Miami vs. Florida State: Key Matchup and Betting Tips

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00:00The one that we're all anticipating ACC matchup, number three, Miami,

00:04number 18, Florida State at Florida State.

00:07Ben, break this down for everybody because this is the one we want to watch.

00:11Yeah, Schlegs, it's an interesting spot, right?

00:13Just from the betting and handicapping perspective, let's start there

00:16because I think if you have one of these two teams,

00:18Miami looks like maybe the best team in college football

00:21and really the improvement defensively has been key for the Hurricanes.

00:25Florida State loses in overtime against UVA last week in Charlottesville,

00:30but they were pretty hyped as the number eight team in the country

00:32and three-week number five as well.

00:34So as we could expect, most of the public betting handle on Miami early,

00:39but the line on Sunday opened at five and a half in favor of the Canes

00:42on the road in Dope and Campbell.

00:44And now despite most of that public betting handle being on the Miami side,

00:49the line has worked back to Florida State.

00:51Now just a four and a half point spread, that total 53 and a hook.

00:56Again, it's kind of the spot like Illinois last week.

00:58They get hammered against Indiana.

01:00USC has many of the same ability to kind of expose some of that for the Illini,

01:07and yet the line worked back to Illinois despite more than 80% of the handle

01:11being on Southern Cal.

01:13I think Florida State stays within this football game,

01:16and here is how FSU from the football side of things, Schlegs,

01:19pulls off the upset.

01:20Can they make Carson Beck the Carson Beck of 2024 and not the Carson Beck of 2023?

01:26Or the Carson Beck of the Miami-Notre Dame game,

01:29who was turnover free and very in command,

01:32or the Carson Beck of the last few weeks,

01:34who has thrown three interceptions in the last two?

01:37Kind of lost in the sauce last week when you lose in double OT against Virginia,

01:42is the fact that Noles' defense turned Chandler Morris over three times,

01:46three interceptions.

01:47They can be a ball-hawking team, one of 24 in FBS college football with at least six interceptions so far in 2025.

01:54Can Florida State, in that raucous environment in Tallahassee on Saturday,

01:59create some chaos for Carson Beck?

02:01If so, I think we might see an upset for Florida State.

02:04I still lean Miami because of how great they have been defensively,

02:08and if you are going to beat Florida State, you must contain the run.

02:11Welcome Reuben Bain Jr. and Akeem Mesidor up front for Miami,

02:15and this Corey Heatherman defense that has been outstanding so far this year.

02:20But if Florida State pulls the upset,

02:23it is putting Carson Beck in a turnover-worthy circumstances and taking advantage.

02:27Welcome Reuben Bain Jr. and Akeem Mesidor up front for Miami.

02:28Welcome Reuben Bain Jr. and Akeem Mesidor up front for Miami.

02:29Welcome Reuben Bain Jr. and Akeem Mesidor up front for Miami.

02:31Welcome Reuben Bain Jr. and Akeem Mesidor up front for Miami.

02:33Welcome Reuben Bain Jr. and Akeem Mesidor up front for Miami.

02:35Welcome Reuben Bain Jr. and Akeem Mesidor up front for Miami.

02:37Welcome Reuben Bain Jr. and Akeem Mesidor up front for Miami.

02:39Welcome Reuben Bain Jr. and Akeem Mesidor up front for Miami.

02:41Welcome Reuben Bain Jr. and Akeem Mesidor up front for Miami.

02:43Welcome Reuben Bain Jr. and Akeem Mesidor up front for Miami.

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