00:00Most of the typhoons, when they develop in the western Pacific, they move towards the west,
00:07and the typhoon can continue to develop if it doesn't get impeded by land or by other dry air
00:17and so on. So this time, Ragazza developed in the western Pacific and then moved through the Luzon
00:22Strait over very warm waters and under favorable atmospheric conditions, and so therefore it
00:30gets unimpeded as it goes through the Luzon Strait and goes right straight into the South China Sea.
00:36And because of that, it can continue to develop and therefore became the
00:43strongest typhoon this year to hit China.
00:45The closest that can come to comparison is Typhoon Mankut in 2018, which passed about the same
00:59distance from Hong Kong and made about the same, I expect that it will make land for about the same
01:06area along the South China coast. So this time, many of the citizens had the experience of Mankut,
01:14and so they would try to be prepared in terms of taping the windows and staying indoors and stay
01:23away from the coastline and so on. So far, as far as we can see, the damage has been minimal.
01:37Most of the building codes were designed based on the past data,
01:42but the past data would not be accurate anymore for the future. So if you have new buildings and if you
01:49stick to the current building codes, then you will be subject to stronger winds in the future.
01:59And so the planning of new buildings will need to be updated in terms of the wind loading.
02:07And also, if you are building something along the coastal areas, you also need to think about
02:14what the storm surge would would cause you problems in the future, because not only do you have stronger
02:22typhoons, you can also have you will also have higher sea level because of global warming.
02:28You have to you will have more moisture in the atmosphere and water temperature is also high.
02:34And therefore, you would expect to have the once the storm develops, it has more energy.
02:42And so you can expect the storm to become even more intense in the future.
02:47So you should expect to have more super typhoons, not only to hit the South China coast,
02:53but maybe even other parts of Asia.
03:07you
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