Sonny Gray, Cardinals Face Rays on the Road Thursday Night

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Transcript

00:00Tommy Boyle, let's get down to Florida here, St. Louis and Tampa Bay.

00:04Here's always some of the stuff that I love.

00:06Sonny Gray is listed at number one on my card today for the past 45 days

00:10with XFIP here to 2.81.

00:12But his ERA is a 6.17.

00:14It's hard to wrap your head around.

00:16The best pitcher on the card has a 6 ERA, but that's what analytics tell you.

00:20Now, I'll also tell you this.

00:21Joe Boyle, he's got a 553 ERA since July 1st and a 520 XFIP number.

00:26He's not stopping anybody tonight.

00:28Now, you look at both of the lineups tonight.

00:29They're not that great.

00:30But again, does it have to be great when it's 85-degree temperatures

00:34and a wind blowing out in Tampa where the ball flies here tonight?

00:37What are you looking at between St. Louis and Tampa?

00:40I'm just looking at runs.

00:41And, you know, we saw from Tampa, obviously, some late heroics from them

00:45to tie things up last night.

00:46They got some runs across the board in the past two days against the Yankees,

00:50who I think we can say have a better pitching staff.

00:52It may not be great overall, but it is a better pitching staff compared to the Cardinals.

00:56And as you said with Sonny Gray, Sonny Gray got blown up last week by the Yankees.

01:01If you look over his last six, seven starts, we're looking at multiple games of six,

01:06eight earned runs allowed.

01:07Sure, there's a couple games there with only one earned run.

01:09He is the best pitcher on today's slate when it's all said and done.

01:12His ERA is through the roof.

01:14His XFIP is significantly better.

01:16I would say at this point it's like we're waiting for him to turn the corner,

01:19but it's also the end of August, and he is approaching some high innings.

01:23So I don't want to say he's running out of gas at this point.

01:26If this was May or June and he had a bad stretch of starts,

01:30I would say let's just trust Sonny Gray.

01:32This game probably falls under.

01:33He probably racks up the strikeouts.

01:34But it's the end of August.

01:35I really don't see that coming through when it's all said and done.

01:38So if we know Joe Boyle is going to give up three or four runs,

01:41if you tell me Sonny Gray gives up only three, I'm not surprised.

01:44But at that point we are pushing towards the over,

01:47and I think we're on pace for it.

01:48So give me some more runs tonight.