00:00um i want to get to the prop that i like here and i think you and i disagree on
00:04this one though
00:05maybe you know i think through shopping around we have given ourselves at least the chance to
00:10to middle this number so i'm on bryce underwood's overpassing yards i have a 160 and a half that was
00:16available on bet rivers i know that book's not available everywhere um the numbers moved up a
00:20little bit into the 170s and no i don't expect for him to land just exactly 165 so yes if
00:26you
00:26have to get more expensive prices i think it's good to go um there is one thing that really
00:31i guess two things that really uh drew me in to the number here dave the first thing is going
00:39back
00:39and looking at when did the michigan offense have any life any life to it it was the first drive
00:46in
00:46the last drive and bryce underwood threw for 170 yards in that game he threw for 137 yards
00:55on the first and final drives combined and even if we were to say okay but kev like
01:0075 yards on the last drive basically two hail marys because like the first complete okay fine
01:0861 of less than 100 yards of his came on the opening drive you clearly had a quarterback who
01:17early was throwing it with some comfort and then late when it was like we have no other options
01:25made some plays so i think you should be thinking okay we have to actually get him in a real
01:32rhythm
01:32the other thing that draws me to the bet dave is if i'm oklahoma i'm begging them to have this
01:40kid
01:40throw the football there's no way i am letting you run run run when your head coach is flirting with
01:48the idea of benching this kid so you know take what the defense gives you i think they're going
01:54to give him the pass get your quarterback settled in i think that's through passing the football i
01:59don't think it's handing it off to savi on hitter for a gain of two so i'm going to take
02:04a chance here
02:05on bryce underwood over the 160 and a half passing yards now it's all about the market you were able
02:11to
02:11grab the 160 and a half i grabbed 170 and a half under and i absolutely love it for some
02:18of the
02:18same reasons that you mentioned and the guy was five for 11 for 34 yards passing if you take out
02:25the first and last drive 34 yards the whole rest of the game against western michigan and by the way
02:31this is nothing new he's had 14 starts at michigan under 185 yards per game under 60 completion
02:40percentage a qbr in the 60s which is outside the top 30 nationally this is not a one game sample
02:47size or a one drive sample size yes he was five for five for 61 yards on the first drive
02:52of a scripted
02:53drive that you have all week to practice against a max school if he goes five for five for 61
02:59yards on
03:00the first drive versus oklahoma you have a very good chance of winning this bet i just don't think he's
03:05going five for five for 61 yards versus oklahoma on the first drive and he still isn't going to get
03:11to 160 with those numbers because he was five for 11 for 34 yards the rest of the game and
03:17now you're
03:17going up against a top 10 passing defense i also have that one other thing in my back pocket you
03:23mentioned it a second ago if he goes five for 11 for 34 yards for the majority of the game
03:29winningham's going to pull him and if they pull him that works towards my under now i'm not betting it
03:34because i think he's going to get pulled i'm betting it because i don't think 170 yards is
03:39happening when this guy got a third of his yards on a hail mary that should not have happened last
03:44week so that's where i'm at but maybe he throws for 165 and we both hit which again i'd be
03:50happy
03:50with like i'm not selfish i do think though people if people basically had to pick a winner though
03:56between you and i i think i think the benching stuff's a real edge in your favor because it it
04:02has
04:03become a real story heading into this game
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