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NFL Week 7 Showdown: Colts vs. Chargers Analysis & Preview
SportsGrid
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6 weeks ago
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00:00
which is the Indianapolis Colts,
00:01
the early surprise team of 2025,
00:04
who now go up against the Chargers team
00:07
that started as the hot team at 2025
00:11
because they beat the Kansas City Chiefs in Brazil.
00:14
They followed that up with a Monday night win,
00:16
and it was Charger, Charger, Charger.
00:18
You now have a spot where I don't want to say
00:20
either team needs it.
00:22
That's a little strong,
00:23
but I think an opportunity for a statement
00:26
is up for grabs here with the Chargers
00:29
and the Colts.
00:30
It's a short number on LA.
00:32
Injury news-wise, a little odd.
00:36
I thought Joe Walt might be back,
00:37
listed as doubtful,
00:39
but the trade-off is a surprise return for Khalil Mack
00:43
that I wasn't necessarily expecting.
00:45
I'll tell you right out of the gates, Joe,
00:47
I thought I would like the Chargers
00:49
when I saw this game on the schedule
00:51
heading into the weekend.
00:52
I do like the Chargers in this game.
00:55
I took their money line at minus 125.
00:57
I don't want to deal with the point and a half
00:59
because the game could be weird enough,
01:01
but I think this is a spot for the Chargers
01:04
to step up and handle business.
01:06
This Indianapolis Colts resume,
01:08
college football style,
01:09
not really shiny.
01:11
I know they win big.
01:12
They've not done a good job, though,
01:14
in beating the good teams they've played
01:17
because they've not played a lot of good teams.
01:18
That trip to LA against the Rams
01:20
didn't work out for them.
01:21
I think it's a similar story against the Chargers.
01:23
We used to have a saying on college football today.
01:25
I see it differently.
01:29
It's been a while, right?
01:31
And it's not to take away from the Chargers.
01:33
I was on the Chargers last week, remember?
01:35
It was one of my bad picks against Miami.
01:38
Started fast, couldn't close the door.
01:40
They get to win on a last-second field goal,
01:42
and I'm all in on Justin Herbert
01:44
and that passing attack
01:45
that they've started to develop,
01:47
obviously, with Ladd McConkie
01:48
and some of those other playmakers
01:50
in that offense.
01:52
But the one thing I think
01:54
when you look at this matchup, right,
01:56
and you say, okay,
01:57
with Khalil Mack coming back,
01:58
most likely he'll benefit
02:00
the rushing defense against Jonathan Taylor,
02:03
and the Colts will need that type of effort
02:05
on the road.
02:06
I'm not so sure,
02:07
and I know Vidal had 124 yards
02:10
on that Miami defense,
02:11
but I watched that game play out
02:13
against Arizona,
02:14
and Arizona has a very physical offensive line.
02:16
They like to run the football.
02:17
When James Conner was obviously there,
02:20
it was Bam Knight last week
02:21
that got a majority of the carries.
02:23
They didn't have great success,
02:25
and so I don't know in this matchup
02:27
if L.A. is going to be able
02:29
to run the football effectively
02:31
as much as potentially Indianapolis.
02:34
I like Daniel Jones.
02:35
He's playing, you know,
02:37
you can make the argument.
02:38
I mean, you know,
02:39
71% completion percentage,
02:40
1,502 yards,
02:42
eight touchdowns, three interceptions.
02:44
That completion percentage
02:45
is incredible in today's game.
02:48
I think that translates.
02:49
They went out west one time
02:50
and lost to the L.A. Rams,
02:52
but I'll take the two and a half.
02:54
I do feel, though, Kev,
02:56
this game isn't over
02:57
just because I think L.A.
02:58
tries to attack them
03:00
the way Brissette did
03:01
with 275 last week.
03:02
Yeah, I think that that's on the board.
03:04
You do have Quinton Johnston
03:05
returning for L.A.,
03:07
which is nice.
03:08
A couple of receivers down
03:09
for the Colts,
03:11
including Josh Downs.
03:12
Travarious Ward
03:14
is going to miss this one
03:15
for Indy as well.
03:17
The Colts,
03:18
it's like Missouri, though.
03:21
They're home every week.
03:24
It feels like this is a road game, right?
03:27
So you add that travel in,
03:28
and here's the deal.
03:30
And I know people are going to say
03:31
it's unfair,
03:32
and I get that.
03:34
Right.
03:34
But Daniel Jones,
03:37
to me,
03:39
as the season goes on,
03:41
more and more and more,
03:42
people are going to be like,
03:44
yeah, we probably shouldn't
03:45
have just assumed
03:47
that was going to be great.
03:48
He's played six games this season.
03:50
His QBR is 80-plus
03:53
in four of them
03:54
against the Dolphins,
03:56
the Broncos,
03:56
the Titans,
03:57
and the Raiders.
03:58
And that Broncos one is the,
04:00
you know,
04:00
based on opponent,
04:01
that's where you hang your hat on, right?
04:02
But remember,
04:04
if not for a leveraged field goal call,
04:07
they lose that football game.
04:09
But against the Rams
04:10
and against the Cardinals,
04:12
he was bad.
04:13
Through three interceptions
04:14
in just those two games here,
04:17
Jesse Minter
04:17
and this Chargers defense, Joe,
04:19
I think make Daniel Jones
04:21
pay the price.
04:22
When the Colts turn it over,
04:24
they're just not the same team.
04:25
No, great points.
04:26
And I agree.
04:27
You would give the defensive edge
04:28
to Minter and the Chargers.
04:30
I want to look at it
04:32
from the spread math perspective.
04:34
Okay.
04:34
We know Harbaugh, right?
04:36
Chargers, Herbert, right?
04:38
Herbert is looked at
04:39
in multiple circles
04:40
like he's won
04:41
multiple playoff games.
04:44
So, for giving the quarterback advantage,
04:45
it's definitely Herbert over Jones.
04:47
Yeah.
04:47
Why are we under a key number right now?
04:49
I'm just saying,
04:50
two and a half,
04:51
I mean...
04:52
I'll tell you why I think.
04:54
Because,
04:55
and you referenced it,
04:57
the Chargers game
04:59
against the Dolphins
05:00
does not...
05:02
That's not going to get people
05:03
running to the window
05:03
to back this team.
05:05
That is a largely
05:06
lifeless Miami group
05:07
that they allowed
05:08
to score 27.
05:10
And if not for
05:11
an incredible combination
05:12
of Herbert and Ladd McConkie,
05:14
that might have been
05:14
a Miami win.
05:16
And at that point,
05:17
the Chargers would have been
05:18
sat with a three-game
05:19
losing streak
05:20
with losses
05:21
to the Giants, Dolphins,
05:22
and the Commanders
05:23
blowing them out
05:24
in their building.
05:24
Right.
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