Miami vs. Florida State: ACC Showdown with 4.5 Spread

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00:00Miami, Florida State, showtime tonight in the ACC,

00:04a four to four and a half point spread,

00:05depending on where you're shopping at right now, Joe,

00:07and a total that's increasing to 54 and a half points, Joe.

00:11We're getting points down in Doak.

00:13I'll root it in for you.

00:14I'm taking Florida State with the points,

00:16and I think they potentially could, you know,

00:18snap Miami's win streak here and upset you,

00:21but I believe Castellanos is a better quarterback

00:23than Carson Beck.

00:24Carson Beck, I keep telling you,

00:26the road performances last year for Georgia, not good.

00:30Inconsistent first road start with the Hurricanes,

00:32and I just buy into the rushing attack of Florida State

00:34a little bit better.

00:35We'll see how this game plays out, but again, rivalry game at home.

00:39I always liked that home dog.

00:41Miami is so good this year, but again,

00:43still in the back of your mind, it's like,

00:44well, how good can they actually be?

00:46Understanding the road to the college football playoff

00:48can still be achieved, Joe, if they lose this game,

00:50but the road to national credibility,

00:53you can't lose this game if you're Miami.

00:54No, you can't, especially with Florida State losing

00:57to, at that time, unranked Virginia, that hurts, right?

01:01So now, you know, just knowing, hey,

01:04we know that in college football,

01:05anybody could beat anybody on a given Saturday,

01:08but when you look at the body of work last year

01:10where you potentially had the best quarterback in the land

01:12and you went on the road for two particular games,

01:16Syracuse and Georgia Tech,

01:17and you walked out with a loss,

01:19and oh, by the way, you missed a college football player.

01:21That has to be in Mario Cristobal's head.

01:24This staff needs to step up and show it on the road.

01:27Yep, they got to do it.

01:28Got to get it done.

01:29We'll watch that play out tonight.

01:30You know, let's watch our play out 3.30 p.m.,

01:31which is usually the SEC game of the day.

01:33That's Vanderbilt and it's Alabama.

01:3512.5-point number now across the board

01:37as a favorite for the Alabama Crimson Tide

01:39and a total, Joe, of 56.5.

01:40I know you're looking at points in this game.

01:42Yeah, we'll just give the stats.

01:4340-1 straight up at home in Brian Dennis,

01:46dating back to Nick Saban in 2020

01:48for the Alabama Crimson Tide.

01:50The only loss came to Quinn Ewers and Sarkeesian

01:52three years ago, so they rarely lose at home.

01:55They won their home games last year

01:57by an average margin of 24.7 points per game.

02:01They are up this year.

02:02UL Monroe, 73-0, and they won by basically 24

02:07against Wisconsin, so 48.5 points difference.

02:10That's why I think you're just seeing the line

02:12go from now 12.5, 10.5, and now back to 12.5.

02:15But I'll take a shot with the points.

02:17I like Vanderbilt, but I love the over.

02:19I don't see how this game tempo-wise gets under that total

02:23when you have Pavia, an offense averaging 49 points per game,

02:27and you have the hottest quarterback in college football

02:29right now with Ty Simpson lighting it up.

02:31How do we stay under 56?

02:33Yeah, give me, I like the over 2.5 touchdown passes there

02:35for Ty Simpson in this game.

02:36I do think we get points here.

02:37I think he's a big catalyst for that.

02:38And maybe one of those coming out parties

02:40where you saw him last week and gains that confidence

02:42where you're expecting 275 a week

02:44and multiple touchdown passes.

02:45Should be a fun game to watch it play out.

02:47Maybe not so fun on the scoreboard, depending on which way you're betting, Joe.

02:50Texas and Florida.

02:51This is a game that Arch Manning absolutely has to have.

02:54You want to talk about a legacy game?

02:55Well, Donnie, Florida's 1-3 or whatever.

02:58It doesn't matter.

02:59He has to win.

02:59He has to look good in this game.

03:00He's got to get back in that Heisman race

03:01and show the Texas fan base he's worthy of maybe a national championship.

03:06This line opened up at 7.5 as a favorite towards Texas.

03:09We're down to 4.5, a game that's going to kick off at 3.30 today, Joe,

03:12with a low total of 42.5.

03:14Yeah, I'm going to take the points just with Napier back against the wall.

03:17They need to win this game.

03:19They're at home.

03:20They're coming off a bye.

03:21You had three straight performances where your offense didn't step up.

03:25Now is the time for Florida to potentially cover the line.

03:28But 42.5, I keep going back.

03:30And I understand two top defenses.

03:32But this game had 66 total points last year, 49-17.

03:38How do we not get over 42.5?

03:41If you need a better effort, Florida, you can't go 0-13 on third-down conversions.

03:46And DJ Lagway needs to step up.

03:48He's only got five touchdowns, six interceptions.

03:51They have to light it up.

03:52But I like Wisner on the ground.

03:54I think he's the catalyst for Texas.

03:56Arch Manning should have a field day today.

03:58I got Lagway under today.

03:59I just do.

03:59I think he might throw a touchdown pass.

04:01Do I want to lay the minus 225 to do that?

04:02Probably not.

04:03I just don't see him being all that effective against a really good defense today.

04:06Lower scoring game possibility.

04:08We'll see how that one pans out, Joe.

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