes,
02:33the longevity of the current show of unity between Western allies isn't guaranteed.
02:37Now, whether Russia sees that as a chance, we can't know.
02:41Some argue this crisis has galvanised the NATO alliance.
02:44But what is clear is that NATO's expansion has angered Vladimir Putin.
02:50We won't move one inch towards the east, they told us in the 1990s.
02:55And what happened?
02:56They deceived us.
02:57They brazenly tricked us.
03:00That claim is disputed.
03:02NATO's expansion, though, is not.
03:04The countries here in purple joined before 1997.
03:07Since then, the 14 in yellow had their request to join accepted.
03:12Many of them are former Soviet states.
03:14Five share a border with Russia.
03:17Moscow sees all of this as a major threat to its security.
03:20The continuation of NATO's open border policy and further movement towards our borders is exactly what threatens us.
03:29NATO is not a development institution.
03:32It is an instrument of confrontation.
03:34It's quite obvious that its expansion poses a threat to us.
03:38Russia doesn't see NATO as defensive.
03:40It sees it as an extension of American power.
03:42It sees its very existence as a reduction of Russian power.
03:47And Ukraine finds itself right in the middle of Russian efforts to resist that.
03:52It shares borders with Russia and the European Union.
03:55And while it's not a NATO member, it's what NATO calls a partner country.
04:00That means it could join in the future.
04:03And Russia is using its military to make it clear that that mustn't happen.
04:06Which brings the EU to this conclusion.
04:10We are living, to my understanding, the most dangerous moment for the security in Europe after the end of the Cold War.
04:20And in this dangerous moment, Russia sees NATO aggression.
04:23NATO sees only defence.
04:25What we all see is NATO and Russia playing their part in a global power struggle,
04:29where China is coming and America's superpower is being put to the test.
04:34In a recent essay, Tom McTague wrote in The Atlantic,
04:37that moment when we in the West all bathed contentedly under the American sun has gone.
04:42In that context, he argues, Putin then is a modern man,
04:45reacting to the modern world, using modern methods in an attempt to make something new.
04:50And NATO stands in the way of the new world that Putin would like.
04:54That's why, whatever the rights and wrongs,
04:56the causes of this crisis and the outcome of it both connect to NATO.
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