00:00These are Israeli tanks on Syrian territory.
00:03Since the fall of the Assad regime, Israeli forces have moved beyond a demilitarized buffer
00:08zone and set at least 10 bases and outposts in Syria.
00:12Syrians are angry at Israel's violations of the 1974 disengagement agreement with their
00:16country.
00:18This video was posted by Israeli forces after they raided Syrian homes and arrested people
00:22including a child without proof of what they called an Iranian cell.
00:27This is in addition to Israel's military occupation of the Golan Heights in Syria and attacks on
00:32Syrian military facilities, including its navy, air defenses, jets and heavy weaponry.
00:38But military incursions and occupation are not the only sources of tensions between Syria
00:43and Israel.
00:44Water security is also a major issue.
00:48Syrian media reports say the Israeli military now controls 40% of water sources shared by
00:52Syria and Jordan.
00:54After taking over the Al-Wahda Dam in the Yirmouk Basin in December, Israeli forces then
00:58advance to the Al-Mantra Dam.
01:01But Syria is in a difficult position to respond.
01:04President Ahmed al-Shara's administration has to keep together a fragile unity government
01:08and not upset its western supporters who it needs to build its economy and gain international
01:13recognition as a safe partner.
01:16The Trump administration has lifted crippling sanctions on the country and many believe the
01:19Syrian government has to do its part by improving tithes with Israel as a quid pro quo.
01:24The Abraham Accords were announced at a big, glamorous agreement during the Trump 1 presidency.
01:32Not much of it has fulfilled its promises.
01:35So we could witness a signing ceremony in Washington, but that really doesn't mean much on the ground.
01:42It will take institutions, it will take a lot of time to settle the real issues on the
01:48ground, which is occupied territories.
01:50But even if there is an understanding on the buffer zone and Israel respects Syrian sovereignty,
01:56the Shara administration is likely to have great difficulty selling it to many hardline
02:00factions and a population that largely opposes Zionism.
02:05Palestinians are part of Syrian society and their struggles and suffering in Gaza resonate
02:09with Syrians.
02:11And then there are other regional and international considerations.
02:15Russian troops are based on Syrian territory.
02:17And while any deal may not affect that situation, it's more likely to have an impact on Syria's
02:22relationship with Turkey.
02:24Israel and Turkey are both vying for direct or indirect influence over Damascus.
02:29Beyond this point is Syrian territory under the control of the Israeli government.
02:34And any diplomatic overtures will have to be met with balancing not just strong internal
02:40resistance but also regional considerations including that of Turkey, Jordan and even Saudi Arabia.
02:48And to balance all of that, the Ahmad al-Shara administration has its work cut out for it.
02:52As I mentioned earlier, I will see you in the next video.
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