Bills vs. Patriots Showdown: Exciting NFL Week 5 Matchup

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00:00Little Sunday Night Football, you excited for this one?

00:02Yeah, Bills-Patriots, why not?

00:03Divisional matchup.

00:05And think about, Patriots covered both games last year.

00:09They beat them out right now, week 18.

00:12Yeah.

00:12But the one game that happened, I think week 13 or 14,

00:17was an 11.5 point spread, and they won 24-21.

00:20Well, they got an opportunity to cover and potentially a loss

00:23because it's a big number here, Joe.

00:24Between 7.5 and 8.5, depending on where you are looking for this one.

00:29And Buffalo, one of 2-4-0 teams.

00:31Again, it's all in the eye of the beholder with this stuff.

00:35Has Buffalo looked good?

00:36Yes.

00:37Would I power rank Buffalo as one of the five best teams in football?

00:41With no hesitation.

00:43But Buffalo, winning by margin, well, sure.

00:48Yes, because they beat the Saints and the Dolphins and the Jets.

00:52They have won their last two games, Joe, each by double digits,

00:56neither in a cover.

00:58However, it's the opposite of the Eagles.

01:00They're winning big, but the strength of schedule leaves a lot to be desired here.

01:04You see those odds to win the AFC East.

01:07I would be stunned if Buffalo didn't win it.

01:09But those numbers will change massively if New England could pull off an upset.

01:15Do you think they can?

01:17They would need to play a perfect game.

01:19I think Buffalo, from a matchup perspective of everybody in the East,

01:25just matches up against everybody.

01:30Buffalo would have to play their C game or D game in this matchup,

01:35I believe, for New England to catch them.

01:37Now, when New England played them last year, I believe the week before,

01:43Buffalo, and you could tell me, had a very big game the week before.

01:47I could be wrong, but I thought it was a potential letdown spot for the Bills.

01:51I remember taking the Patriots plus the 11 and a half that weekend

01:55and it went right down to the wire.

01:56So, again, I think if they played these.

01:59Yeah, Detroit.

02:00Right.

02:00So, they had a big game and they won that matchup on the road

02:03and he had a huge performance.

02:05Yeah.

02:05And then they come back home.

02:06Ah, it's the Patriots.

02:07We always beat the Patriots.

02:08They got pushed into the fourth quarter and they pulled it out,

02:11but they didn't cover.

02:13If they played 100 times, I really think Buffalo would win 98 of them.

02:19I mean, the only two.

02:21I mean, that's just the way I look at Buffalo matching up against Drake May

02:25and this offense that we saw burst last week, you know, in Drake May.

02:30Is that consistency going to come on the road in a tough environment?

02:36I like the total more than I like anything else.

02:38What do you like with the total?

02:39Over.

02:39Yeah?

02:40I just feel we got points in New England last week.

02:45Buffalo, I mean, Buffalo's good for at least 30.

02:49I really believe that.

02:50So, Buffalo at home basically is auto 30.

02:53Auto 30.

02:54It's nonstop.

02:55No matter who they play, it's auto 30.

02:5810 of the last 11.

02:59They shouldn't have had 30 last week, but McDermott,

03:01I don't know if he likes to getting to 30.

03:03He kicked a field goal when he should have went for it on a fourth down.

03:06It didn't really matter to the football game.

03:08It was a bad decision.

03:09It cost me.

03:10I had an under in the game.

03:11It is 48 and a half.

03:12It is what it is.

03:13They've won 14 straight at home.

03:15I believe the average margin of victory I did it last week was 15.3 points per game.

03:20So, this game to me, though, I think, interestingly, is far more about New England than Buffalo.

03:27Okay.

03:28Because I think Buffalo has been playing down a little bit to competition, right?

03:32I think there's some of that.

03:33Buffalo, by the way, Joe, home every week.

03:37It's a little weird.

03:38Fourth home game in five weeks.

03:41A little weird.

03:41Which means back end is going to be difficult.

03:44A hundred percent, right?

03:45You know, they have the extra home game this year because of the uneven games that happens.

03:49But, so, I say it's more about New England.

03:53Both sides of the ball.

03:55Defensively, Christian Gonzalez is back.

03:57Milton Williams is questionable.

03:59Can you actually not let them get to 30?

04:01But also, how good is Drake May?

04:05We think about this rookie or this class now in their sophomore seasons, right?

04:09It was all about Kayla Williams.

04:11Then it was all about Jaden Daniels.

04:14Panics, we've talked about.

04:15McCarthy, we've talked about.

04:17Drake May is in this interesting middle, right?

04:20Where he was the clear third man in the group, but wasn't, you know, playoff football.

04:25Wasn't stealing jobs.

04:26Different things.

04:27Well, Drake May, over the last three weeks, Joe, has been, I mean, close to flawless.

04:32Despite, you know, a loss actually being in there.

04:35Not great opponents.

04:36100% the case.

04:37But his passer rating is above 125.

04:39He's completing almost 80% of his passes.

04:42He's throwing for over 230 yards.

04:459.1 yards per attempt.

04:47Multiple passing touchdowns in each one of those games.

04:52You didn't love Drake May coming out of college.

04:54I liked him more than you.

04:57I think it's on the board that Drake May can be an elite quarterback in this league.

05:02And if he is, they cover this number at minimum.

05:05He's doing that.

05:10That's right.

05:11That's right.

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