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  • 5 months ago
During a House CCP Committee hearing before the Congressional recess, Rep. Ritchie Torres (D-NY) asked former ambassador to Japan Rahm Emanuel and former Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison why the U.S hasn't been eager to establish mineral independence from China.
Transcript
00:00Representative Torres. Thank you, Mr. Chair. I see America's critical mineral dependency on China
00:06as our single greatest strategic vulnerability. In 2010 and 2011, China engaged in economic
00:13coercion against Japan, imposing export controls on rare earth elements, the first known instance
00:19of Beijing weaponizing its chokehold on critical minerals and rare earths against a foreign country.
00:25Since 2010, we have known that Western countries like the United States are dangerously dependent
00:31on China for critical minerals and rare earths. We have known that China is able and willing to
00:36weaponize its chokehold on critical minerals against adversaries like the United States.
00:41Despite knowing these dangers, the U.S. is no closer to achieving critical mineral independence
00:47than we were 15 years ago. In fact, China controls more of the world's rare earth refining today
00:55than it did back in 2010 and 2011 during its economic coercion of Japan. I guess my question is why has
01:02the United States been so dangerously complacent when it comes to breaking out of critical mineral
01:08dependency? America made itself energy independent from the Middle East, yet we seem to lack the same
01:14sense of urgency around making ourselves mineral independent from China. Why the discrepancy?
01:21Is that for either one of us? Yeah, either one of us.
01:27You want to go first, Mr. President?
01:27No, I'll follow you.
01:29Okay. Congressman, if I could take one step back.
01:33Yeah.
01:33We repeated for basically a decade that China
01:39China was an economic competitor or strategic competitor. And when President Xi comes to power,
01:47he makes a decision that China is a strategic adversary, not a competitor.
01:52It's a very different psychological outlook.
01:55Second, to your point, and why I advocate this in conjunction with an Article 5-like instrument tool,
02:06is to take an assessment of your vulnerabilities. I don't, if I could, as you went through basically
02:14two years of war in the Middle East, including with Iran, as you noticed, energy prices did not
02:20spike, and I know we all know this. It's been written, so I'm not violating any prior assignments.
02:26There were models where God forbid there was conflagration in the Middle East. You were going
02:30to see energy go to 140 bucks a barrel. That didn't happen. And why? Because of the United States.
02:37Full stop. And we worked at it over decades, did not abandon the effort of resilience as related.
02:46So you need exactly that type of resilience and study where your vulnerabilities are,
02:51what you need to shore up those vulnerabilities, not both yourself independently, but with allies
02:57and friends alike. So both reshoring and friend shoring and complacent. Magnets would be an area.
03:03Now, I know you would find it hard to believe, but as a middle child, I don't mean to destroy the
03:08comity of the group right now. But I say this because, as I noted earlier, Europe's
03:16plank post Lithuania. The only time they've thought of employing that unity was now with the United
03:25States because of how we're negotiating with the EU. They haven't deployed it, but they threatened to.
03:32So it was designed with China in mind, but it's actually looked at and made to be deployed with us.
03:40One of the problems for China right now is given the war in Ukraine by Russia,
03:45they have lost access to the European market. Leveraging, as the Congressman noted, our own
03:50market. That is a powerful force against China, plus our allies in the Indo-Pacific, Japan, Korea,
03:57Australia, New Zealand, India, Philippines, and other countries.
04:01So understanding how we organize as a group and put together that economic coalition with real tools
04:12to confront both their coercion and will foyer tactics in service of a larger interest is key
04:21to our long-term economic independence, our economic resilience, and our competition with China.
04:28I want to squeeze in one more question. There are reports that China has agreed to resume exports of
04:33rare earths to the United States in exchange for the United States resuming exports of H20 AI
04:38GPUs to China. And there are competing views, right? The argument from the administration
04:44is that it wants to make the world, including China, dependent on an American AI tech stack
04:49that includes Nvidia chips. But then the opponents argue that the H20s are just too computationally
04:55powerful. How should we view the deal? Should we see it as building an American AI tech stack or as
05:01American capitulation to China's economic coercion?
05:07Well, I think this goes to knowing where your red lines are, and in the point I made in response
05:14to another question. And these are either sensitive technologies which are aiding a strategic rival,
05:23or they're not. And that plays into the US's security interests, or it doesn't. But somewhere,
05:32that call needs to be made. And greater minds than mine will have to apply themselves to that in
05:37making that decision and evaluating that deal. And some will argue that Chinese tech will catch up,
05:47and they'll have their own versions of it, and they won't need it. In my experience,
05:53everyone can make whatever argument they want around these issues. But it all comes back to that
05:57fundamental question. What is the, what is the security interest? And what is the red line that
06:03you can and cannot cross? Mr. Congressman, what I would say is like in any review,
06:10you want to find where China's vulnerabilities are and make sure they're dependent on the United
06:14States or the free world in those areas. They have a tremendous amount of vulnerability to three
06:19sources, food dependence, energy dependence, and fear of their own people. And where those
06:27vulnerabilities are, we want to go at them and make them actually, rather than totally disengage,
06:34make them more vulnerable by making them more dependent.
06:37Could I also touch then and follow up to your earlier question, which is why has it been going
06:44on for so long? Because end users want cheaper prices. And China will give them the cheaper prices.
06:52And until there is a resolve to break that, that hold, which is a vulnerability at this end of the
06:59chain and in other end user parts of the chain, be that in Japan or, or elsewhere, you made the point
07:04about what occurred with Japan and rare earths earlier. That is true. And the answer to that
07:09was a company, an Australian company called Linus set up a rare earth processing facility in Malaysia
07:15with support from the Japanese government through JOGMEC. And that enabled such a process to provide a
07:22secure supply chain to Japan. Now, I applaud the Japanese government for the initiative they took,
07:27but took strong leadership. It put clear guardrails in place. And Linus is now building a plant
07:33in Texas, and which will do heavy rare earth processing. Now, the rare earths business is
07:40a pretty marginal business. And it doesn't take much to rattle it when you have price manipulations.
07:47And so the measure that's been taken with MP, I think is an excellent one, but it's one that
07:55should really be extended to allies and partners, whether they be in the United States or French or elsewhere.
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