South Alabama vs. Georgia State: Betting Line Analysis

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00:00South Alabama, Georgia State.

00:01Yeah, I said it here.

00:02Opened up four and a half line now close to a touchdown.

00:05Has a six and a half point favorite for South Alabama.

00:07Total this game between South Alabama and Georgia State is 56 and a half to 55 and a half,

00:13depending on where you're shopping at.

00:14Joe, what's the spread line for this college football game Thursday night?

00:18Well, the reason we included this one, Donnie, is because yesterday something very interesting

00:22happened right around lunchtime is that the board lit up with action and steam coming

00:29in on the total in this game, which is interesting because it got up as high as 57 and a half

00:38at one point yesterday, and then all of a sudden the buyback began to come, and then all of

00:44a sudden we were back down to 55, 55 and a half, ultimately where it is right now.

00:51So my question is, we're talking about a standalone Thursday night game here, Donnie, in which

00:56we have two of the worst football teams in the country, two wins and 12 losses combined.

01:02They rank 96 and 102nd, respectively, in yards per play on offense, and we are steaming the

01:11total like there's no tomorrow and then buying it back.

01:16This is shaping up to be a classic head fake where a syndicate or influential bettors push

01:23this thing all the way up to get it to a certain number, and then all of a sudden they want

01:28to buy back looking for either some sort of middle or artificially inflate the number.

01:33That's the only reason I can come up with with why anybody would want a total in this game

01:39here with two teams that can't move the ball at all.

01:42Keep an eye on this one, Donnie.

01:44We're gonna fight.