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Bakrie & Brothers CEO Anindya Bakrie on Indonesia's Growth
Bloomberg
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1 week ago
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00:00
So, I want to just talk to you a little bit about Indonesia.
00:02
We spoke about it on the panel a bit, but growing at about 5%,
00:06
despite some of the headwinds that we've been speaking about all day.
00:09
Do you think that is adequate for an economy of Indonesia's size,
00:14
especially regionally, such a powerhouse?
00:17
What would you say the outlook is for growth?
00:18
First of all, our president has this target of 8%,
00:22
because Indonesia has been growing for almost three decades,
00:26
about 5%, on the back of the domestic consumption, also government spending.
00:31
Now, as we are taking in a lot of FDI and also getting a lot of surpluses in trades,
00:38
we believe the 8% target gradually to 2030 can be achieved.
00:43
And that is important for Indonesia and I think also for the world,
00:46
because we have 285 million people.
00:49
Right now, we have about $5,000 per capita, making us $1.3 trillion economy.
00:55
But we need growth, as we need a lot of jobs.
00:58
We need a lot of people to make sure they go up in the value chain in terms of their welfare as well.
01:04
So, yes, we do need additionally 3% on top of the 5%.
01:08
Do you think the policy decisions of the new finance minister who has come in
01:12
is adequately getting the country on track to achieving those goals right now?
01:18
I think so, because his policy is to bring liquidity to the private sector.
01:23
And as you know, Indonesia, about 70% of the economy is actually coming from the private sector,
01:29
including the state-owned enterprises.
01:32
As right now, Indonesia is running quite strong with the sovereign wealth fund called Danantara,
01:37
which has almost $1 trillion AUM.
01:40
That liquidity is very much needed for both private sector as well as state-owned enterprises within Danantara.
01:46
And this will induce a lot of growth in the country.
01:50
Having said that, a lot of the social initiatives being done by the government,
01:54
such as the free nutritious meal to 8 million kids and lactating mothers,
02:00
3 million low-income housings per year,
02:03
as well as free health check-up every year for the 285 million people,
02:07
I think that's a good thing.
02:08
That will also increase a lot of the social security and comfort for the people.
02:13
What about deregulation, though,
02:15
and potentially that helping to increase some of the FDI that we're seeing in the country?
02:22
Do we need to see a bit more deregulation?
02:23
No, we always need more because I think…
02:26
Deregulation.
02:26
Deregulation.
02:27
Because at the end of the day, I think the country,
02:30
and also it is a competitive arena in the world.
02:34
In order to be competitive, we have to continue to deregulate
02:37
to make sure that companies, investors become much more efficient, much more productive.
02:42
We did a big omnibus law about five years ago during President Jokowi's era.
02:48
I believe one is coming also during President Pablo's era,
02:51
and the numbers have shown.
02:53
We have hit a record of FDI year after year.
02:56
I think this year we will probably cost $100 billion of FDI,
03:00
which is quite a lot of money.
03:02
And the trade surplus per month is about $2 billion,
03:05
which is very good, especially knowing the geopolitics tension
03:09
and the refiguring out the supply chain as well.
03:13
So what sort of deregulation, then, do you think should be maybe first on the docket?
03:18
I would say first and foremost is how to help small-medium enterprises in Indonesia.
03:23
So, Jennifer, in Indonesia, while it is a big country,
03:27
60 million business organizations actually are small-medium enterprises
03:32
as well as cooperatives.
03:34
So we need to make sure that the access of fund is easier for them,
03:38
access to market is easier for them, and also access of technology.
03:42
I think if we empower a lot of the small-medium enterprises,
03:46
naturally the big companies, whether Indonesian private colomerates
03:51
or the sector enterprises, will also have a captive market
03:55
because they can buy their products.
03:57
What does that mean for Bakrian Brothers?
03:59
Are you thinking about new investment outside of Indonesia,
04:02
new sectors, potentially coal, expanding some of the investment on the continent?
04:07
Are there potential deals that you're looking at?
04:09
So 90% of our focus, Jennifer, is still in Indonesia
04:12
because we see a lot of growth.
04:14
We are in three different sectors.
04:15
Number one, energy, coal, oil, and gas,
04:18
and we also come into critical minerals such as gold, copper, zinc, bauxite.
04:24
So that's number one.
04:25
Number two, we focus on industrialization of steel,
04:28
including getting into infrastructure businesses such as Tower Road.
04:32
Number three is the digitalization such as media, technology,
04:36
and also intelligence infrastructure such as Data Center.
04:39
Now, in Africa, we have two countries that we have started to be involved in.
04:44
Number one is Mozambique with the gas field as well as cooking coal,
04:50
and also Guinea as we focus also on possible plantations and also bauxite.
04:57
So we see a lot of opportunities to work together
04:59
because the south-to-south collaboration between Indonesia and Africa
05:02
I think is still very low and a lot of room for growth,
05:07
and we are a believer in that.
05:08
Are you encouraged, though, by the steel demand right now?
05:12
Don't you think it should pick up a bit more
05:13
to justify increased investment into the backbone of steel?
05:17
No.
05:18
By the way, one of the biggest exports from South Africa to Indonesia is steel,
05:24
coming from ore and so forth.
05:28
So the steel demand will continue to be there
05:30
as the growth in the country is continuing and growing.
05:35
But I think the possible investment for our group
05:39
can also be about building the new supply chain
05:42
that will also bring value additions to Indonesia or Southeast Asia as a region
05:47
as well as South Africa or Africa as a region.
05:51
And we want to keep the value additions also in our parts of the world.
05:54
Yes, we should work with all sides of the aisle or the east or the west,
05:58
but I think our countries have fair ambitions to hold a lot of the value additions in the country.
06:05
Including the U.S. still.
06:06
Yes, that's right.
06:07
A partner still for Indonesia.
06:09
Yeah, I think U.S. has always been a good partner.
06:13
As we talked a little bit before,
06:15
we want to diversify our trading and investment partners.
06:19
That's why in the last three months,
06:20
we signed a deal at SIPA,
06:22
Comprehensive Economic Partnership in Humanity,
06:24
with Canada, EU and Peru,
06:26
all in three months, right?
06:28
And we are also joining BRICS
06:31
and continuing the process of accession in OECD.
06:35
So we're trying to do many things
06:36
and also try to balance our involvement internationally.
06:42
Thank you so much, Anandia.
06:43
It's great to speak with you again.
06:44
Thank you very much.
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