00:00Our three-pack, a three-pick from each of us this week.
00:02Joe, what do you got?
00:04So I'm going to start with Michael Pinnock's terrible performance.
00:07He throws two picks last week in the blowout loss to Carolina.
00:12He's playing a Washington defense that I think could be exposed.
00:15They're at home.
00:16They're laying two and a half.
00:17I took him through his total today.
00:18I think he can get to 225, 250-plus.
00:22I think they have to push a little bit of tempo,
00:23even though Marcus Mariota put up some points against Las Vegas.
00:27They're on the road here.
00:28I like Pinnock's through his number today,
00:30so we'll see if he can get a 225 as high as I went earlier.
00:35I think he could potentially in-game get to 250.
00:38I told you I'm on Quincyon Junkins.
00:40I think Junkins is going to be the catalyst for the Cleveland Browns offense.
00:43That'll take the pressure off of Joe Flacco.
00:46I altered him as high as 70-plus in this game.
00:49Again, I think they're going to test Detroit.
00:51You want to play bully ball?
00:52We'll play bully ball.
00:53We'll try and stop Quincyon Junkins.
00:55And then Devontae Smith, for me, 51-and-a-half.
00:59I took him as high as 80 in this matchup against Tampa Bay.
01:02I know A.J. Brown is back, but I think they'll utilize him more as a decoy.
01:06Devontae Smith steps up with a huge performance in Tampa.
01:10All right.
01:10Let's get to my three-pack for Sunday Morning Crunch.
01:13Let's get to Keon Coleman, as I said, under three-and-a-half receptions.
01:17And this has a lot to do with the game script overall.
01:19The Bills are 14-and-a-half, 15-and-a-half point favorites.
01:22They're in a spot where they're going to be able to run the ball.
01:24They may not need to pass the ball.
01:25And, you know, the Bills' target distribution is really confusing this season,
01:31where there are several players over 12%, but there's no one player above 20%.
01:36And, you know, Keon Coleman does lead things when it comes to an 18.5% target share.
01:41He does lead the team, but there's also other players at, again, 16, 15, 12, 13, bringing it down.
01:46So it's just too confusing.
01:47I don't expect Coleman to get there.
01:49He could certainly go over his yards, but I don't expect him to go over his reception.
01:52So Keon Coleman, under three-and-a-half receptions.
01:55Next up, let's turn to Chuba Hubbard, under 55-and-a-half rushing yards.
01:59The Pats have been sneaky good against the rush this season.
02:03They're allowing 60 rushing yards per game, which is the second best.
02:06Fifth best when it comes to the EPA per rush allowed.
02:08And this is a really, really difficult spot on the road for Hubbard,
02:13who's also averaging under four yards per attempt this season.
02:16I just don't see him breaking off big explosive plays when we're seeing long runs of 7, 8, and 14 through these three games.
02:23Yes, they'd have 17, 18 carries to get to 55 or 56 comfortably.
02:27I just don't see that happening.
02:29And then finally, Amari and Hampton, over 16-and-a-half rushing attempts for the Chargers.
02:35He is going to see 90-plus percent of the running back touches for the Chargers.
02:41Najee Harris is done for the season with the Achilles injury.
02:44Hassan Haskins, Kamani Vidal are not threats to him in the backfield.
02:49The Giants, they've allowed the second-most rushing yards per game.
02:52The Giants have the third-worst EPA per rush allowed.
02:54Hampton should be a featured role in the rushing game.
02:57If they're going to be covering the 6-and-a-half-point spread,
03:00Hampton should have plenty of work in the backfield.
Comments